Japan Aff Michigan



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Japan Aff Michigan

/ CCLP

Japan Aff


Japan Aff 1

NOTES 5


1AC 6

Relations are key to Asian stability – prevents conflict in Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia, and southeast asia – each can go nuclear – as relations wander the US MUST renew the alliance 10

Indo-Pak nuclear war will escalate globally and destroy the planet 10

Taiwan conflict leads to nuclear armageddon 10

Strait Times 2k (June 25, “Regional Fallout: No one gains in war over Taiwan”, Lexis) 10

Economic decline causes a nuclear war 15

Mead, ‘92( Walter Russell, NPQ’S Board of advisors, New perspectives quarterly, summer 1992, page 30 ) 15

Economic Costs O/W, Withdrawal Causes Alliance Chance 20



***GENERAL 20

***GENERAL 20

Troop Presence Causes Conflict 21

Troops Cause Costs, Shifting Asian Powers, Lack of Defense 22

Inherency 23

Inherency – Expansion 24

UX Trick 25

Withdrawal Inevitable 26

Occupation = Tyranny 27

***BASES BAD 27

***BASES BAD 27

Occupation = Regional Conflict 28

Bases Kill Okinawa Economy 29

Bases Kill US Economy 30

China Reaction 31

No Guam 32

***GUAM 32

***GUAM 32

No Guam - Infrastructure 33

Yes Guam 34

Guam Good 37

Relations Low 42



***JAPAN-US RELATIONS 42

***JAPAN-US RELATIONS 42

Inherency – Relations/Credibility 46

Closing Futenma KT Equal Relations 47

Futenma Key to Relations 48

Status Quo Kills Relations 51

Withdraw K2 Power Balance 52

AT: Change in US-JPN Relationship Bad 53

AT: US-JPN Relations End 54

AT: US-JPN Relations Bad 56

Japan-US Relations KT Stability, China Relations, Deterrence, Taiwan 57

Alliance KT Deterrence of NK, China 58

Alliance KT Regional Stability 60

Cooperation KT Stability and Terror 61

Alliance Solves US-China War 62

Solvency – Strong Alliances 63

Base Relocation Now 64

***REGIME CREDIBILITY 64

***REGIME CREDIBILITY 64

Removal of Futenma Key 65

DPJ Unpopular - Futenma 74

July Poll Key 75

Now Key 76

Kan Key 77

America Key 78

Population KT Credibility 79

Credibility KT Relations 80

Credibility KT Stability 81

Credibility KT Economy 82

Stability KT Security 83

Credibility KT East Asian Alliances 84

Stability KT Deter Chinese Aggression 86

Stability KT No Escalation 87

Stability KT Deterrence 88

Stability KT Social Welfare 89

Japanese Stability KT Asian Stability 90

Kan KT Japan-China Relations 91

Kan KT Economy 92

AT: Tax Hike Kills Credibility 93

Tax Good 94

Tax KT Economy 95

Kan Solves Democracy and Economy 96

APEC Reform Good 97

Energy Independence Good 98

Kan Economy Plan Good 99

Japan-ROK Relations 100

India Nuclear Export—Needs Public Support 101

India Nuclear Export Good 103

Upper House Win = Economy 104

Offshore Balancing Solvency 105

***HEGEMONY 105

***HEGEMONY 105

Heg Decline Inevitable 106

Heg Decline Inevitable- China Rise 108

Heg Causes Terrorism 109

Withdrawal KT Multilateralism 110

Peaceful Power Transition 111

Withdrawal = Offshore Balancing 114

Okinawa Not KT Heg 115

Heg Decline Inevitable 116

Heg Unsustainable 117

Multipolarity Inevitable 118

Okinawa Base Stops Multipolarity 119

Dugongs KT Bio-D 120



***ECOLOGY 120

***ECOLOGY 120

XT: Dugong On Brink 121

New Base Kills Dugongs 122

Relocation Kills Coral Reefs 126

Coral Reefs KT Bio-D 127

Coral Reefs KT Fishing Industry 129

Bases Hurt Environment 130

Relocation Kill Fishing 136

Pollution Kills Fishing Industry 138

Fishing KT Economy 139

AT: Strict Standards 143

Coral Reefs KT Populations 144

Population KT Bio-D 145

Ecosystems KT Bio-D 146

Ecology Kills Popularity 147

Japan is Aware 148

Okinawa Ecology Spreads 149

Okinawa Vulnerable 150

China and US Cooperating 152

Lack of US Progress kills Leadership 153

Violence Link 155



***PATRIARCHY 155

***PATRIARCHY 155

Prostitution Policy Link 156

Prostitution Link 157

Rape Link 158

Security Link 159

Power Relations Link 160

Militarism Link/Militarism = Dehumanization 161

Okinawa Patriarchy = Dehumanization 162

Dehumanization Turns Impacts 163

AT: No Patriarchy 164

Bases Make Areas Vulnerable 166

SoFA Prevents Justice 167

Justice System Corrupt 168

Troops Cause Rape 170

Must Remove Bases 172

Rape Accepted 174

No Help for Victims 175

Narrative 176

Violence = Patriarchy 178

Sexuality = Commodity 179

Prostitution = Patriarchy 180

Rape = Violence 181

Rape = Racism 182

Rape = AIDS, etc. 183

Rape = Stigmatizing 184

Rape Kills Okinawa’s Autonomy 187

Rape Kills Human Rights 188

Imperialism is Root Cause 189

AT: It Was An Accident 190

AT: Soldiers Will Be Soldiers 191

Economy Add-On 192



***ADD-ONS 192

***ADD-ONS 192

XT: Withdrawal KT Okinawan Econ 195

AT: Local Government Subsidies 197

I/L – Maritime Terror 198

Maritime Routes KT Economy 200

XT: Indonesian Security 201

XT: Japan KT Maritime Security 202

Okinawa KT Japan-Southeast Asian Relations 203

XT: Singapore I/L 205

XT: Thailand I/L 206

China Relations Add-Ons 207

Property Rights Add-On 208

Free Speech Add-On 209

Free Speech Prevents Wars 212

Free Speech Prevents Disasters 213

Japan Democracy Property Rights Add-On 214

XT: Property Rights 215

Property Rights Impact – V2L 216

Property Rights Impact – Gender Equality 217

Sea Turtles Add-On 218

Species Loss Impact 219

Sea Turtles Impact 220

Dugong Add-on 221

East Asian Presence Add-On 224

Terrorism Add-On 225

ME Pullout Add-On 226

Self Determination Add-On 227

XT: US Crushes Self-D 229

Self-D Solves Economy 230



***ANSWERS 230

***ANSWERS 230

AT: Bases Still Needed 231

AT: Troops Needed for Disaster Relief 232

AT: Japanese Rearm 233

AT: Japan Militarization 234

AT: Non-War Capabilities 236

AT: Economic Benefits 237

AT: Can’t Defend 239

AT: No Japanese Military 240

AT: Drawn into Conflicts 241

AT: Deterrence 242

AT: Deterrence/East Asian War 247

AT: Deterrence/Japan Prolif 248

End 249




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