NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION WILL LEAD TO DECREASED VIOLENCE, AND LESS LIKELINESS OF WAR. Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 44, No. 2, 139-155 (2007) International Peace Research Institute, Oslo Proliferation and International Crisis Behavior Victor Asal Department of Political Science, State University of New York, Kyle Beardsley Department of Political Science, Emory University The actors will show more restraint in crises involving more participants with nuclear weapons. Using data from the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) project, the results demonstrate that crises involving nuclear actors are more likely to end without violence and, as the number of nuclear actors involved increases, the likelihood of war continues to fall. The results are robust even when controlling fora number of factors including nonnuclear capability. In confirming that nuclear weapons tend to increase restraint in crises, the effect of nuclear weapons on strategic behavior is clarified.
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