Module 1The Internationalization of Firms: What Makes Firms Go Global? • Recent Trends: Globalization & International Linkages• Characteristics of Global Firms • Outcomes of Global Firms Module 2International Strategies: How Do Firms Go Global? • Outsourcing, Offshoring & Transaction Costs • International Production, Global Sourcing & Transaction Costs • Offshoring, Employment & Inequality • Deindustrialization, Offshoring & Firm Reorganization • Product Portfolio, Quality & Globalization • Trade Reform & Gains in Firm Efficiency • The Rise & Future of China • Impacts of China’s Export on Global Economy • Decoupling: US-China Trade War, Brexit Module 3Globalization and Firms Organization
No Textbook • Globalization is a very recent phenomenon. • To study a recent phenomenon, you need to use recent and updated materials. • Nearly all the materials used for this course has been published after 2000. – 50% of the materials has been published after 2010. • Instead of a course textbook, you will have a collection of materials coming from various sources. • Materials are easy to grasp and will reflect the economic and business contents of the various topics we will cover in the course. 9
Course Materials • Compulsory readings: – General-interest articles written by academics specialists – Extracted from reports published by international organizations (e.g. OECD, WTO, World Bank…) – Extracted from books • Further readings and applications (optional): – Academic papers behind the general-interest articles – Deepen your knowledge on a given topic – Potential BA thesis materials – Articles from the business press, practitioner websites… • Group business case study (compulsory): – For some of the topics, we will have a small group business case study. – Each group consists of 4 to 5 students. – Aim: apply what we learn on a concrete business case or example. 10
Group Business Case Study • Group business case study is an important part of this course. – Opportunity to practice exam questions (not the exact content, but the format). • Frequency: We will have a case study approximately every two weeks. • Before the class: – Read the case, the related materials, and the case questions. – Each group meets and prepares a set of slides (5 mins) to answer the questions. – Also, they must raise a question for class discussion. • During the class: – Some groups are randomly selected to present answers, using prepared slides. – The teacher and students may ask questions and discuss. – Discussions are highly encouraged. • After the class: Send me the slides and I will share them. 11
Form Your Group! • Each group consists of 4 to 5 students. • Form your group with other students today and stick together for the semester. • ( !! Important) By end of next Tuesday, each group please sends me the following: – Names, genders, nationality, and emails of group members – Bachelor program at AU-BSS (or exchange) of group members – Send to jmlchan@econ.au.dk • If you are not able to find a group, send me an email. 12
Module 1 The Internationalization of Firms What Makes Firms Go Global?
Topic 1 Recent Trends: Globalization and International Linkages
Outline • Internationalization: facts • Major recent changes • Definitions • Case: Ancient trade 15
Internationalization/Globalization • Globalization characterized by increasing trade, capital flows, labor movement • International business is not a new phenomenon. • But the volume of international trade has increased dramatically over the last 30 years. • Today, every nation and an increasing number of companies buy and sell goods in the international marketplace • A number of developments around the world have helped fueled this activity. 16
Internationalization/Globalization • Two ways to measure internationalization and international trade: • Trade intensity: exports and imports of goods and services– Exports as a share of GDP– Sum of exports and imports as a share of GDP – Measure of openness (to trade) • Foreign direct investment (FDI) – Investment in property, plant, or equipment in another country– FDI inflows – how much is invested in a given country – FDI outflows – how much is invested by a given country worldwide 17
Trade Intensity 18
Trade Intensity 19
Leading Traders 20 Source: International Trade Statistics 2014, WTO DENMARK: exporter #38 (106 billion $) importer #35 (92 billions $)
International Economic Power • Shifting landscape due to: – Economic integration and rapid growth of emerging markets – Economic potential of emerging markets • BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) could be among the most dominant economies by 2050. • N-11 (the next wave of emerging markets): Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Turkey, South Korea, and Vietnam. • African countries may follow. 21
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow, by Region 22
Foreign Direct Investment Outflow, by Region 23
Size of Foreign Direct Investment 24
Recent Trends: Trade • International Trade – Huge increase in trade intensity, especially from “new” countries. – In 2009 global exports declined, but increased again in 2011. – World exports of manufactured goods increased from $8 trillion in 2006 to $11 trillion in 2016. – World exports of services increased from $2.9 trillion in 2006 to $4.8 trillion. • Covid-19 Pandemic: – World merchandise trade recorded a decline of 7.4% in 2020 during the COVID-19. – This was the biggest annual decline since 2009, when trade fell by 22%. – The decline in global services trade value was much stronger, with a contraction of 20% in 2020 compared with 2019. – Among services, travel was most severely affected, shedding an immense 63% in 2020 and strongly upsetting tourism-oriented economies. 25
Recent Trends: Trade (con.) • Covid-19 Pandemic: – Exports of business, intellectual property, financial and insurance services showed more resilience, declining by 3%. – Meanwhile, trade in telecommunications, computer and information services continued growing throughout the pandemic, except in Africa. – Maritime shipping is central for goods trade. Illustratively, more than 85% of EU imports from China including iron and steel products, furniture and bedding, toys games and sports equipment, travel by sea. – Global container shipping, which is at the heart of global supply chains, continued to recover in both late 2020 and in 2021. – Nevertheless, both bulk freight rates and container freight rates have been rising … Record high freight rates contributed to record revenues and earnings for shipping companies. – https://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/international-trade-during-th e-covid-19-pandemic-big-shifts-and-uncertainty-d1131663/ 26
