National open university of nigeria introduction to econometrics II eco 356



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Introduction to Econometrics ECO 356 Course Guide and Course Material
Introduction to Econometrics ECO 356 Course Guide and Course Material
4.2.2.0 OBJECTIVE The main objective of this unit is to provide a basic understanding that autocorrelation may arise as a consequence of the exclusion of a significant variable or the mathematical misspecification of regression model.





INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMETRICS II

ECO 306

NOUN
119



4.2.3.0 MAIN CONTENTS
The significances of autocorrelation for OLS are to some extent comparable to those of heteroscedasticity. The regression coefficients remain unbiased, but OLS is inefficient because one can find an alternative unbiased estimator with smaller variance. The other main concern, which should not be mixed up with the first, is that the standard errors are estimated wrongly, probably being biased downwards. Finally, although in general autocorrelation does not cause OLS estimates to be biased, there is an important special case where it does.

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