Ghp272 Foundations of Global Health and Population Fall 2012 Sessions



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Bloom, D.E., Cafiero, E.T., Jané-Llopis, E., Abrahams-Gessel, S., Bloom, L.R., Fathima, S., Feigl, A.B., Gaziano, T., Mowafi, M., Pandya, A., Prettner, K., Rosenberg, L., Seligman, B., Stein, A.Z., & Weinstein, C. (2011). The Global Economic Burden of Noncommunicable Diseases. Geneva: World Economic Forum. Executive Summary.



Fries, J.F. (1980). “Aging, natural death, and the compression of morbidity.” New England Journal of Medicine. 303 (3): 130-135.
Kalache A, Aboderin I, & Hoskins I (2002). “Compression of morbidity and active ageing: key priorities for public health policy in the 21st century.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 80(3): 243-4.
Crimmins, Eileen M., and Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez. “Mortality and Morbidity Trends: Is There Compression of Morbidity?” The Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences 66B, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 75 –86.
Kirk, D. (1996). “Demographic Transition Theory.” Population Studies. 50(3): 361-387
Miranda, J.J., S. Kinra, J.P. Casas, G. Davey Smith, and S. Ebrahim. (2008). “Non-communicable diseases in low- and middle-income countries: context, determinants, and health policy.” Tropical Medicine and International Health. 13(10):1225-1234.
Murray, C.J.L., A.D. Lopez, et al., Eds. (1996). “Summary.” The global burden of disease. Cambridge, MA, Published by the Harvard School of Public Health on behalf of the WHO and the World Bank. [pdf on iSite]
Omran, A.R. (1971). “The epidemiologic transition: A theory of the epidemiology of population change.” Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 49(4): 509-538.
Yach, D. (2005). “Global chronic diseases.” Science. 307:317.
Recommended:

Bremner, J. A. Frost, C. Haub, M. Mather, K. Ringheim, and E. Zuehlke (2010). “WorldPopulationHighlights: KeyFindingsFromPRB's 2010 WorldPopulationDataSheet.


Caldwell, J. (1976). “Toward a restatement of Demographic Transition Theory.” Pop. Dev. Review, 2: 321-366.
Clemens, M. (2007). “Do visas kill? Health effects of African health professional emigration.” Working Paper Number 114. Center for Global Development.
Economist Intelligence Unit (2009). Breakaway: The global burden of cancer— challenges and opportunities Available from: http://livestrongblog.org/GlobalEconomicImpact.pdf
Farmer, P., J.Frenk, F.M. Knaul, L.N. Schulman, G. Alleyne, L. Armstrong, et al. (2010). “Expansion of cancer care and control in countries of low and middle income: a call to action. Lancet In Press, Corrected Proof, Available online 13 August 2010
Frenk, J., J. Bobadilla, et al. (1994). “Elements for a Theory of the Health Transition.” Health and Social Change in International Perspective. L. C. Chen, A. Kleinman and N. C. Ware. Boston, MA, Distributed by Harvard University Press: 25-49.
Global Commission on International Migration (2005). “Migrationinaninterconnectedworld: Principlesforaction
Horiuchi, S. (1997). “Epidemiological transitions in developed countries: Past, present and future.” Chapter 2 in Health and Mortality: Issues of Global Concern, pp. 54-71. Brussels: Population and Family Study Centre, Flemish Scientific Institute.
Kinsella, K. and W. He (2009). “An Aging World: 2008.” US Census Bureau International Population Reports: P95/09-1.
Lancet. (2009). “Alcohol: a global health priority.” Lancet. 373:2173.
Lee, R. (2003). “The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change.” The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(4): 167-190.
Mason, K.O. (1997) “Explaining Fertility Transitions.” Demography, 34(4): 443-454.
McGee, T. (2001). “UrbanizationTakesonNewDimensionsinAsia'sPopulationGiants,” Population Reference Bureau.
Montgomery, M. and National Research Council. (2003). “Panel on Urban Population Dynamics.” Cities transformed: demographic change and its implications in the developing world. Washington, DC, National Academies Press
Murray, S. (2010). “Thequalityofdeath. Rankingend-of-lifecareacrosstheworld.” A report from the Economist Intelligence Unit.
Omran, A.R. (1977). “Epidemiologic Transition in the U.S.: The Health Factor in Population Change.” Population Bulletin 32(2): 1-42.
Population Reference Bureau (2010). “2010 WorldPopulationDataSheet.”
Salomon, J.A. and C.J.L. Murray (2002) “The Epidemiologic Transition Revisited: Compositional Models for Causes of Death by Age and Sex” Population and Development Review 28 (2): 205-228.
Simon, J. (1993). “The Economic Effects of Immigration.” European Review. 1 (1): 109-116.
UN Human Settlements Programme (HABITAT) (2008). “TheStateoftheWorld'sCitiesReport 2008-2009: HarmoniousCities.” Nairobi, Kenya, United Nations Centre for Human Settlements.
UNFPA (2005). InternationalMigrationandtheMillenniumDevelopmentGoals. New York, New York: UNFPA.
World Health Organization (2010). Healthofmigrants: thewayforward. Report of a global consultation. Madrid, Spain 3-5 March 2010. Geneva: WHO. [pp. 4-6; 19-21; browse the rest of the report].
Session 6: Discussion of readings (9/17/12)

