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Impacts- Econ Bad- China - Warming



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Impacts- Econ Bad- China - Warming


Chinese growth destroys ecosystems and is one of the biggest contributors to global warming
Manila 9 (writing about a speech by Haruhiko Kuroda, President of the Asian Development Bank), http://www.spacedaily.com/2006/090616061106.c4k3t4t7.html , Space Daily)

Asia's rapid economic growth in recent years has contributed significantly to climate change and environmental pollution, the head of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) warned on Tuesday. In response to this, "it is imperative that we escalate our efforts to put the region on a path of low-carbon growth," bank president Haruhiko Kuroda told an ADB forum on climate change. "Rapid development has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty while bringing the region as a whole to higher living standards. Along with this economic expansion, however, has been a rise in environmental pollution including greenhouse gas emissions," he said. He said the developing countries of Asia now account for one-third of global emissions brought about by energy consumption, deforestation and land use. "Unless measures are taken now, Asia's share of global greenhouse gas emissions could increase to more than 40 percent by 2030," he said. The ADB was trying to address this and had provided almost 1.7 billion dollars for "projects with clean energy components," including wind power projects in China and India, he said. Asian countries are also seeking ways to stimulate growth without hurting the environment, "including development of renewable energy and other environmentally sustainable technologies," he said.
Warming forms a high way to extinction, slaughtering billions through starvation, flooding and disease
Hui Min 7 (Neo Straits Times Europe Bureau staff writer) http://www.wildsingapore.com/news/20070304/070406-14.htm#st)

TOP climate scientists issued their bleakest assessment yet on global warming yesterday, with a warning that billions of people could go thirsty as water supplies dry up and millions more may starve as farmlands become deserts. Poor tropical countries that are least to blame for causing the problem will be worst hit, said the report. Small island states, Asia's big river deltas, the Arctic, and sub- Saharan Africa are also at risk. Global warming could also rapidly thaw Himalayan glaciers that feed rivers from India to China, and bring heat waves to Europe and North America. The dire warnings came from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The final text of a 21-page Summary for Policymakers was agreed on after an all-night session marked by serious disputes. Scientists from more than 100 countries made up the panel. Their report forms the second of a four-part climate assessment, with the final section to be released early next month in Bangkok. Its findings are approved unanimously by governments and will guide policy on issues such as extending the United Nation's Kyoto Protocol, the main plan for capping greenhouse gas emissions, beyond 2012. The grim 1,400-page report issued yesterday said change, widely blamed on human emissions of greenhouse gases, was already under way in nature. The IPCC noted that damage to the earth's weather systems was changing rainfall patterns, punching up the power of storms and boosting the risk of drought, flooding and stress on water supplies. Some scientists even called the degree-by-degree projection a 'highway to extinction'. Add 1 deg C to the earth's average temperatures and between 400 million and 1.7 billion more people cannot get enough water. Add another 1.8 deg C and as many as two billion people could be without water, and about 20 per cent to 30 per cent of the world's species face extinction. More people will also start dying because of malnutrition, disease, heat waves, floods and droughts. This could happen as early as 2050. 'Changes in climate are now affecting physical and biological systems on every continent,' said the report. University of Michigan ecologist Rosina Bierbaum, former head of the United States' IPCC delegation, said: 'It is clear that a number of species are going to be lost.' Mr Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the IPCC, said: 'It's the poorest of the poor in the world, and this includes poor people even in prosperous societies, who are going to be the worst hit. 'This does become a global responsibility in my view.' Still, some scientists accused governments of watering down the forecasts. They said China, Russia and Saudi Arabia had raised most objections overnight, seeking to tone down some findings. Other participants also said the US, which pulled out of the Kyoto Protocol in 2001 saying it was too costly, had toned down some passages. Dr Pramod Kumar Aggarwal, one of the authors of the report, told The Straits Times that temperature increases could lead to crop failure and rising prices, with dire consequences for the poor. 'In Asia, you are talking about millions or billions of people,' he said.

Impacts- Econ Bad- India Bad- Arms


And India uses economic growth to increase weapons modernization
Arnett 97 (Eric, Arms Control Today vol 27 no. 5, http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/arnett.htm , Aug 97) ET

First, Pakistani planners may not be as sanguine about Indian capabilities, and the fears and perceptions of Pakistanis are the central issue. From Islamabad's perspective, it increasingly appears that most of the major arms suppliers are cooperating with India, even those that have already sold systems to Pakistan. Some of the systems that have been supplied, especially the Armat anti-radar missile, can be very effective even in the hands of less-skilled pilots. The quality and likely effectiveness of other systems are very difficult to judge without much greater transparency on the part of the IAE Second, Indian society is set to progress at an unprecedented rate, potentially enjoying economic growth and modernization that are likely to dramatically increase the budget and competence of the country's armed forces. As relations with China improve, even more of India's military potential can be focused on Pakistani contingencies. Even if IAF strike squadrons have some weaknesses now, U.S. policymakers should not be betting against substantial improvements in Indian technological proficiency in the near future, especially since U.S. firms are contributing to the technological base of both the civilian and military sectors.


And most of India’s economy goes to arms- economic growth would be funneled there
Arnett 97 (Eric, Arms Control Today vol 27 no. 5, http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/arnett.htm , Aug 97) ET

India and Pakistan have been rivals since their creation as separate states in 1947. Even though there have been many small scale conflicts between the two countries, the nuclearization of the region is believed to bring stability at higher levels of violence. The retarded economic growth in both countries could be associated with the ongoing arms race between the two countries, as scarce resources are allocated for military purposes. In this paper the nature of the arms race between India and Pakistan has been examined by employing Toda-Yamamoto’s approach to VAR non-causality for the time period 1949-2000. The empirical findings indicate that there is bi-directoral causality between the two countries military expenditures. Moreover, the causality between military expenditure and economic growth has been investigated. The empirical results indicate that there is a bi-directional causality between military burden and economic growth in India. However, for Pakistan causality is from economic growth to military expenditure. There is no empirical evidence of causality from military burden to economic growth in Pakistan.
And, the impact is extinction
Fai 1 (Ghulam Nabi, director of Kashmiri American Council¸WA Times, 7.8.1) ET

The most dangerous place on the planet is Kashmir, a disputed territory convulsed and illegally occupied for more than 53 years and sandwiched between nuclear-capable India and Pakistan.  It has ignited two wars between the estranged South Asian rivals in 1948 and 1965, and a third could trigger nuclear volleys and a nuclear winter threatening the entire globe.  The United States would enjoy no sanctuary. This apocalyptic vision is no idiosyncratic view.  The Director of Central Intelligence, the Department of Defense, and world experts generally place Kashmir at the peak of their nuclear worries.  Both India and Pakistan are racing like thoroughbreds to bolster their nuclear arsenals and advanced delivery vehicles. Their defense budgets are climbing despite widespread misery amongst their populations.  Neither country has initialed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, or indicated an inclination to ratify an impending Fissile Material/Cut-off Convention.





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