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Recent Trends: FDI • Foreign direct investment (FDI) – Growing at healthy rate. – Outpacing domestic growth in most countries. – Declined in 2009 due to the global recession. – By 2015, FDI reached $1.8 trillion, the highest since the global economic and financial crisis of 2008-2009. • According to UNCTAD’s World Investment Report 2021: – Global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows fell by 35% in 2020, reaching $1 trillion, from $1.5 trillion in 2019. – This is the lowest level since 2005 and almost 20% lower than the 2009 trough after the global financial crisis. – The lockdowns around the world in response to the COVID-19 pandemic slowed down existing investment projects, and the prospects of a recession led multinational enterprises (MNEs) to re-assess new projects. – The fall in FDI was significantly sharper than the fall in gross domestic product (GDP) and trade. 29
Outline • Internationalization: facts • Major recent changes • Definitions • Case: Ancient trade 30
Recent Major Developments • Over the last 30 years, three major developments in the world economy have shaped the participation of firms in international trade: • Information and communication technology (ICT) revolution • Increased trade liberalization and reduction in transportation costs• Political developments expanding the reach of globalization 31
ICT Revolution • Processing power and memory capacity of computers have doubled approximately every two years (Moore’s law). • Cost of transmitting information over an optical network has decreased by half roughly every nine months (Butter’s law). • Number of internet users has increased by a factor 100, growing from 20 million users in 1994 to more than 4,5 billion users in 2019. 32 1983 – Dynatac 8000X 1986 – Sharp PC-4501
Phones and Internet 33
Increased Trade Liberalization• Global and regional integration • Global Agreements – General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) – World Trade Organization (WTO) • China’s accession to the WTO (2001) • Regional Agreements – North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 1994 – USMCA agreement, effective July 1, 2020 – U.S.-Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA, CAFTA-DR) – European Union (EU), ongoing – Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ongoing – Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), extinct, now CPTPP (ratified Dec 2018) 34
Increased Trade Liberalization • Industry-targeted agreements – Expiration of the Multi-fiber Agreement in 2005: lifting of quotas on textile and apparel products exported by developing economies to developed economies. • The gradual dismantling of man-made barriers during the 1990s and 2000s has lead to increased trade liberalization. • Recent trends in trade de-liberalization: – US-China trade war – Brexit – Changes in existing trade agreements – COVID-19 pandemic: more or less trade 35
Removal of Man-made Trade Barriers 36
Removal of Man-made Trade Barriers (cont’d) 37
Deeper Global Trade Integration 38
Decrease in Trade Costs • Technological developments since 1994 have also reduced quality- (or time-) adjusted costs of transporting goods across countries • Investments in infrastructure in LDCs have also contributed to the spread of globalization. • General decrease in trade costs – Containerization – Infrastructure39
Transportation and Communication Costs 40
Hummels (2007, JEP) 41
Political Developments • The end of Cold War brought about a remarkable increase in the share of world population actively participating in the process of globalization. • Ensuing ideological shift to the right in large parts of the globe. • Mainstream capitalist policies became more friendly towards globalization… until recently. • e.g., trade war between US (started by Trump) and China • We’ll keep an eye to see what will happen in the following years. 42
Developments in Intra-Industry Trade 43
Developments in Intra-Firm Trade 44
Outline • Internationalization: facts • Major recent changes • Definitions • Case: Ancient trade 45
A Few Useful Definitions • Those recent major developments have given rise to an increase in globalization • Globalization – Process of social, political, economic, cultural, and technological integration among countries around the world 46
International Firm • A firm whose any of the following dimensions is international – Production of goods or services – Inputs, materials, or services used – Sales and distribution of final goods and services – Ownership – Location of (any) activities • A global firm is usually a very successful international firm. • A firm having operations in more than one country, international sales, and a nationality mix among managers and owners • Also known as Transnational company or Multinational enterprise (MNE) 47 Multinational Company (MNC)
The World’s Top Nonfinancial MNCs • Ranked by Foreign Assets, 2015 48
Offshoring & Outsourcing • Offshoring: The process by which companies undertake some activities at offshore locations instead of their countries of origin – Defined by location of an activity • Outsourcing: the subcontracting of contracting out of activities to external organizations that had previously been performed by the firm – Defined by delegation of an activity to suppliers (ownership) • An offshoring firm can be – An outsourcing firm if it delegates some activities/tasks to other domestic/foreign firms. – A vertically-integrated firm if it performs all its offshored activities in its foreign subsidiaries. 49
Conclusions • Increased trade intensity and FDI over the last 30 years • Driven by three major developments – ICT revolution – Decrease in barriers to trade, decrease in transportation costs – Political changes • Recently, shift towards anti-globalization • Definitions – Trade intensity – Globalization, international firm, multinational firm – Outsourcing & offshoring 50
Case Study – Ancient Trade 1. What are the similarities between ancient trade and today’s trade? – Can you identify ancient developments or policies that helped foster ancient trade? – Do those ancient developments or policies resemble recent or current trade policies? 2. According to the text, what are the positive impacts of trade? 51
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