No required reading.


Sessions 8: Population and health data (9/21/12)
Required:

Bleek, W. (1987). “Lying Informants: A Fieldwork Experience from Ghana.“ Population and Development Review. 13(2): 314-322.


Chandramohan,D., K. Shibuya, et al. (2008). “Should Data from Demographic Surveillance Systems Be Made More Widely Available to Researchers?” PLoS Med 5(2):e57.

Hill, K., Thomas, K., et al. (2007). “Estimates of maternal mortality worldwide between 1990 and 2005: an assessment of available data.” Lancet 370 (9595): 1311-1319.

Levitt, S.D. and S.J. Dubner, (2005) “Where Have All the Criminals Gone?” In Freakonomics. Harper Collins Publishers. pp 117-146. [pdf on iSite]
Myers, R.J. (1978). “An Investigation of the Age of an Alleged Centenarian.” Demography. 15(2): 235-236.
Recommended:

Bialik, C. (2007). “Flaws in measuring the world’s poor may hinder solutions.” The Wall Street Journal, Print Edition June 1, 2007, Page B1.


Black, R.E., S. Cousens, H.L. Johnson, J.E. Lawn, I. Rudan, D.G. Bassani, P. Jha, H. Campbell, C. F. Walker, R. Cibulskis, T. Eisele, L. Liu, C. Mathers, for the Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group of WHO and UNICEF (2010). “Global, regional, and national causes of child mortality in 2008: a systematic analysis.” Lancet 375: 1969 – 1987.
Bloom, D.E. (1998). “Technology, experimentation, andthequalityofsurveydata.” Science. 280(5365): 847-8.
Chen, S., and M. Ravallion (2008). “The Developing World Is Poorer Than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight against Poverty.” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4703.
Cross, S., J.S. Bell, and W.J. Graham (2010). “What you count is what you target: the implications of maternal death classification for tracking progress towards reducing maternal mortality in developing countries.” Bull WHO 88:147-153.
Ewbank, D.C. (1981). Age Misreporting and Age-selective Underenumeration: Sources, Patterns, and Consequences for Demographic Analysis. Washington, D.C., National Academy Press.
Greenberg, S.A. (2009). “How citation distortions create unfounded authority: analysis of a citation network.” BMJ. 339:b2680.
Hetzel, A.M. (1997). HistoryandOrganizationoftheVitalStatisticsSystem. Washington DC, National Center for Health Statistics.
Hogan, M.C., K.J. Foreman, M. Naghavi, S.Y. Ahn, M. Wang, S. M. Makela, A.D. Lopez, R. Lozano, and C.J.L. Murray (2010). “Maternal mortality for 181 countries, 1980-2008: a systematic analysis of progress toward Millennium Development Goal 5.” Lancet 375:1609-1623.
Joyce, T.J. (2009). “Abortion and crime: a review.” NBER Working Paper No. 15098
List, J.A. (2007). “Field Experiments: A Bridge between lab and naturally-occurring data.” John A. List. NBER Working Paper 12992. http://www.nber.org/papers/w12992.
The Lancet series on ‘Health Statistics, 2007-8. URL: http://www.thelancet.com/collections/series/health_statistics
The Lancet series on ‘Who Counts?’, 2007-8. URL: http://www.thelancet.com/online/focus/who-counts/collection
Patton, G.C., C. Coffey, S.M. Sawyer, R.M. Viner, D.M. Haller, K. Bose, T. Vos, J. Ferguson, and C.D. Mathers (2009). “Global patterns of mortality in young people: a systematic analysis of population health data.” Lancet 374:881-892.
