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Cap has been statistically proven to be successful conflict deterrent



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K - Cap K - Michigan 7 2022 CPWW

Cap has been statistically proven to be successful conflict deterrent


Blechman, Siebson and Sisson et al, 2020 (Barry, PhD in international relations from Georgetown and published author. James, M. A. in international affairs. Melanie, PhD in political science and M.A. in international affairs. Military Coercion and US Foreign Policy: The Use of Force Short of War Chpt 1 ///MF)
With this context established, the book then examines the set of publicly reported non-routine, coercive military actions used to achieve specific goals, relative to specific actors, during the period 1991–2018. These roughly 100 instances of US efforts to deter and compel others are analyzed statistically to reveal relationships between US military actions, targeted actors, the interests under dispute, the economic and political context, and whether the United States achieved its goals. The analyses generate sometimes unexpected findings about combinations of US military, political, and economic actions that proved more, or less, successful in achieving US objectives in different contexts. This information can provide useful points of comparison for decision-makers contemplating whether or how to use the armed forces as part of coercive strategies today and into the future. 

Capitalist peace is key to prevent conflicts


Hegres ’14 [Håvard; 2014; Department of Peace and Conflict Research; Uppsala University & Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO); Democracy and Conflict, Does Democracy cause Peace, p. 165] SPark
Gartzke (2007) argues that the liberal peace really is a ‘capitalist peace. The rhetoric value of this term is greater than its precision. In effect, Gartzke’s argument draws on several of the effects of socio-economic development reviewed above. Interdependence and mobility of assets are equally important as the particular economic freedoms and financial structures traditionally associated with ‘capitalism’. Echoing Rosecrance, Gartzke (2007: 172) argues that development ‘leads states to prefer trade to theft’, but does not weaken their resolve to defend their borders. At the same time, developed states are typically militarily powerful and are able to wage wars over long distances. Since many wars are fought over non-territorial issues (e.g. to defend a particular political system in another state, or to prevent the development of nuclear capabilities), developed states are willing to fight long-distance wars where conquest is not the motivation. This leads Gartzke to expect that development leads contiguous dyads to be less likely to experience militarized interstate disputes and non-contiguous dyads to be more likely to do so. He finds support for both these hypotheses, and finds that the terms representing the democratic peace are non-significant when controlling for the ‘capitalist’ factors. Gartzke & Hewitt (2010) obtain similar results for international crises.

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