How Small Can You Go? Combining Census and Survey Data for Mapping Poverty in South Africa


Table 6: Regression Results by Province (Continued)



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Table 6: Regression Results by Province (Continued)




Variable

Northwest Province.

Gauteng

Mpumalanga

Northern Province.

# of males aged 0-10

-0.124**

-0.099**

-0.055**

0.017




[ 0.021]

[ 0.018]

[ 0.019]

[ 0.026]

# of males aged 11-20

-0.152**

-0.166**

-0.073**

-0.052*




[ 0.021]

[ 0.019]

[ 0.020]

[ 0.027]

# of males aged 21-40

-0.099**

-0.053**

-0.035

-0.045




[ 0.025]

[ 0.020]

[ 0.021]

[ 0.029]

# of males aged 41-65

-0.056*

-0.021

0.011

0.135**




[ 0.031]

[ 0.025]

[ 0.028]

[ 0.035]

# of females aged 0-10

-0.123**

-0.110**

-0.032*

0.009




[ 0.021]

[ 0.018]

[ 0.019]

[ 0.025]

# of females aged 11-20

-0.147**

-0.184**

-0.077**

-0.051*




[ 0.022]

[ 0.020]

[ 0.020]

[ 0.026]

# of females aged 21-40

-0.162**

-0.160**

-0.095**

-0.083**




[ 0.025]

[ 0.022]

[ 0.022]

[ 0.029]

# of females aged 41-65

-0.234**

-0.219**

-0.137**

-0.129**




[ 0.030]

[ 0.025]

[ 0.028]

[ 0.034]

# of individuals. categorized as African

-0.008

-0.080**

-0.077**

-0.130**




[ 0.011]

[ 0.007]

[ 0.012]

[ 0.020]

# of individuals. categorized as white

0.143**

0.104**

0.121**

0.033




[ 0.016]

[ 0.008]

[ 0.016]

[ 0.026]

HH lives in a formal dwelling

-0.199**

0.009

0.183**

0.230**




[ 0.038]

[ 0.037]

[ 0.033]

[ 0.033]

# of rooms per person

0.264**

0.222**

0.234**

0.262**




[ 0.014]

[ 0.011]

[ 0.014]

[ 0.017]

HH owns the dwelling

0.233**

0.250**

0.274**

0.138**




[ 0.029]

[ 0.024]

[ 0.027]

[ 0.039]

Sanitary services available

0.524**

0.282**

0.030

0.223**




[ 0.040]

[ 0.054]

[ 0.040]

[ 0.047]

Electricity for lighting available

0.309**

0.308**

0.388**

0.255**




[ 0.038]

[ 0.047]

[ 0.032]

[ 0.036]

Refuse available

-0.089**

0.126**

0.046

-0.189**




[ 0.040]

[ 0.031]

[ 0.039]

[ 0.047]

Telephone available

0.319**

0.338**

0.152**

0.385**




[ 0.042]

[ 0.026]

[ 0.040]

[ 0.050]

# of individuals. who completed primary education

0.090**

0.070**

0.034**

0.117**




[ 0.013]

[ 0.013]

[ 0.012]

[ 0.014]

# of professionals

0.425**

0.245**

0.356**

0.437**




[ 0.024]

[ 0.015]

[ 0.024]

[ 0.025]

# of skilled laborers

0.214**

0.119**

0.209**

0.306**




[ 0.031]

[ 0.021]

[ 0.026]

[ 0.037]

Adjusted R^2

.716

.699

.709

.600

N

2441

3247

2370

2634

Standard errors in parentheses

* denotes significance at the 5% level and ** at the 1% level.


Annex Table 1: Headcount Index by Province


Province

Headcount ratio

Imputed Mean Household Expenditure

Free State

0.48 (0.0008)

1819

Eastern Cape

0.48 (0.0006)

1702

Northern Province

0.38 (0.0010)

1855

North West

0.37 (0.0008)

2137

Northern Cape

0.35 (0.0012)

2396

KwaZulu-Natal

0.26 (0.0009)

2579

Mpumalanga

0.25 (0.0017)

2394

Gauteng

0.12 (0.0012)

4270

Western Cape

0.12 (0.0011)

3816

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