Rajaratnam, J.K., J.R. Marcus, A.D Flaxman, H. Wang, A. Levin-Rector, L. Dwyer, M. Costa, A.D. Lopez, and C.J.L. Murray (2010). “Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970-2010: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4.” Lancet 375: 1988 – 2008.
Rajaratnam, J.K., J. R. Marcus, A. Levin-Rector, A.N. Chalupka, H. Wang, L. Dwyer, M. Costa, A.D. Lopez, and C.J.L. Murray (2010). “Worldwide mortality in men and women aged 15-59 years from 1970-2010: a systematic analysis.” Lancet 375:1704-1720.
Salomon, J., S. Nordhagen, S. Oza, and C.J.L. Murray (2009). “Are Americans feeling less healthy? The puzzle of trends in self-rated health.” American Journal of Epidemiology. 170(3):343-351.
Smith, H.L. (1997). “ImplementationofademographicandcontraceptivesurveillancesysteminfourcountiesinnorthChina.” Population Research and Policy Review. 16(4): 289-314.
Tools and Methods for Estimating Populations at Risk from Natural Disasters and Complex Humanitarian Crises. (2007) Committee on the Effective Use of Data, Methodologies and Technologies to Estimate Subnational Populations at Risk, Board on Earth Sciences and Resources, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Committee on Population, Division of Behavioral and Social Science and Education. National Research Council. Washington DC: The National Academies Press.
World Health Organization (2008). “The global burden of disease: 2004 update.” Geneva, World Health Organization.
You, D., T. Wardlaw, P. Salama, and G. Jones (2009). “Levels and trends in under-5 mortality.” Lancet 375: 100 – 103.
See ‘Notable Readings’ for full citations of Lancet Series.
Session 9: Demographic methods and models (9/24/12)
Required:

Bennett, N.G. (2000). “Demographic Methods.” In Encyclopedia of Sociology, E. F. Borgatta and R. J. V. Montgomery (eds). New York, Macmillan Reference USA: 5 v. [pdf on iSite] [Please note that you need not comprehend all calculus formulas in the article. Just acquaint yourself with the general principles.]


Haupt, A. and T.T. Kane (2004). Population Handbook (5th edition). Washington, DC, Population Reference Bureau. Chapters 1-3, pp. 1-20.
Mahoney , J. and G. Goertz. (2006). “A Tale of Two Cultures: Contrasting Quantitative and Qualitative Research.” Political Analysis 14: 227-249.
Recommended:

Lee, Ronald. “The Outlook for Population Growth.” Science 333, no. 6042 (July 29, 2011): 569 –573.


Coale, A.J. (1972). The growth and structure of human populations: a mathematical investigation. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University Press.
McFalls, J., and A. Joseph. (1998). “Population: ALivelyIntroduction.” Population Bulletin. 58(4): 3-40.
O'Neill, B.C., D. Balk, et al. (2001). “AGuidetoGlobalPopulationProjections.” Demographic Research. 4(8): 203-288.
Palmore, J.A. and R.W. Gardner (1983). “Measuring mortality, fertility, and natural increase: a self-teaching guide to elementary measures.” Honolulu, Hawaii, East-West Population Institute East-West Center.
Swanson, D., J.S. Siegel, et al. (2004). “The methods and materials of demography.” San Diego, CA, Elsevier Academic Press.

