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Absent US pressure, relations would trend downwards --- squo solves relations

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Absent US pressure, relations would trend downwards --- squo solves relations RM 6/14 (RM, citing over 50 experts’ opinions on the China-Russia military alliance, 6-14-2019, "Expert Round-Up: How Likely Is a China-Russia Military Alliance?," Russia Matters, https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/expert-round-how-likely-china-russia-military-alliance) ank Full alliance means a written commitment to support each other militarily. We are not likely to have such a treaty [between China and Russia] in the foreseeable future. But the actual level of defense cooperation and policy coordination is that of an alliance. … If there was no U.S. pressure, the two sides would maintain close relations but would avoid getting too close. (The National Interest, 07.25.17) China is gradually but irreversibly acquiring a guaranteed and reliable trade partner in the north—essentially, its "very own Canada." Those deepening ties lie beyond the reach of Western sanctions, blockades or potential military pressure directed against Russia. In fact, it is popular among Chinese experts on Russia to point to the Canada-U.S. relationship as the optimal model for relations between the two countries. (The Moscow Times, 05.27.14) In a joint statement, Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping speak not only of a "new stage in relations, comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation." They also point to the need to "resist interference in the internal affairs of other states, to reject the language of unilateral sanctions and organizations … and activities aimed at altering the constitutional order of another state or its involvement in a multilateral association or union." That statement essentially formalized the Russian-Chinese "anti-revolutionary alliance" that had begun de facto with the two countries' effective efforts to stymie Western intervention in Syria. (The Moscow Times, 05.27.14) Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program, Center for a New American Security; and David Shullman, Senior Advisor, International Republican Institute [T]oday’s skeptics argue that concerns about deepening Chinese-Russian relations are overblown and that the two powers are unlikely to enter into a formal alliance. The conventional wisdom no longer applies. Already, the depth of relations between Beijing and Moscow has exceeded what observers would have expected just a few years ago. Moreover, the two countries acting in concert could inflict significant damage on U.S. interests even if they never form an alliance. In fact, whether Russia and China are becoming formal allies is not really the relevant question today. Rather, the questions policymakers should be asking are how deep their partnership will grow, how it will affect U.S. interests and what Washington can do to shape its trajectory and ameliorate its negative effects on the United States and other democracies. (Foreign Affairs, 05.14.19) [A]lthough Russia and China may have initially banded together in discontent, their repeated interactions are fostering a deeper and enduring partnership. As Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi put it in a press conference in March, Beijing’s relations with Moscow are increasingly “steady and mature.” As Moscow and Beijing work together on areas of mutual interest, from North Korea to the Iran nuclear deal, they lay the foundation for a deep and enduring partnership. (Foreign Affairs, 05.14.19) Download 0.83 Mb. Share with your friends: