West Coast Publishing Surveillance 2015 november page


*A2: IMPACTS (TPP IS BAD)*



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*A2: IMPACTS (TPP IS BAD)*



TPP Bad - General

TPP will tank the economy globally, undermine democracy and degrade the environment


Kevin Zeese, JD is an organizer of Popular Resistance and co-directs Its Our Economy and Margaret Flowers, MD co-director of Its Our Economy, is a Maryland pediatrician, October 22, 2015, “Spread The Word: TPP Is Toxic Political Poison That Politicians Should Avoid,” Mint Press News, http://www.mintpressnews.com/spread-the-word-tpp-is-toxic-political-poison-that-politicians-should-avoid/210557/, ACC. 10-28-2015

The TPP is a bad deal. Just like every other similar agreement, it is going to outsource jobs, lower wages globally, increase the wealth divide, increase the U.S. trade deficit, undermine democracy, weaken the federal court system, degrade the environment and undermine sovereignty at every level of government. The more people who learn about this deal, the worse it will look, and if we resist it, the likelihood of passage in Congress will shrink.

TPP is for mega-corporations that undermine democracy and degrade the environment


Chris Perley, Staff Writer, October 30, 2015, “TPP a disgrace for democracy,” Hawkins Bay Today, http://www.nzherald.co.nz/hawkes-bay-today/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503459&objectid=11537588, ACC. 10-30-2015

So-called "trade" deals that profit mega-corporations will not change that extractive thinking. It will only reinforce it. If this Government was supportive of small-c it would encourage high-value enterprise and ban GMO trade to protect our environment and economy. It would not allow mega-corporates to sue our democracy. It would protect the principles of democracy where any enterprise operates within the laws as decided by the people, not the reverse. That is not democracy; that is oligarchy. And it would make open those TPP clauses to which unethical commercial entities have access. The fact that it failed to do any of these things is a disgrace. Mr Foss, your claims of environmental gain are empty spin.


TPP trades people for corporate profits


Mark Moreno Pascual, Communications Officer for IBON International – a southern International NGO working for peoples rights and democracy, October 16, 2015, “Inside the TPP: Trading People for Profit,” Counterpunch, http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/10/16/inside-the-tpp-trading-people-for-profit/, ACC. 10-31-2015

Often dubbed as ‘NAFTA on steroids,’ the TPP includes a scandalous clause on investment that would give enormous powers to corporations. Albeit negotiated in secret, leaked sections of the agreement indicate the TPP’s full endorsement of the notorious NAFTA corporate tribunals otherwise known as the Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS). The ISDS is a dispute settlement modality that allows corporations and foreign investors to sue governments over actions perceived as detrimental to expected future profits. In other words, the TPP would grant corporations the right to file legal complaints against governments for policies inimical to profit-making such as raising the minimum wage or increasing the quality of basic social services as both actions would cost corporations more capital outlay and therefore less profit. Under TPP rules, signatory countries would be obliged to conform their domestic policies, laws and regulations in accordance with the agreement. Any constitutional protection afforded by national laws would be wiped out to give way to greater corporate control.

TPP Bad – Economy / General

TPP tanks U.S. economic independence and feeds corporate interests


R. Rex Hussmann, Staff Writer, October 26, 2015, “Trans-Pacific Partnership Pact: Trick or Treat?,” Northwest Georgian News, http://www.northwestgeorgianews.com/rome/opinion/columns/guest-column-trans-pacific-partnership-pact-trick-or-treat/article_ae553c8c-7bcb-11e5-b710-af3bc459c740.html, ACC. 10-28-2015

Military readiness is not the only form of national security; economic independence is the first line of defense. Future conflicts of interest between foreign companies and the United States should be settled in United States’ courts, not in secret meetings of corporate executives. By ratifying this agreement, Congress will cede the sovereignty of the United States to multinational corporations and a private court. The TPP is a bad idea whose time has not come.

TPP is NAFTA revisited, costing hundreds of thousands of jobs


Kane Farabaugh, Staff Writer, October 30, 2015, “Will the TPP Agreement Cost US Jobs?,” Voice of America News, http://www.voanews.com/content/will-the-tpp-agreement-cost-us-jobs/3029372.html, ACC. 10-30-2015

Broughton doubts the pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement, of which many details are still unknown, will be any different. “Obama promises that the TPP will be different from NAFTA, that it will improve workers' standards by having enforceable mechanisms in those countries like Vietnam and Malaysia, but that has yet to be seen and I am skeptical frankly that those provisions will be in there,” he said. The AFL-CIO Labor Union blames NAFTA with the loss of as many as 700,000 U.S. jobs since it went into effect in 1994. 


