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Figure 2: Evolution of Car Ownership Levels across Years for Artificial Households in Plateau-Mont-Royal Borough
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| Page | 4/5 | | Date | 20.05.2018 | | Size | 410.48 Kb. | | #49422 |
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Figure 2: Evolution of Car Ownership Levels across Years for Artificial Households in Plateau-Mont-Royal Borough
TABLE 1: Summary Statistics of Variables
Variables
|
OD Years
|
1998
|
2003
|
2008
|
Car Ownership Levels of Households
|
|
|
|
|
0 Car
|
19.5
|
19.0
|
21.1
|
|
|
1 Car
|
45.2
|
44.5
|
42.8
|
|
|
2 Cars
|
29.7
|
30.1
|
28.6
|
|
|
≥ 3 Cars
|
5.7
|
6.5
|
7.5
|
Household Demographics
|
|
|
|
No of Males
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
29.5
|
34.4
|
36.1
|
|
|
1
|
33.6
|
33.3
|
33.1
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
36.9
|
32.3
|
30.8
|
No of Middle Aged Adults
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
59.5
|
56.9
|
51.4
|
|
|
1
|
22.2
|
23.1
|
26.5
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
18.3
|
20.0
|
22.1
|
Number of Full-time Employed Adults
|
|
|
|
0
|
31.6
|
32.6
|
36.2
|
|
|
1
|
38.5
|
37.9
|
33.6
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
29.9
|
29.5
|
30.2
|
Number of Part-time Employed Adults
|
|
|
|
0
|
88.4
|
89.4
|
89.8
|
|
|
1
|
10.8
|
10.0
|
9.5
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
Number of License Holders
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
11.7
|
11.6
|
13.4
|
|
|
1
|
33.4
|
33.5
|
32.6
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
54.9
|
54.9
|
54.0
|
Number of Students
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
62.9
|
64.7
|
68.0
|
|
|
1
|
18.4
|
18.2
|
16.0
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
18.7
|
17.1
|
16.0
|
Number of Retirees
|
|
|
|
|
|
0
|
75.2
|
72.7
|
64.3
|
|
|
1
|
15.4
|
18.1
|
23.2
|
|
|
≥ 2
|
9.4
|
9.2
|
12.5
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Land Use Measures
|
|
|
|
Income (CT level)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Low (Less than 40K)
|
51.2
|
40.6
|
33.9
|
|
|
Medium (40K – 80K)
|
47.5
|
54.1
|
57.5
|
|
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High (Above 80K)
|
1.3
|
5.3
|
8.6
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Sample size
|
4000
|
4000
|
4000
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TABLE 2: Estimation Results
Variables
|
Latent Propensity
|
Threshold between One and Two Car
|
Threshold between Two and Three Car
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Estimate
|
t-stat
|
Estimate
|
t-stat
|
Estimate
|
t-stat
|
Constant
|
1.7844
|
13.575
|
1.1800
|
34.007
|
1.3129
|
15.789
|
Yearly Trend
|
|
Year 2003
|
---
|
---
|
-0.0430
|
-3.948
|
---
|
---
|
Year 2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mean
|
---
|
---
|
-0.0870
|
-4.316
|
---
|
---
|
Standard Deviation
|
---
|
---
|
0.1006
|
3.433
|
---
|
---
|
Household Demographics
|
|
No of Males
|
0.2137
|
6.220
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Presence of Children
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
less than 4 years
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
0.1495
|
3.603
|
5-9 years
|
0.4170
|
4.826
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
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10-14 years
|
0.8563
|
4.976
|
0.0606
|
2.090
|
0.1067
|
2.747
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No of Middle Aged Adults
|
0.0684
|
2.297
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
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Senior Households * Year 2003
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---
|
---
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0.0974
|
4.170
|
---
|
---
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Senior Households * Year 2008
|
---
|
---
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0.1212
|
4.812
|
---
|
---
|
Full-time Working Adults
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mean
|
0.5449
|
10.247
|
---
|
---
|
0.1198
|
4.652
|
Standard Deviation
|
0.2559
|
1.721
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Full-time Working Adults * 2008
|
-0.1724
|
-2.635
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Part-time Working Adults
|
0.3083
|
4.285
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
No of Retirees
|
0.4342
|
6.724
|
0.0625
|
5.431
|
---
|
---
|
No of Students
|
-0.3558
|
-7.529
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
No of License Holders
|
3.6341
|
29.715
|
0.2741
|
14.075
|
-0.119
|
-3.098
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Presence of Immobile Persons
|
-0.3128
|
-6.142
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
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Transit Accessibility Measures
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of Bus Stops
|
-0.0197
|
-5.361
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Length of Bus Lines (km)
|
-0.0055
|
-2.751
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Length of Metro Lines (km)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mean
|
-0.2135
|
-3.803
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Standard Deviation
|
0.7650
|
9.351
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Length of Metro Lines (km) * Year2008
|
-0.1982
|
-2.543
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Land Use Measures
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (Base: Medium Income)
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Low Income (Less than 40K)
|
-0.3054
|
-5.087
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
High Income (Above 80K)
|
0.3364
|
3.595
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Commercial
|
-1.6892
|
-3.703
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Government and Institutional
|
-1.2893
|
-3.699
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Open Area
|
0.483
|
3.776
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Park and Recreational
|
---
|
---
|
0.1256
|
2.622
|
---
|
---
|
Resource and Industrial
|
-0.5595
|
-3.099
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Household Density
|
-0.1047
|
-6.149
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Boroughs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ville-Marie
|
-0.3920
|
-1.511
|
---
|
---
|
-0.6575
|
-2.287
|
Ville-Marie * Year 2003
|
---
|
---
|
0.3353
|
2.861
|
---
|
---
|
Ville-Marie * Year 2008
|
0.8904
|
2.113
|
---
|
---
|
0.9450
|
2.567
|
Cote-des-Neiges
|
-0.4729
|
-2.604
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Cote-des-Neiges * Year 2008
|
0.5071
|
1.886
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
Plateau-Mont-Royal * Year 2003
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
---
|
0.8795
|
14.922
|
Plateau-Mont-Royal * Year 2008
|
-0.7760
|
-2.428
|
---
|
---
|
-0.9020
|
-2.325
|
Outremont * Year 2003
|
-1.0167
|
-1.991
|
---
|
---
|
1.3255
|
21.564
|
Log-likelihood at sample shares, LL (c)
|
-14641.96
|
Log-likelihood at convergence, LL (β)
|
-8581.56
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Number of observations
|
12000
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