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SOLVENCY: TIMEFRAME FOR RESPONSE



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SOLVENCY: TIMEFRAME FOR RESPONSE
THE VAST DISTANCES INVOLVED MEAN THAT REAL COMMUNICATION CAN NEVER TAKE PLACE-Squeri ‘04
[Lawrence; When ET Calls: SETI Is Ready; The Journal of Popular Culture; Feb 2004; pg. 478]

Even in this best scenario, a phone conversation is out of the question. The vast distances of space can make radio waves seem slow. At the speed of 186,000 miles per second, a radio signal would require 4.5 years to reach Alpha Centauri, one of the closest stars to the sun. If the message comes from a very distant star system, it may have been sent centuries ago. If extraterrestrials have not found a faster means of communication that they are willing to share, we have to settle for digesting their initial message, knowing fully well that they may no longer exist or that their civilization may have changed drastically over the ages. The extraterrestrial message has been compared to an ancient manuscript from a lost civilization on Earth. It provides the thought processes of beings we will never see.


EVEN IF THE UNIVERSE IS TEEMING WITH LIFE, WE ARE TOO FAR AWAY TO HEAR FROM THEM-Hirshon ‘08
[Bob; researcher at AAAS; SETI at Home Upgrade; Science NetLinks; 2008; http://www.sciencenetlinks.com/sci_update.php?DocID=342; retrieved 11 Jul 2011]

Are we alone in the universe? That's one of the great scientific mysteries of all time. But many scientists believe the odds are excellent that other intelligent life forms exist. Why? Well, according to recent estimates, there are about 70 sextillion (70,000,000,000,000,000,000,000) stars in the universe. Now, suppose, for example, that one in a million of those stars has planets orbiting around it, like our sun does, and that one in a million of those orbiting planets supports some kind of life. That would still mean that 70 billion other planets could be teeming with extraterrestrials. Nobody knows what the real numbers are, but this shows why many researchers think it's incredibly unlikely that extraterrestrial life doesn't exist.
So where are all these aliens, and why haven't we heard from them? Probably the same reason they haven't heard from us: They're too far away. Consider the fact that humans, with our seemingly advanced technology, have never set foot anywhere beyond the moon—the nearest extraterrestrial destination. The most distant unmanned spacecraft, Voyager 1 and 2, were launched over twenty years ago and only recently reached the outer edge of our solar system. And our entire solar system is just a speck compared to the universe as a whole. In fact, in order to get past the nearest handful of stars within a human lifetime, we'd have to build a spacecraft that could travel at the speed of light or even faster—which doesn't look possible anytime soon.
THE SAME VASTNESS OF SPACE THAT ALMOST GUARANTEES OTHER LIFE ALSO PRECLUDES COMMUNICATING WITH THEM-Belmont ‘10
[Barry; Math Proves Alien Life Highly Probable But Contact Unlikely; Nevada Sagebrush; 31 Jan 2010; http://nevadasagebrush.com/blog/2010/01/31/math-proves-alien-life-highly-probable-contact-unlikely/; retrieved 11 Jul 2011]

The problem with most evidence for aliens and UFOs is that it is completely reliant upon massive media and governmental conspiracies and anecdotal evidence without a smidgen of physical or testable evidence. Granted, it would be great if an advanced civilization came to Earth, but why should descriptions of beings that mastered intergalactic travel seem so reminiscent of the latest sci-fi blockbuster? Maybe it’s part of the conspiracy.


Ultimately, it’s the same vastness of space that almost guarantees the existence of life on other worlds that precludes the possibility of human beings ever coming in contact with an alien race.
The closest star to our solar system is Alpha Centauri, about four light years away. That doesn’t sound too bad until you realize that’s about 24 trillion miles away. Traveling at a million miles an hour, the trip to Alpha Centauri would take more than 2,500 years. And that’s just one star out of the one million billion billion that inhabit the universe.

SOLVENCY: METI IS DANGEROUS
METI IS VERY DIFFERENT FROM SETI,  AS UNQUALIFIED PEOPLE ARE LOUDLY BROADCASTING OUT INTO THE UNIVERSE-Brin ‘08
[David; PhD; scientist, public speaker, and author; Shouting at the Cosmos; Lifeboat Foundation; July 2008; http://lifeboat.com/ex/shouting.at.the.cosmos; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Let there be no mistake. METI is a very different thing than passively sifting for signals from the outer space. Carl Sagan, one of the greatest SETI supporters and a deep believer in the notion of altruistic alien civilizations, called such a move deeply unwise and immature. (Even Frank Drake, who famously sent the "Arecibo Message" toward the Andromeda Galaxy in 1974, considered "Active SETI" to be, at best, a stunt and generally a waste of time.)