Session 10: Session on data and software (9/26/12)
Required:

Anand, S. and K. Hansen (1997). “Disability-adjusted life years: a critical review.” Journal of Health Economics 16(6):685-702.


Gold, M.R., D. Stevenson, and D.G. Fryback (2002). “HALYs and QALYs and DALYs, Oh my: Similarities and differences in summary measures of population health.” Annu. Rev. Public Health. 23:115-134.

Murray, C.J.L. and A.D. Lopez (1996). Chapter 1: “Rethinking DALYs.” The Global Burden of Disease: a comprehensive assessment of mortality and disability from diseases, injuries, and risk factors in 1990 and projected to 2020. C. J. L. Murray, A. D. Lopez, Harvard School of Public Health, World Health Organization and World Bank. Cambridge, MA, Distributed by Harvard University Press: 1-43. [pdf on iSite]

Visit the Demographic and Health Survey StatCompiler website: http://statcompiler.com/

Human Development Indicators now on Google's Data Explorer (2011): http://content.undp.org/go/newsroom/2011/may/human-development-indicators-now-on-googles-data-explorer.en



Recommended:Deaton A. (1997). Theanalysisofhouseholdsurveys: amicroeconometricapproachtodevelopmentpolicy. Washington, DC: World Bank [Read pages 40-62; starting at descriptive statistics from survey data] Available from: http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/1997/07/01/000009265_3980420172958/Rendered/PDF/multi_page.pdf
Session 11: Introduction to international development (9/28/12)
Required:

Sachs, J.D. (2005). “Can Extreme Poverty Be Eliminated?” Scientific American. 293(3): 56-65.

Sen, A.K. (1999). “Preface and Introduction”. Development as Freedom. A. K. Sen. New York, Knopf: xi-xiv, 3-12. [pdf on iSite]
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) (2003). Chapter 1: The Millennium Development Goals. Human Development Report 2003: Millennium Development Goals: A compact among nations to end human poverty. New York, Oxford University Press: 27-32. Browse the various indicator tables.
United Nations (2012). Overview: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2012. New York, United Nations: 4-5.

Recommended:

Bloom, D. and J. Sachs (1998). “Geography, Demography, and Economic Growth in Africa.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. 2: 207-295.


Schultz, T.P., and J.A. Strauss. HandbookofDevelopmentEconomics. Elsevier Publishing, 2007. Volumes 1-4.
World Bank (2003). Overview. WorldDevelopmentReport 2003: SustainableDevelopmentinaDynamicEconomy. World Bank: 1-26.
Session 12: Population and health in international development (10/1/12)
Required:

Bloom, D.E. and D. Canning (2000). “Policy forum: public health. The health and wealth of nations.“ Science 287 (5456): 1207, 1209.


Bloom, D.E. and D. Canning. (2008). “Global Demographic Change: Dimensions and Economic Significance,” Population and Development Review. Vol. 34 (supp):17-51.

Clinton, H.R. (2009). ForeignPolicyAddressattheCouncilonForeignRelations. 15 July 2009. http://www.cfr.org/diplomacy/conversation-us-secretary-state-hillary-rodham-clinton-video/p19804


Leahy, E., R. Engelman, C.G. Vogel, S. Haddock, and T. Preston (2010). The Shape of Things to Come Why Age Structure Matters to a Safer, More Equitable World. Washington, DC: Population Action International. [Read the Executive Summary and Recommendations, pp. 9-13].
Lee, R. and D. Mason (2006). "What is the Demographic Dividend?" Finance and Development , 43(3), 16-17.
Recommended:

Banerjee, A.V. and E. Duflo (2006). The Economic Lives of the Poor. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5968


