percent of the votes. This suggests that 78 percent of the new (marginal) voters brought to the polls by compulsory voting supported the Labor Party compared to just 44 percent of older (regular) voters This estimate is substantively large but quite plausible, given what we now know about turnout inequality prior to compulsory voting. (171-172) Other phenomena are unlikely to have caused this change. RMF Fowler, Anthony. "Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia" Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8.2 (2013): 159-182. After numerous discussions with Australian historians, I am unaware of any confounding variable which could have simultaneously led to compulsory voting and an increase in support for the Labor Party. (178)
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