The following illustrates the "information continuum" which exists today, the vast majority of it in the private sector:
In
contemplating this continuum, the policymaker should consider the following key findings:
The expertise contained within each of the sectors is created and maintained at someone else's expense.
The expertise which is maintained in these other sectors is constantly subject to the test of market forces, and tends to be more current with respect to both sources and methods than the government's archives and analysts.
The cost of this expertise, when the policymaker is able to surmount security
and procurement obstacles, is on the order of $10,000 for a world-class report which is concise and actionable and delivered overnight, inclusive of the cost of identifying and validating the best choice of expert.
Such published information as is available to the policymaker through either online retrieval or hardcopy document retrieval represents less than 20% and more often less than 10% of what is actually known by the individual experts.
The most significant deficiency in national intelligence today as it pertains to providing the policymaker with just enough, just in time "intelligence", is the lack of direct access to the expertise available in the private sector.
There are many examples of worthy private sector
sources and capabilities, which can be harnessed to meet the needs of the policy maker, but for the sake of this article, a practical case study pertinent
to conflict resolution, will be reported.
On the afternoon of 3 August 1995, a Thursday, the author was testifying to the Commission on
Intelligence regarding the importance of dramatically improving government access to open sources.
At the end of the day, at 1700, the author was invited to execute a benchmark exercise in which the U.S.
Intelligence Community and the author would simultaneously seek to provide the Commission with information about the chosen target, Burundi.
By 1000 the morning of 7 August 1995, a Monday, the following was delivered to the Commission offices via overnight mail:
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