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Impacts- Econ Bad- China Arms Build Up
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Impacts- Econ Bad- China Arms Build UpChinese economic growth is used to increase defense budgets and build up military Shah 7/7 (Anup, founder of global issues, 7.7.10, global issues, http://www.globalissues.org/article/75/world-military-spending,) ET Also, “China and India, the world’s two emerging economic powers, are demonstrating a sustained increase in their military expenditure and contribute to the growth in world military spending. In absolute terms their current spending is only a fraction of the USA’s. Their increases are largely commensurate with their economic growth.” Chinese economic growth allows it to spend more on weapons- 2008 proves Shah 7/7 (Anup, founder of global issues, 7.7.10, global issues, http://www.globalissues.org/article/75/world-military-spending,) ET The last point refers to rapidly developing nations like China and India that have seen their economies boom in recent years. In addition, high and rising world market prices for minerals and fossil fuels (at least until recently) have also enabled some nations to spend more on their militaries. China, for the first time, ranked number 2 in spending in 2008. Arms races cause global war Cross 6/17 (Giles, Our Future Planet, 6.17.10, http://www.ourfutureplanet.org/news/400-war-the-global-arms-race-is-one-of-the-more-shocking-aspects-of-humanity- ) ET There are plenty of campaigning organisations out there looking to put an end to profit from war. Among them is the International Crisis Group (ICS), which works to put an end to worldwide conflict. Back in 2008 the group reported on how and why arms races can potentially boil over; ‘Two states wedged between Europe and Iran are locked in an arms race and preparing for war. The international community, particularly the EU, might be able to slow down Armenia and Azerbaijan’s slide toward another devastating conflict. ‘Attempts to broker peace over the past dozen years have failed, and worse, a massive arms build up has started. Boosted by oil revenues, Azerbaijan increased its military spending by a record 51 per cent in 2004/05, and then raised it a further 82 per cent in 2006. ‘The shopping spree has so far included large numbers of multi launch rocket systems, new artillery, tanks and both F-15 and Mig-29 fighters. In 2007 President Ilham Aliyev promised to make Azerbaijan’s military spending equal to Armenia’s entire state budget. ‘But Armenia is hardly a tortoise in this race. Though its military budget is only about a quarter of its neighbour’s, it last year spent some $280 million on weapons, another record.’ More recently, in March 2009, the same group reported on fears that a space arms race was developing in Korea. ‘Space race dynamics are among the likely Pyongyang motivations for the Taepodong-2 launch.’ explained the report, describing North Korean aspirations. ICS reckoned every advance in technology and development raised the risks of an arms race. Impacts- Econ bad- China Arms Build Up I/LEconomic growth in china leads it to build up its military Shah 7/7 (Anup, founder of global issues, 7.7.10, global issues, http://www.globalissues.org/article/75/world-military-spending,) ET Some nations like China and India have not experienced a downturn, but instead enjoyed economic growth Most developed (and some larger developing) countries have boosted public spending to tackle the recession using large economic stimulus packages. Military spending, though not a large part of it, has been part of that general public expenditure attention (some also call this “Military Keynesianism” Geopolitics and strategic interests to project or maintain power: “rising military spending for the USA, as the only superpower, and for other major or intermediate powers, such as Brazil, China, Russia and India, appears to represent a strategic choice in their long-term quest for global and regional influence; one that they may be loath to go without, even in hard economic times”, SIPRI adds. And, china spends half their defense budget on weapons- increases in defense budget directly increase weapons Global Security.org 10 (Mar. 5, Global Security.org, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/china/budget.htm) ET United States Department of Defense officials in 1986 estimated Chinese defense spending by resources and force categories for the 1967 to 1983 period. Roughly 50 percent of defense expenditures were for weapons, equipment, and new facilities; 35 percent for operating costs; and 15 percent for research, development, and testing and evaluation. By service, these