TPP Bad – Economy / Manufacturing

Manufacturing is resurging now and jobs are coming home. TPP makes it cheaper to keep jobs offshore


Alana Semuels, Staff Writer, October 8, 2015, “How the Trans-Pacific Partnership Threatens America's Recent Manufacturing Resurgence,” The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/10/trans-pacific-partnership-tpp-manufacturing/409591/, ACC. 10-31-2015

Now that the U.S. and 11 Pacific Rim nations have agreed on the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP, those who follow manufacturing are looking with new scrutiny at the deal, which will now come before Congress. There’s been a resurgence of manufacturing in the U.S. after all, a movement called “onshoring” in which companies move jobs from overseas back to the U.S. Wages in China are rising, and companies are finding that they have better control over quality with U.S. manufacturing operations. Walmart in 2013 announced that it would spend $50 billion buying U.S.-made goods. Whirlpool has shifted some production back to the U.S. from Mexico, and Otis Elevator moved some operations from Mexico to South Carolina. Since 2010, the nation has added nearly one million manufacturing jobs. “The trend in manufacturing in the United States is to source domestically,” Harry Moser, the founder of the Reshoring Initiative, told Knowledge@Wharton. “With 3 to 4 million manufacturing jobs still off shore, we see huge potential for even more growth.” Decades after NAFTA, economists are asking—will this new, giant trade deal endanger the manufacturing gains of recent years? “That trickle of jobs moving back that I think is going to grow into a bigger trickle: This is a speed bump for it,” said Wally Hopp, a professor at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business, said about the TPP. “At least certain products are going to suffer from it—with the tariff situation, all of a sudden, it’s easier to stay offshore.”

TPP will collapse the U.S. manufacturing base


Arthur Stamoulis, executive director of Citizens Trade Campaign (CTC), October 19, 2015, “The TPP Can Still Be Stopped,” Foreign Policy in Focus, http://fpif.org/the-tpp-can-still-be-stopped/, ACC. 10-30-2015

Ever since the massive labor dislocations unleashed by NAFTA, the first anxieties over any trade agreement inevitably concern the possibility of lost jobs — particularly among the blue-collar workforce. And in terms of jobs and wages, United Steelworkers president Leo Gerard has warned, the “TPP may be the final blow to manufacturing in America.” The TPP reportedly includes rules of origin for at least some critical products, such as automobiles, that are even weaker than the standards set by NAFTA, which itself was no prize for U.S. manufacturing. These rules would enable products assembled primarily from parts made in “third party” countries that are not subject to any TPP obligations, such as China, to enter the U.S. duty-free. (So much for the TPP being a bulwark against Chinese economic expansion.)


TPP will sway firms to go offshore


Alana Semuels, Staff Writer, October 8, 2015, “How the Trans-Pacific Partnership Threatens America's Recent Manufacturing Resurgence,” The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/10/trans-pacific-partnership-tpp-manufacturing/409591/, ACC. 10-31-2015

Perhaps what is most worrying, though, is the potential that TPP, or any trade agreement, could slow the reshoring of American jobs, especially in some fields such as auto-parts manufacturing, which states in the South such as Tennessee and South Carolina are competing to attract. “We had this period in time where there was this rush to China and Asia, well that’s kind of ended,” Hopp said. “The pendulum is just sitting in the middle now. Small effects can knock individual firms one way or another.” It may not be a “giant sucking sound” but the TPP could lead to another sound entirely — that of silence in the manufacturing plants of the U.S.


TPP Bad – Economy / Manufacturing

U.S. manufacturing will suffer under TPP


Alana Semuels, Staff Writer, October 8, 2015, “How the Trans-Pacific Partnership Threatens America's Recent Manufacturing Resurgence,” The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/10/trans-pacific-partnership-tpp-manufacturing/409591/, ACC. 10-31-2015

But trade agreements, at their heart, create winners and losers, and the TPP will likely create some U.S. manufacturing losers at a time when economists worry that the country is becoming too service-oriented. Fine wines and beef products made in the U.S. that currently have high tariffs in foreign countries might do well under the TPP, but agriculture doesn’t create many good jobs in the U.S. Automakers, on the other hand, could suffer. The TPP could take tariffs off of foreign-made small trucks, which are currently the big profit makers for the domestic automakers, said Art Schwartz, a former GM negotiator who is now president of Labor and Economics Associates. The deal may also make it more difficult for unions—especially the United Auto Workers—who are negotiating contracts with the Big Three: If automakers can say they have to outsource to compete, unions will have less leverage.


