Standard errors in parentheses
*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
Table 9 — Additional RD Model Results:
Value and Quantity of Exports
|
(1)
|
(2)
|
(3)
|
|
|
|
|
Panel One: Value of Exports
(£ million)
|
|
|
|
1983 Dummy
|
100.98**
|
-134.65**
|
-78.44
|
|
(48.19)
|
(59.14)
|
(70.79)
|
1992 Dummy
|
-87.35
|
-231.15***
|
-183.41**
|
|
(65.57)
|
(70.95)
|
(71.43)
|
2002 Dummy
|
-87.02
|
16.21
|
76.45
|
|
(73.08)
|
(68.30)
|
(65.43)
|
2013 Dummy
|
-41.45
|
95.80
|
-28.59
|
|
(71.09)
|
(73.62)
|
(86.13)
|
Observations
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Panel Two: Quantity of Exports
(thousands of tons)
1983 Dummy
|
66
0.949
0.942
67.76**
|
66
0.967
0.961
-43.81
|
66
0.973
0.967
-53.09
|
|
(28.61)
|
(31.41)
|
(41.26)
|
1992 Dummy
|
-9.12
|
-3.76
|
15.34
|
|
(38.92)
|
(37.68)
|
(41.63)
|
2002 Dummy
|
63.81
|
61.10*
|
74.85*
|
|
(43.48)
|
(36.27)
|
(38.14)
|
2013 Dummy
|
-7.35
|
-14.59
|
-52.17
|
|
(42.19)
|
(39.09)
|
(50.19)
|
|
|
|
|
Observations
|
66
|
66
|
66
|
R-squared
Adj R-squared
|
0.909
0.897
|
0.952
0.944
|
0.954
0.944
|
Standard errors in parentheses
*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
Figure 10 — Regression Discontinuity Panel: Trade
The dashed line in each panel references the year 1983. Panel A (top left) shows the RD graph for the total value of fish and fisheries products imports into the UK (measured in £ million) from 1950 to 2015. Panel B (top right) shows the RD graph for the quantity of fish and fisheries products imports into the UK (measured in £ per ton) from 1950 to 2015. Panel C (bottom left) shows the RD graph for the total value of UK fish and fisheries products exports (measured £ million) from 1950 to 2015. Panel D (bottom right) shows the RD graph for the quantity of UK fish and fisheries products exports (measured in £ per ton) from 1950 to 2015.
Figure 11 — Regression Discontinuity Panel: Trade Residuals
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