10nfl1-Nukes-Cover

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 51 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
2. To protect against larger states, smaller states will build nuclear weapons to protect themselves a. These smaller states tend to have less rational leaders. Ex. Kim Jon Il, Mahmoud
Ahmadinejahd b. Smaller states have less technical expertise than more advance states. Ex. Pakistan, North Korea c. Smaller states have an uneasy relationship between military and government increasing the risk of an accidental detonation. Ex. Pakistan
3. Increase proliferation increases the likelihood of nukes falling into the hands of terrorists.
4. Simple mathematics As t approaches infinity, p (probability) approaches 1. In English, as more time passes, the possibility of a nuclear detonation becomes certainty. Once the links to why more nuclear weapons are bad is established, it is necessary to establish why a nuclear detonation will be bad
1. Millions dead from initial blasts.
2. Fireball engulfs those not in the immediate radius resulting in rd degree burns. This also releases smoke that blocks the sun (similar to how a large volcanoʼs eruption can block the sun) causing a nuclear winter. As temperatures decrease, livestock and agriculture is wiped out.
3. Holes in the ozone layer appear from the blast which is not an immediate harms since the smoke shields the Earth from the suns rays, but will eventually be a problem.
4. Radioactive fallout will cause cancer growths on those who were not in the immediate vicinity of the blasts.
5. Psychological effects will be massive considering the size of the human population wiped out. Economic effects will also be drastic as entire nations and their respective outputs will have disappeared. This may sound drastic, but is very well possibly if two large nuclear powers go to war (i.e. Russia and the USA. Even if two nuclear powers like India and Pakistan attack, the effects will not be localized to South Asia due to entangling alliances and interests within the region.
PARAMETRICIZE! Choose two states and argue why they should not have nuclear weapons. Topic literature is rife with discussion focusing on specific states and why their pursuit of nuclear weapons is illegitimate. The resolution is hinting at these states and to provide an educational and more in- depth discussion, we should narrow it down to a few. The two most obvious are North Korea and Iran. Both have been the subject of sanctions and international condemnation in their pursuit of nuclear weapons. Also, Israel has been

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 52 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com condemned by Arab countries for its nuclear weapons, but also the UN has called fora nuclear- free zone in the Middle East implicitly attacking Israels nuclear weapons. Its pretty simple to argue their acquisition of nukes causes regional instability. Iranʼs acquisition will encourage other regional powers like Saudi Arabia or Turkey to pursue nuclear weapons. Or worst case scenario, Israel attacks Iranʼs nuclear reactors leading to a
Hezbollah/Hamas retaliation in the region. North Koreaʼs acquisition poses a threat to Japan and South Korea while at the same endangers US relations with China if a war happens.

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