Dodge catastrophe by prepping for climate change
Christian Science Monitor, 5 April 2011, Matthew E. Kahn
http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Green-Economics/2011/0405/Dodge-catastrophe-by-prepping-for-climate-change In this piece, the Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman writes; "But it’s terrifying to realize that this kind of cynical careerism — for that’s what it is — has probably ensured that we won’t do anything about climate change until catastrophe is already upon us." Paul Krugman and I agree that there is "too much gas" and that global GHG levels will continue to rise.
We disagree over whether we will experience a "catastrophe" as climate change plays out. As I have written before, he appears to view us as the Titanic lulled into feeling safe while the iceberg floats and gets ready to cut us. But thanks to "early warning" systems such as Krugman and Joe Romm and real life climate science research, we know increasingly more about what risks climate change will pose. Such information allows us to make better plans at the household, firm and government level. This is the "small ball" of adaptation. The anticipation of danger creates opportunity and prudence in choices that shield ourselves from harm.
Now, I must admit that I am assuming that our climate scientists will converge on the "true model" of what risks climate change will pose. If their ongoing research leads them to diverge in their assessments and to make different predictions, then of course Joe the Plummer, Matt Kahn , and Homer Simpson will be confused and won't know what actions to take or how to cope.
Catastrophe occurs when we think there is a zero probability of a scenario taking place but in truth its likelihood is growing. We cannot prepare for this. Paul Krugman should write a column on what public goods he thinks need to invested in to protect us from climate change. Increases in basic National Science Foundation research $ would go a long way in improving predictive models and investors and households would make better decisions armed with this information and this would ease the adaptation process.
People are afraid to discuss adaptation because they believe that even broaching the subject chills interest in carbon mitigation. In his column today, Krugman is quite honest about the mitigation challenge but now he needs to take the next step and join the adaptation discussion. As a leading economist, he should step up and highlight how free market capitalism will evolve to help us cope with this challenge. How does he know that climate change will be a "catastrophe"? If we anticipate that it will be a "catastrophe" and if we have 20 years to get ready, does this mean these fears will be realized? In Climatopolis, I argue that the answer is "no".
Switching subjects, I hope to see you at this Brainstormgreen conference. Look for me at 930am wednesday on the "Green China" program.
With 'riders,' GOP seeks to undo Obama environmental policies
Christian Science Monitor, 5 April 2011, Mark Clayton
http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/2011/0405/With-riders-GOP-seeks-to-undo-Obama-environmental-policies
Of the groups watching the budget negotiations in Washington this week, environmentalists are among those most keenly interested.
A reported compromise between House and Senate negotiators to cut $32 billion from the remainder of fiscal year 2011 spending could hit environmental programs hard. As much as $3.6 billion in cuts to the Department of Energy and $4.4 billion in cuts to the Department of Interior could affect environmental enforcement, according to the Wilderness Society.
But many environmentalists are even more worried about so-called “riders” that could be attached to any final spending bill. The riders target EPA authority to regulate air quality, greenhouse gas emissions, mountaintop mining restrictions, climate science programs, and clean water programs.
RELATED: Five ways House Republican 'riders' are striking fear in environmentalists
Though President Obama and Senate majority leader Harry Reid say they oppose the riders, it won't be clear until Tuesday or Wednesday which of the riders will be eliminated.
"This thing was so sweeping that a lot of things that otherwise would have received attention, if they had been taken up separately, are in there with little or no attention to their impact," says David Moulton, director of climate policy for the Wilderness Society, a Washington-based environmental group. "These things will not help the budget deficit either – in fact they would increase it."
Those who proposed the policy riders are hopeful.
Rep. Ted Poe (R) of Texas, who has proposed an amendment to strip the EPA of the authority to curb greenhouse-gas emissions, said in a statement: "The EPA’s unnecessary plan to regulate greenhouse gases would have cost taxpayers millions of dollars and destroyed countless jobs in our energy sector."
"The era of the EPA overstepping its authority by imposing over-burdensome and unnecessary regulations at the expense of American businesses is over,” he added.
Rep. Morgan Griffith (R) of Virginia said environmental regulations hold businesses to an unfair standard. He calls his proposal to restrict the EPA’s ability to regulate water quality from coal mines “a time-out on the EPA."
In a speech, he said the EPA guidelines for water coming out of mines is so severe that “Evian water that you purchase to drink would not pass."
But environmentalists maintain that wholesale changes could be in the offing if these riders are permitted, despite a lack of congressional debate over their impacts.
"It's very clear that environmental and energy programs were targeted even though these programs have been successful and enjoy public support," says David Goldston, director of governmental affairs for the Natural Resources Defense Council, a Washington-based environmental group.
They would also add to the cuts now being considered in the compromise spending bill, such as:
-
Reduce the Environmental Protection Agency's budget by 30 percent.
-
Cut the National Park Service's Land and Water Conservation Fund 87 percent from the $47 million recommended by Mr. Obama. Financed in part by revenues from oil drilling, the fund is used to acquire land for US and state parks.
-
Eliminate $1.2 billion in federal science funding for renewable energy across a number of agencies.
-
Cut in half funding for cleanups of Chesapeake Bay, Puget Sound, Long Island Sound, Lake Champlain, and the Great Lakes.
-
Eliminate the North American Wetlands Conservation Fund.
-
Eliminate the Forest Legacy Program, which reclaims old logging roads.
Share with your friends: |