Birdsall, N. and S. W. Sinding (2001). How and Why Population Matters: New Findings, New Issues. Population Matters: Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World. N. Birdsall, A. C. Kelley and S. W. Sinding. Oxford; New York, Oxford University Press: 3-23.
Bloom, D.E, D. Canning, D. Jamison, et al. (2004). “Health, Wealth and Welfare.” Finance and Development 41(1): 10-15.
Bloom, D.E, D. Canning, and J. Sevilla (2002). “The Demographic Dividend: A New Perspective on the Economic Consequences of Population Change.”Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, MR-1274.
Bloom, D.E. and D. Canning. (2007). "ThePrestonCurve 30 YearsOn: StillSparkingFires" International Journal of Epidemiology. 36(3).
Bloom, D.E., D. Canning and G. Fink (2009). Disease and development revisited. NBER Working Paper 15137. Available from: http://www.nber.org/papers/w15137
Commission on Macroeconomics and Health (2001). Papers & Reports, Commission on Macroeconomics and Health.
Deaton, A. (2003). “Health, inequality, and economic development.” Journal of Economic Literature 41(1): 113–58.
Easterly W. “A Modest Proposal“. Washington Post. March 13, 2005.
The Economist. "HealthandWealth." The Economist Print Edition, November 20th, 2008.
Gwatkin, D.R. (2000). “Health inequalities and the health of the poor: what do we know? What can we do?“ Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 78(1): 3-18.
Kawachi, I. (2000). “Income Inequality and Health.” Social Epidemiology. L. F. Berkman and I. Kawachi. New York, Oxford University Press: 76-94.
Kawachi, I., S.V. Subramanian, and N. Almeida-Filho. (2002). “A glossary for health inequalities.” J Epidemiol Community Health 2002;56:647–652
Kremer, M. (1993) “Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million B.C. to 1990.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 108(3): 681-716.
McKeown, T. (1976). “Chapter 1 and Conclusions. The Modern Rise of Population. T. McKeown. New York, Academic Press: 1-17, 152-163.”
Navaneetham, K. (2002). “Age structural transition and economic growth: evidence from south and southeast Asia.” Kerala, India, Centre for Development Studies (CDS).
Preston, S.H. (1975). “The Changing Relation between Mortality and Level of Economic Development.” Population Studies 29(2): 231-248.
Preston, S.H. and P. Donaldson (1986). "PopulationGrowthandEconomicDevelopment." Asia-Pacific Population Journal 1(2): 3-12.
OECD and World Health Organization (WHO) (2003). Chapter 3: Key Policy Areas for Pro-poor Health. DAC Guidelines and Reference Series: Poverty and Health. OECD and World Health Organization (WHO). Paris, OECD Publications. pp. 54-66.
Reuters UK. (2010). “Doesthe "billionthAfrican" meanboonorburden?”
Romer, P.M. (1990) “Endogenous Technological Change.” Journal of Political Economy 98(5, Part 2: The Problem of Development: A Conference of the Institute for the Study of Free Enterprise Systems): s71-s102.
Schultz, T.P. (2005). “Productive Benefits of Health: Evidence from Low-Income Countries.” in Guillem López-Casasnovas, Berta Rivera and Luis Currais, eds. Health and Economic Growth: Findings and Policy Implications., MIT Press: 257-285.
Strauss, J. and D. Thomas (1998). “Health, Nutrition, and Economic Development.” Journal of Economic Literature. 36(2): 766-817.
Subramanian, S.V., T. Blakely, et al. (2003). “Income inequality as a public health concern: where do we stand? Commentary on “Is exposure to income inequality a public health concern?“ Health Serv Res 38(1 Pt 1): 153-67.
Wagstaff, A. and E. van Doorslaer (2000). “Income inequality and health: what does the literature tell us?“ Annual Review of Public Health 21: 543-67.
World Health Organization (WHO). “Health, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction – Executive Summary.” In the Report of Working Group 1 of the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health. (pages 1-3)
World Health Organization Europe (2003). SocialDeterminantsofHealth: TheSolidFacts (2ndedition). Eds. Richard Wilkinson and Michael Marmot. Copenhagen: World Health Organization Europe.

Session 13: Migration, immigration and urbanization (10/3/12)
Required:

Bloom, D.E., D. Canning, and G. Fink. (2008). “Urbanization and the wealth of nations.” Science. Vol. 319. February 8.

Bloom, D. and T. Khanna. (2007). “Theurbanrevolution.” Finance & Development. 44(3)

CQ Global Researcher (2009). “Rapid Urbanization: Can Cities Cope with Rampant Growth?” 3(4): 91-118. [pdf on iSite]




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