Lecture 2 Load forecasting


Input data – Short term forecast



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Lecture 2

Input data – Short term forecast

  • For the typical load curve shown, to simplify the task we assume that the load does not vary in each hour.
  • The load shape of a working day is significantly different from that of a weekend day, even the load shape of working days may be different due to the weather conditions.
  • To Model the load shape of the past year. If the time step used is still 1-hour, 365 9 24 = 8760 data are required.
  • It is evident that the task may be accomplished for a year or even for the last 10 years or more. These load shapes may be used for the detailed calculation of energy demands.
  • focusing on the future, without any available data. We are going to forecast the hour-by-hour daily (or weekly) load of our test case. This load curve is used by the system operator to decide the necessary actions.

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