Sagan — along with early SETI pioneer Philip Morrison — recommended that the newest children in a strange and uncertain cosmos should listen quietly for a long time, patiently learning about the universe and comparing notes, before shouting into an unknown jungle that we do not understand.
Alas. To date, groups that plan to engage in METI have done the opposite, keeping a low profile and avoiding discussion with experts in near-related fields like exobiology, bioastronomy, or evolutionary biology... or even historians who are knowledgeable about human "first-contact". Especially biologists and historians. (For reasons that will become clear.)
GIVEN THE DANGERS, INCLUDING DEADLY WEAPONIZED PROBES, WE SHOULD TAKE GREATER CARE BEFORE SHOUTING INTO THE UNIVERSE-Brin ‘02
[David; PhD; scientist, public speaker, and author; A CONTRARIAN PERSPECTIVE ON ALTRUISM: THE DANGERS OF FIRST CONTACT; Sep 2002; http://www.setileague.org/iaaseti/brin.pdf; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Simple propagation algorithms show that - based on reasonable assumptions for ship speed and rebuild times - a single self-reproducing probe might create enough progeny to visit every star in the galaxy within less than five million years. A mere heartbeat in the life of our cosmos.


It's generally thought that such “Von Neumann Self-Replicating Probes" would be programmed
to be friendly. But this is only an assumption. Might such probes turn out to be dangerous?
Physicist and Nebula Award winning novelist Gregory Benford points out that all “self-replicating"
systems -- such as living things -- are controlled by programs of internal information containing
their design, and plans for the fabrication of new copies. These plans inevitably suffer changes in
time -- called mutations. Life relies on mutation to drive variation and evolution. But mutation also
means no species will adhere forever to its original program. The same would hold for any probe
emissaries sent forth by curious aliens.
If such a probe arrived in our solar system, in what condition would its programming be?
Some of Benford's fiction, along with those of Fred Saberhagen and others, portrays the dread
possibility of “deadly probes" -- either deliberately or accidently programmed to destructively
home-in on new civilizations soon after they become detectable by their radio transmissions. Such horrible “berserker" machines may seem garish, even sensational, and nobody claims they are particularly likely. Still, they are in no way inconsistent with natural law. Indeed, they are quite consistent with the observed state of silence.
They remind us to consider just how unwise it may be to shout in a jungle, before we have any
idea what’s out there.
METI IS RISKY WITHOUT KNOWING MORE ABOUT WHO WE MIGHT COMMUNICATE WITH-Davies ‘10
[Paul; PhD; co-Director of the Cosmology Initiative, both at Arizona State University; The Eerie Silence: Renewing Our Search for Alien Intelligence; 2010; Kindle Edition]

Some people are implacably opposed to METI on the grounds that broadcasting willy-nilly into space, deliberately attracting attention to ourselves, is reckless. An obvious fear is that advertising the existence of our wonderful life-supporting planet might invite an alien invasion. A leading critic of METI is the writer and commentator David Brin, who coined the phrase 'shouting at the cosmos'. He is dismayed by the happy-go-lucky attitude of a new generation of SETI fans, especially those from the former Soviet Union, who advocate greatly expanding the METI programme in an ad hoc manner without much forethought or attempt at debating the issue. And it's true that METI attracts far more attention than SETI, primarily because something actually happens – a message is sent! By contrast, all SETI astronomers do is passively listen. METI is popular with young people when the content of the message is opened up to the public; the recent Ukraine transmission followed a competition launched via a social networking site called Bebo, which boasts 12 million users. Brin's position is that prudence should prevail over popularity. He has called for an international protocol that asks for all of those people controlling radio telescopes to 'forbear from significantly increasing Earth's visibility with deliberate skyward emanations, until their plans were first discussed before open and widely accepted international fora [his italics]'.1 His sentiments have been strongly endorsed by David Whitehouse. 'If we don't know what's out there,' writes Whitehouse, 'why on Earth are we deliberately beaming messages into space, to try and contact these civilizations about which we know precisely nothing?'
THE RECORD OF ADVANCED CIVILIZATIONS MEETING LESS ADVANCED IS A HISTORY OF SLAVERY AND COLONIALISM-Brin ‘08
[David; PhD; scientist, public speaker, and author; Shouting at the Cosmos; Lifeboat Foundation; July 2008; http://lifeboat.com/ex/shouting.at.the.cosmos; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

(In The Third Chimpanzee, Jared Diamond offers an essay on the risks of attempting to contact ETIs, based on the history of what happened on Earth whenever more advanced civilizations encountered less advanced ones... or indeed, when the same thing happens during contact between species that evolved in differing ecosystems. The results are often not good: in inter-human relations slavery, colonialism, etc. Among contacting species: extinction.)


