Lecture 23 The Dickey-Fuller Test We have seen that



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from the regression of Δyt on 1,yt-1

converges in distribution to a DF distribution, though the limiting distribution of τμ is different from the limiting distribution of τ.
See Table

Notes –


  • the distribution of τμ is more highly skewed than the distribution of τ. (Using a standard normal distribution to test H0:ρ=1 would be even more misleading in this case.)

  • Dickey and Fuller (1981) tabulated the percentiles for the asymptotic distribution of the F statistic associated with H0:ρ=1 and α=0. The F-test of the joint hypothesis might seem more natural to apply in this setting than the t-test of H0:ρ=1. In practice, however, the t-test is much more commonly used. Then, if H0:ρ=1 is not rejected it is assumed that ρ =1 and α=0.


The τ and τμ tests are appropriate unit root tests for non-trending zero mean (τ) or non-zero mean (τμ) series. Consider the following model


yt = α + βt + ρyt-1 + εt ,

εt ~ iid (0,σ2), -1 < ρ < 1


and consider
H0: ρ = 1 and β = 0 , yt is a rw with drift

HA: ρ < 1 , yt is trend-stationary



Under the null hypothesis, the t-statistic

from the regression of yt on 1, t, yt-1, or, equivalently, the t-statistic



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