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EMPIRICALLY ATTEMPTS AT GETTING LOOSE NUKES HAVE FAILED



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2010 LD Victory Briefs
EMPIRICALLY ATTEMPTS AT GETTING LOOSE NUKES HAVE FAILED
MISERABLY.
John Mueller 2007 (Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies, Mershon Center Professor of Political Science, "REACTIONS AND OVERREACTIONS TO TERRORISM Prepared for delivery at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, August September 3, 2007, http://psweb.sbs.ohio-state.edu/faculty/jmueller/APSA2007.PDF. One group that tried, in the early s, was the Japanese apocalyptic group, Aum Shinrikyo. Unlike al Qaeda, it was not under siege, and it had money, expertise, a remote and secluded haven in which to setup shop, even a private uranium mine. But it made dozens of mistakes in judgment, planning, and execution (Linzer 2004). Chagrined, it turned to biological weapons which, as it happened, didn't work either, and finally to chemical ones, resulting eventually in a somewhat botched release of sarin gas in a Tokyo subway that managed to kill a total of 12 people. Even if there is some desire for the bomb by terrorists, fulfillment of that desire is obviously another matter, and it might be useful to take a stab at estimating just how "not impossible" their task is. After all, all sorts of things are "not impossible" A colliding meteor or comet could destroy the earth, Vladimir Putin or the British could decide one morning to launch a few nuclear weapons at Massachusetts, George Bush could become a transvestite or decide to bomb Hollywood or do both simultaneously, an underwater volcano could erupt to cause a civilization-ending tidal wave, Osama bin Laden could convert to Judaism, declare himself to be the Messiah, and fly in a gaggle of mafioso hit men from Rome to have himself publicly crucified.


10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 177 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com

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