Perhaps driven by frustration over the lack of SETI-gleaned signals, so far, the few dozen radio astronomers in this international community-of-interest now aim to poke at the experiment in hope of provoking a response from the stars. Moreover, those few who have objected — asking for a conference to discuss the matter — are dismissed as paranoid worrywarts.
SHOULD WAIT UNTIL HUMANS HAVE EVOLVED FURTHER-McKinney ‘09

[Luke; "The METI Controversy": Should Detection by an Exo Civilization Be Viewed as a Threat?; Outskirts Press; 14 July 2009; http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2009/07/the-meti-controversy-revisited-is-detection-by-an-exo-civilization-a-threat-a-galaxy-insight.html; retrieved 14 August 2011]


If we should pick up signals from alien civilizations, Stephen Hawking, our century's Einstein, warns: "we should have be wary of answering back, until we have evolved" a bit further. Meeting a more advanced civilization, at our present stage,' Hawking says "might be a bit like the original inhabitants of America meeting Columbus. I don't think they were better off for it."

SOLVENCY: ACTIVE SETI IS DANGEROUS
THERE IS NO GUARANTEE THAT WE WON’T BE THE ONES SENDING THE DANGEROUS MESSAGE TO ANOTHER CIVILIZATION-Brin ‘02
[David; PhD; scientist, public speaker, and author; A CONTRARIAN PERSPECTIVE ON ALTRUISM: THE DANGERS OF FIRST CONTACT; Sep 2002; http://www.setileague.org/iaaseti/brin.pdf; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Which brings up the inevitable question -- “How do we decide who will speak for us?"


Will every nation, sect, and religious group begin casting its own pleadings, threats, and
dogmas skyward, almost the instant that contact is announced? Probably. One thing our alien friends are certain to learn about us right away is just how undisciplined a species we are.
That's only the truth, after all.
But let's return again to the topic of dangerous ideas. Is it possible that we may be the infectious
ones? Before dismissing the idea out of hand, consider that the apparent silence out there could
have any number of possible reasons. We who are so new to understanding the depth and potential of syntactical information flow -- are we the best judges of what is possible, let alone dangerous to others?
Would it really hurt to spend a little while advancing our knowledge?
ACTIVE SETI RISKS ALERTING DANGEROUS ENTITIES TO OUR PRESENCE-Grinspoon ‘07
[David; staff writer; Who Speaks for Earth?; Seed Magazine; 12 Dec 2007; http://seedmagazine.com/content/article/who_speaks_for_earth/; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Zaitsev has already sent several powerful messages to nearby, sun-like stars—a practice called “Active SETI.” But some scientists feel that he’s not only acting out of turn, but also independently speaking for everyone on the entire planet. Moreover, they believe there are possible dangers we may unleash by announcing ourselves to the unknown darkness, and if anyone plans to transmit messages from Earth, they want the rest of the world to be involved. For years the debate over Active SETI versus passive “listening” has mostly been confined to SETI insiders. But late last year the controversy boiled over into public view after the journal Nature published an editorial scolding the SETI community for failing to conduct an open discussion on the remote, but real, risks of unregulated signals to the stars. And in September, two major figures resigned from an elite SETI study group in protest. All this despite the fact that SETI’s ongoing quest has so far been largely fruitless. For Active SETI’s critics, the potential for alerting dangerous or malevolent entities to our presence is enough to justify their concern.


WE CANNOT RISK THE SURVIVAL OF HUMANITY WITHOUT KNOWING MORE ABOUT WHO WILL RECEIVE OUR MESSAGES-Grinspoon ‘07
[David; staff writer; Who Speaks for Earth?; Seed Magazine; 12 Dec 2007; http://seedmagazine.com/content/article/who_speaks_for_earth/; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

“We’re talking about initiating communication with other civilizations, but we know nothing of their goals, capabilities, or intent,” reasons John Billingham, a senior scientist at the private SETI Institute in Mountain View, California. Billingham studied medicine at Oxford and headed NASA’s first extraterrestrial search effort in 1976. He believes we should apply the Hippocratic Oath’s primary tenet to our galactic behavior: “First, do no harm.” For years Billingham served as the chairman of the Permanent Study Group (PSG) of the SETI subcommittee of the International Academy of Astronautics, a widely accepted forum for devising international SETI agreements. But despite his deep involvement with the group, Billingham resigned in September, feeling the PSG is unwisely refusing to take a stand urging broad, interdisciplinary consultation on Active SETI. “At the very least we ought to talk about it first, and not just SETI people. We have a responsibility to the future well-being and survival of humankind.”


