PERFORMANCE AND PATTERNS OF AFRICAN
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ASIAN TRADE AND INVESTMENT FLOWS
107
Behind the border
Between the border
•
Lack of access to electricity constraining rural Lack of capacity for standards and quality management development and expansion of nonfarm activities constrains diversification into agroprocessed exports Lack of access
to credit for farmers and SMEs• High cost and limited access to rural transport reduces Weak organization of the rural sector and limited returns to trade and constrains the ability of rural role of market activities farmers to produce commercial crops
•
Delays on the main corridors raise the costs of trade Long border clearance times and uncertainty at customs
•
Urgent need to make a thorough assessment of Long border clearance times, lack of ability to ensure the WTO Government Procurement Agreement integrity and increased compliance Insufficient regulatory framework for transport, transit logistics, efficiency, costs Lack of training for staff in transportation regulation and administration
Inadequate access to power, water, and Poor customs administration telecommunications
• Long transit delays Weak regulation of public utilities Complicated customs procedures
•
Lack of access to finance in specific sectors
•
Weak supply chain management
•
Noncompetitiveness of pricing in domestic markets
•
Insufficient access to power, water, and Inadequate transport legislation
telecommunications in EPZs•
Inadequate public-private dialogue in transport and Inadequate competition policy and market access trade facilitation, transit, and border crossings
•
Inability to use existing trade preferences
•
Inadequate access to finance for SMEs
•
Weakly functioning customs administration Complicated and poorly functioning taxation policy
•
Noncompliance with customs practices
•
Lack of access to competitively priced Poor management of customs procedures
infrastructure services•
Outdated trade facilitation procedures
•
Insufficient investment in the petroleum sector
•
Lack of investment in cold storage facilities
•
Lack of a national ICT strategy
•
Delayed implementation of civil aviation legislation
•
Need for reform in the financial sector infrastructure (both airport and seaport) of both exporting and importing countries. Behind-the-border factors included in the model are various measures of barriers to doing business and the quality of domestic infrastructure services. The intensity of barriers to doing business is measured by the number of procedures required for starting anew business,
registering property, obtaining licenses, and enforcing contracts. The quality of electric power service is used to measure infrastructure service delivery. In general the spe-
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AFRICA
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S SILK ROAD
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CHINA AND INDIA
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S NEW ECONOMIC FRONTIER
cific variables and respective data sources used in the model are listed in table 2A.8.
Table 2.7 summarizes the direction of statistically significant impacts from various factors based on the signs of coefficients estimated by Ordinary Least
Squares (OLS) regressions. The complete list of estimated
coefficients is in table2A.9 in annex A. Although not reported in the table, most of the economic,
geographical, historical, and cultural factors have the predicted signs and their coefficients are statistically significant. These variables capture most of the fundamental sources of the heterogeneity among Sub-Saharan countries. A number of studies using gravity models have shown the significance of at-the-border constraints in impacting bilateral trade flows. Our empirical analysis shows that, on a cross-country basis, in addition to trade policy variables (as well as the standard economic and geographic factors, both behind- the-border and between-the-border factors significantly influence the trade performance of African countries. All of the statistically significant coefficients display the expected sign. Moreover, the results from the estimation procedures show that the same factors are equally
important when examiningTABLE 2.7
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