Title: Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases

Title: Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases

ISO Abbreviated Title:

JCR Abbreviated Title:

ISSN:

Journal Country/Territory:

Language:

Publisher:

Publisher Address:

Subject Categories:

: Impact Factor

? Acheson, E.S. and Kerr, J.T. (2015), Looking forward by looking back: Using historical calibration to improve forecasts of human disease vector distributions. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases, 15 (3), 173-183.

Full Text: 2015\Vec-Bor Zoo Dis15, 173.pdf

Abstract: Arthropod disease vectors, most notably mosquitoes, ticks, tsetse flies, and sandflies, are strongly influenced by environmental conditions and responsible for the vast majority of global vector-borne human diseases. The most widely used statistical models to predict future vector distributions model species niches and project the models forward under future climate scenarios. Although these methods address variations in vector distributions through space, their capacity to predict changing distributions through time is far less certain. Here, we review modeling methods used to validate and forecast future distributions of arthropod vectors under the effects of climate change and outline the uses or limitations of these techniques. We then suggest a validation approach specific to temporal extrapolation models that is gaining momentum in macroecological modeling and has great potential for epidemiological modeling of disease vectors. We performed systematic searches in the Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar to identify peer-reviewed English journal articles that model arthropod disease vector distributions under future environment scenarios. We included studies published up to and including June, 2014. We identified 29 relevant articles for our review. The majority of these studies predicted current species niches and projected the models forward under future climate scenarios without temporal validation. Historically calibrated forecast models improve predictions of changing vector distributions by tracking known shifts through recently observed time periods. With accelerating climate change, accurate predictions of shifts in disease vectors are crucial to target vector control interventions where needs are greatest.

Keywords: Approach, Articles, Borne Diseases, Capacity, Climate, Climate Change, Climate-Change Scenarios, Control, Disease, Disease Vector, Diseases, Ecological Niche Models, Effects, English, English Journal, Environment, Environmental, Extrapolation, Forecast, Geographic Distributions, Global, Global Change, Google, Google Scholar, Human, Interventions, Ixodes-Scapularis, Journal, Journal Articles, Macroecology, Malaria Vectors, Mar, Methods, Model, Modeling, Models, Needs, Peer-Reviewed, Potential, Potential Distribution, Predicting Climate, Predictions, Projection, Review, Scenarios, Science, Sciencedirect, Spatial, Species, Species Distribution Models, Statistical Modeling, Statistical Models, Systematic, Techniques, Temporal, Validation, Web, Web Of Science

Title: Vestnik Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk SSSR

ISO Abbreviated Title:

JCR Abbreviated Title:

ISSN: 0002-3027

Issues/Year:

Journal Country/Territory:

Language:

Publisher:

Publisher Address:

Subject Categories:

: Impact Factor

? Filippov, O.V. and Pravdyukov, N.I. (1984), A Possibility of using scientometric and expert methods in sampling scientific priorities. Vestnik Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk SSSR, (6), 84-88.

Keywords: Scientometric

? Duplenko, Y.K. and Burchinsky, S.G. (1988), Use of scientometric analysis of developmental paths for biomedical-research. Vestnik Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk SSSR, (3), 94-96.

? Karas, G.A. and Lazarev, V.S. (1991), Use of bibliometric techniques for operative assessment of scientific activity of research medicobiological institutes. Vestnik Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk SSSR, (4), 61-65.

Abstract: Based on the analysis of the indices accepted for the evaluation of scientific work in research institutes, a suggestion was proposed that the putative instead of realized value of the scientific product should be evaluated. This implies employment of such bibliometric techniques of analysis of the volume and quality of the used information as: total number of references in scientific works, reference to the most recent publications and foreign sources, and the interdisciplinary index rated according to the subject-relation of the cited works. Studies of selected indices based on the analysis of one-year scientific journal publications and of manuscripts sent for print, as well as of reports made by the Kiev Research Institute of Otorhinolaryngology of UkrSSR Ministry of Health and by the Research Institute of Hematology of BSSR Ministry of Health, paralleled with a comprehensive consideration of the reference peculiarities and expert evaluation of the scientific material proper, allowed for making a conclusion on the importance of the role played by the bibliometric data in making the expert formal and objective and in operative evaluation of the activity of scientific communities and/or trends. This is of special significance for information and scientific policy making. Such investigations may be carried out by expert information workers.

Keywords: Analysis, Bibliometric, Bibliometric Techniques, Data, Employment, Evaluation, Index, Indices, Information, Interdisciplinary, Investigations, Journal, Operative, Policy, Policy Making, Publications, Quality, Quality of, Research, Role, Scientific Policy, Significance, Sources, Techniques, Trends, Value, Volume, Work

Title: Vestnik Akademii Nauk SSSR

ISO Abbreviated Title:

JCR Abbreviated Title:

ISSN:

Journal Country/Territory:

Language:

Publisher:

Publisher Address:

Subject Categories:

: Impact Factor

? GUSAlov, A.A. and Propoi, A.I. (1973), First world-wide conference on informatics at state administration. Vestnik Akademii Nauk SSSR, (4), 73-74.