WE HAVEN’T ALREADY GIVEN OURSELVES AWAY, ACTIVE SETI SENDS MUCH MORE POWERFUL AND DIRECTED MESSAGES TO SPACE-Grinspoon ‘07
[David; staff writer; Who Speaks for Earth?; Seed Magazine; 12 Dec 2007; http://seedmagazine.com/content/article/who_speaks_for_earth/; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

This is one reason why most SETI pioneers advocated a “first, just listen” approach. But there is another: What if there is something dangerous out there that could be alerted by our broadcasts? This ground has been explored in numerous scientific papers and, of course, in countless works of science fiction. Few people alive today embody the convergence of hard science and fictional speculation better than David Brin, an author of both peer-reviewed astronomy papers and award-winning science fiction novels. In an influential 1983 paper titled “The Great Silence,” Brin provided a kind of taxonomy of explanations for the lack of an obvious alien presence. In addition to the usual answers positing that humanity is alone, or so dull that aliens have no interest in us, Brin included a more disturbing possibility: Nobody is on the air because something seeks and destroys everyone who broadcasts. Like Billingham and Michaud, he feels the PSG is dominated by a small number of people who don’t want to acknowledge Active SETI’s potential dangers.


Even if something menacing and terrible lurks out there among the stars, Zaitsev and others argue that regulating our transmissions could be pointless because, technically, we’ve already blown our cover. A sphere of omnidirectional broadband signals has been spreading out from Earth at the speed of light since the advent of radio over a century ago. So isn’t it too late? That depends on the sensitivity of alien radio detectors, if they exist at all. Our television signals are diffuse and not targeted at any star system. It would take a truly huge antenna—larger than anything we’ve built or plan to build—to notice them.
THERE IS A PROFOUND DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SETI AND ACTIVE SETI; THE LATTER RISKS INCREDIBLE DANGERS-Allen-Mills ‘07
[Tony; staff writer; Don’t Call The Aliens, They Might Not Be Friendly; The Times (London); 16 Dec 2007; http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article3056423.ece; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Yet critics argue that listening for signals and actively seeking out alien life are very different pursuits. At the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow, Alexander Zaitsev, chief scientist at the Institute of Radio Engineering and Electronics, has been using a 70-metre-wide radio telescope in the Crimea to beam signals to nearby star systems – a practice known as “active Seti”.


It is the steady shift from listening to transmitting that has divided the Seti community and raised awkward questions that no one has yet been able to answer. Who will speak for Earth if an alien civilisation replies? And are we really in danger of inviting Armageddon? Sir Bernard Lovell, the British founder of Jodrell Bank, once remarked that it was a “dangerous assumption” that any alien life would turn out to be friendly.
SOLVENCY: WE NEED TO BROADCAST (METI/ACTIVE SETI)
ADOPTING A POLICY OF ONLY LISTENING WILL DOOM SETI TO FAILURE-Grinspoon ‘07
[David; staff writer; Who Speaks for Earth?; Seed Magazine; 12 Dec 2007; http://seedmagazine.com/content/article/who_speaks_for_earth/; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

Alexander Zaitsev, Chief Scientist at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Radio Engineering and Electronics, has access to one of the most powerful radio transmitters on Earth. Though he officially uses it to conduct the Institute’s planetary radar studies, Zaitsev is also trying to contact other civilizations in nearby star systems. He believes extraterrestrial intelligence exists, and that we as a species have a moral obligation to announce our presence to our sentient neighbors in the Milky Way—to let them know they are not alone. If everyone in the galaxy only listens, he reasons, the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) is doomed to failure.


