Ds 533 Fall 2004 Exam # 3



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Mid-Valley Travel Agency (MVTA) has offices in 12 cities. The company believes that its monthly airline bookings are related to the mean income in those cities and has collected the following data:




Location

Bookings

Income

1

1098

43299

2

1131

45021

3

1120

40290

4

1142

41893

5

971

30620

6

1403

48105

7

855

27482

8

1054

33025

9

1081

34687

10

982

28725

11

1098

37892

12

1387

46198

The data are analyzed using regression analysis. The partial computer output is given below:



SUMMARY OUTPUT

























Regression Statistics










Multiple R

0.879189










R Square

0.772974










Adjusted R Square

0.750271










Standard Error

78.16735










Observations

12

























ANOVA













 

df

SS

MS

F

Regression

1

208036.3

208036.3

34.04775

Residual

10

61101.35

6110.135




Total

11

269137.7

 

 
















 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

371.6758

128.5571

2.891133

0.016076

X Variable 1

0.019381

0.003322









  1. What is the estimated least square regression line?




  1. What is the standard error of the estimate?

S =78.167

  1. Forecast the number of bookings when the mean income is $51385.




  1. Test the significance of the regression coefficient at the 5% level (state the null and alternative hypothesis, the value of your test statistic, the p-value or the decision rule, and your conclusion).

H0 : 1 = 0



Ha ; 1 ≠ 0

P-value < 2(.005) = .01


Reject H0.

Mean income is a significant predictor of the air line bookings.





  1. Give an interval estimate of 1 with a 95% confidence coefficient.




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