costs broke down to 25 percent for the ground forces; 15 percent for the Navy; 15 percent for strategic air defenses; 5 percent for ballistic missile forces; 5 percent for tactical air forces; and about 35 percent for command, logistics, personnel, intelligence, medical care, administration, research, development, testing and evaluation, and other support. Beginning in the late 1970s, China devoted more resources to its Strategic Missile Force, indicating an effort to increase its strategic security while modernizing the economy, and to national command and support activities, reflecting an emphasis on modernization of the defense structure Impacts- Econ Bad- A2: China ArmsNon Unique- China increasing military spending now- no impacts Umbach 9 ( Frank, analyst at German council on foreign relations, IP Global, http://www.ip-global.org/archiv/volumes/200/winter2000/china---s-destabilizing-arms-buildup.html , Spring 9 ) ET Out of the limelight, China has been increasing its military spending and weapons dramatically. Double-digit growth in military budgets far outstrips GDP growth. Especially if the US and Russia carry out projected nuclear reductions, China could soon be a major nuclear power in the region. Its smaller neighbors see Beijing as an increasing threat–but Beijing refuses to recognize this. The threats of war just before the Taiwanese presidential election last March, the recent increase in China’s official defense budget by 12.7 percent to 120.5 billion yuan ($15 billion)–for a huge real defense budget in 1999 of more than $40 billion, according to the latest Military Balance of the International Institute for Strategic Studies–plus this year’s enlarged gap between double-digit military spending increases and overall growth of the gross domestic product of an official 7.1 percent–have all heightened the sense of latent threat among China’s neighbors. Non unique impacts- china’s budget increasing even in recession Umbach 9 ( Frank, analyst at German council on foreign relations, IP Global, http://www.ip-global.org/archiv/volumes/200/winter2000/china---s-destabilizing-arms-buildup.html , Spring 9 ) ET Independent surveys that also include factors like energy consumption as reliable indicators of economic growth point to an even greater military burden in reducing calculations of GDP growth below six percent. This year’s increase in the defense budgetthe double digits of each year in the past decade–confirms the recent trend away from the former supreme leader Deng Xiaoping’s earlier priority for economic development over modernization of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA). Non unique- Chinese arsenals going to grow immensely Umbach 9 ( Frank, analyst at German council on foreign relations, IP Global, http://www.ip-global.org/archiv/volumes/200/winter2000/china---s-destabilizing-arms-buildup.html , Spring 9 ) ET As the West imposed a comprehensive arms embargo on China after the Tien An Men confrontation in 1989, Beijing had no choice other than intensifying its traditional armaments links with Israel and, in particular, with Russia. With the Chinese military elite still deeply dissatisfied with the products of its own armaments industry, China has since the beginning of the 1990s been acquiring the latest Russian weapons systems especially for its navy and air force. The most spectacular purchases include 72 fighter aircraft, two state-of-the-art destroyers, each equipped with eight modern cruise missiles of the type SS-N-22 Sunburn (range 120 km), and four submarines of the Kilo class. Additionally, in July of 1999 an agreement was reached to purchase 40 to 60 fighter aircraft of the type Su-30 MKK, fitted with the latest missiles, at a cost of $2 billion. Other investment plans are for two to three submarines of the Kilo or Amur class, two to three more Sovremenny destroyers, and an additional 40 fighter planes. While the destroyers with their cruise missiles constitute an effective threat to the American aircraft carriers and destroyers, the purchase of modern Russian fighter planes (range 1600 km.) is intended to achieve and then consolidate strategic air dominance, which is essential for successful maritime operations in the South China Sea and for posing an effective threat of invasion to Taiwan. By 2010-2015 Beijing is likely to have more than 1000 modern fighter aircraft and a corresponding number of tank transport aircraft and maritime patrol aircraft; this would bring about a gradual shift in the balance of military power between China on the one hand and Taiwan and the ASEAN countries on the other. Download 0.75 Mb. Share with your friends:
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