TRANSMISSION IS A CRITICAL PRESSING NEED OF AN ADVANCED CIVILIZATION-Zaitsev ‘11

[Alezander, IRE of Russia; Rationale for METI; 2011; http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1105/1105.0910.pdf; retrieved 13 August 2011]


Transmission of the information into the Cosmos is treated as one of the pressing needs of an advanced civilization. The inability to meet this need, the forced withdrawal into self-imposed isolation can lead to the extinction of civilization.
MUST TRANSMIT TO BE A HIGHLY-DEVELOPED CIVILIZATION-Zaitsev ‘11

[Alezander, IRE of Russia; Rationale for METI; 2011; http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1105/1105.0910.pdf; retrieved 13 August 2011]


More than 40 years ago, Nicholas Kardashev (1971) expressed the profound idea that the transmission of information into the Cosmos, to the address of alleged "brothers on reason" is a vital and a natural need of highly developed civilization. He wrote: "There are reasons to believe that transmission of information is one of the basic conditions of existence for super-civilizations". It is clear that METI is treated not as a “bait” to attract other civilizations and to ensure the success of terrestrial searching, but as something immeasurably greater, namely, as one of the fundamental requirements of an advanced civilization. Extremely interesting is the historical aspect of the problem. We give only two examples among many. In the early of 19th century,

Carl Gauss was thinking about how to tell the aliens of the existence of intelligent beings on Earth. In 1896 Konstantin Tsiolkovsky published in the weekly "Kaluga Herald” an article with the project on the same topic. The main question related to these and many similar projects (Schirber, 2009), is: "How to understand the interest of the outstanding scientists of the past to this problem? Why do they think about these topics and with which connected such need?" The issue is not as simple as itseems at first glance, it should not be reduced to the appearance of possible eccentricities of those noted scientists…

SOLVENCY: ALIEN HACKERS
BEFORE WE CONTINUE SETI, WE MUST ASSESS THE THREAT OF A HACK AND IMPLEMENT PROTECTIVE MEASURES-Carrigan ‘06
[Richard; Researcher @ Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory; Do potential SETI signals need to be decontaminated?; 03 Aug 2006; http://home.fnal.gov/~carrigan/SETI/SETI_Hacker_AC-03-IAA-8-3-06.pdf; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

The combination of energy cost and speed of transmission strongly favor the use of electromagnetic signals for propagation of information over interstellar distances. Present SETI


efforts concentrate on electromagnetic searches. An electromagnetic signal is feasible even with current earth-based technologies and can carry enough information to be dangerous. However,
for an ETI signal some sort of translator is required at the receiving end. As a result, the signal needs a lure to induce the receiver to untangle the message. Such a lure would probably be quite interesting and appear reasonable in intent. This implies care should be taken in working with SETI signals.
This situation deserves serious attention from the SETI community. The possibility of a malevolent SETI Hacker signal must be assessed and protective measures should be put in place.
A MESSAGE SENT BACK COULD HACK INTO OUR COMPUTER SYSTEMS-Carrigan ‘06
[Richard; Researcher @ Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory; Do potential SETI signals need to be decontaminated?; 03 Aug 2006; http://home.fnal.gov/~carrigan/SETI/SETI_Hacker_AC-03-IAA-8-3-06.pdf; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

The central premise of this article is that an ETI signal could be malevolent. The concept is that the signal might be able to take over the receiving computer or urge the construction of a translator with an unknown agenda. I call this hypothesis “SETI Hacker.” This concept is not new. It is a theme in a large body of science fiction7. What is new here is an attempt to discuss the possibility in analytical terms and look for means to denature SETI signals.



WE NEED TO HAVE A SYSTEM IN PLACE TO PROTECT OURSELVES FROM A MALEVOLENT SETI HACKER-Carrigan ‘06
[Richard; Researcher @ Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory; Do potential SETI signals need to be decontaminated?; 03 Aug 2006; http://home.fnal.gov/~carrigan/SETI/SETI_Hacker_AC-03-IAA-8-3-06.pdf; retrieved 20 Jun 2011]

As noted earlier, archaeological signatures and beacons appear to be comparatively safe for SETI. Characteristically a beacon would transmit little information. On the other hand it may be a short step from a beacon to a message. For example a beacon could point to a signal in a


different wavelength band where a message was coming in. A message should be approached with great care. It may be extremely dangerous! Put simply the receiver needs virus protection and it had better have an electronic condom.
At least two scenarios need to be considered in protecting against a malevolent SETI Hacker signal. One is a computer virus in the message that takes over the computer at the receiver. The other is an open message that gives an impenetrable software code or instructions for a hardware translator to handle an opaque message. Both cases are dangerous. The damage may be done before the receiver appreciates that it is under attack. This is the current experience even with earth-based hacker attacks. There may not be an opportunity to pull the signal out of the computer or turn off the power before the intruding signal has taken over.


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