Econ 505: Economic Models and Forecasting Homework Assignment #2 jj espinoza Problem 1



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The results of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test on DSPI are shown in the image below. Note that the Null-Hypothesis is that DSPI has a unit root or that DSPI is non-stationary. The t-statistics is -1.615 which is not statistically significant at the 10% level so we cannot reject the Null-Hypothesis that DSPI has a unit root/is non-stationary.



The results of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test on DSPI are shown in the image below. Note that the Null-Hypothesis is that DSPI has a unit root or that DSPI is non-stationary. The t-statistics is -0.4304 which is not statistically significant at the 10% level so we cannot reject the Null-Hypothesis that DSPI has a unit root/is non-stationary.



Using the Correlogram which is a plot of the sample auto-regression function against its lag length we can also see that PCE and DSPI are non-stationary because we have large and decreasing ACF (autocorrelation function).




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