TPP Bad – Economy / Small Businesses

Greater Asian competition means small businesses will lose global markets under TPP


Ana Campoy, Staff Writer, October 27, 2015, “The TPP could help tiny companies become global exporters,” Quartz, http://qz.com/528698/the-tpp-could-help-tiny-companies-become-global-exporters/, ACC. 10-28-2015

Others are more skeptical about the TPP’s benefits. While it would open world markets for small US e-tailers, it also would expose them to increased competition from their Asian counterparts, which have the upper hand when it comes to shipping, says Ina Steiner, editor at EcommerceBytes. She tells Quartz that it’s generally cheaper and faster to send products from Asian countries to the US, which has a more streamlined and efficient customs system, than the other way around. So American vendors might end up losing global market share instead of gaining it, at least initially, she suggests.

TPP will kill off small businesses


Syed Jaymal Zahiid, Staff Writer, October 31, 2015, “TPP can result in unfair trade, Vietnamese scholar says,” MalayMailOnline, http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/tpp-can-result-in-unfair-trade-vietnamese-scholar-says, ACC. 10-31-2015

According to international reports, the TPP involving the US, Malaysia and other Pacific countries would phase out thousands of import tariffs as well as other barriers to international trade, establish uniform rules on corporations’ intellectual property, and open up the Internet. The agreement comes amid strong opposition from rights groups and segments of the business community who said the pact would kill off small businesses, drive wages down and shoot prices of medicines up.


TPP Bad – Economy / No Free Trade

TPP will not substantially advance free trade


Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, October 12, 2015, “There’s no reason to celebrate the TPP,” Al Jazeera America, http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2015/10/theres-no-reason-to-celebrate-the-tpp.html, ACC. 10-31-2015

First, the idea that the TPP is a massive advance for free trade is nonsense on its face. The Post asserted that the 12 countries in the TPP account for 40 percent of world GDP. While that sounds like a big deal, the United States already has trade deals with most of the countries in the TPP, including Canada, Mexico and Australia. For these countries, there are few, if any, formal trade barriers to eliminate. These countries account for 82 percent of the GDP of touted by the Post. Most of the rest of the GDP is from Japan. The formal trade barriers between Japan and the United States are already low in most areas, and where substantial barriers exist, they are not likely to be removed quickly as a result of the TPP. For example, the U.S. is supposed to phase out its tariffs on trucks imported from Japan by 2045 — three decades from now.


TPP is a power grab by major corporations under the mask of trade


Edie Cotton, Editorial, October 31, 2015, “Letter: Power grab is motive behind TPP,” The Columbian, http://www.columbian.com/news/2015/oct/31/letter-power-grab-is-motive-behind-tpp/, ACC. 10-31-2015

“Disgusted, but not surprised,” is my response to The Columbian editorial board’s opinion of Oct. 19, “An appetizing outcome?,” which sings praises for the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal. Has the paper’s board been having a drinkfest with the likes of Councilor David Madore, Port of Vancouver commissioners, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and the World Bank? Those of us who have been around the block are not fooled by this major piece of corruption that uses dishonest “scales” while hypocritically retaining the outward facade of patriotism. By “scales” I mean that the TPP has been drafted in secret largely because it has little to do with trade and everything to do with enhancing corporate sovereignty over public governments. Its “Investor-State Dispute Settlements” clause is fraudulently manipulative (via legal-language hocus-pocus) in elevating mere corporations to the status of “corporate states,” putting them on a par with nation states; taxpayers will be forced to compensate should corporate investors see any restriction on “expected future profits.” Thus, this is a power grab, pure and simple, with “trade” only being used as a mask.


TPP Bad - Environment

TPP allows corporations to bypass all environmental regulations and undermine safety


Arthur Stamoulis, executive director of Citizens Trade Campaign (CTC), October 19, 2015, “The TPP Can Still Be Stopped,” Foreign Policy in Focus, http://fpif.org/the-tpp-can-still-be-stopped/, ACC. 10-30-2015

Beyond incentivizing offshoring, the TPP’s investor-state provisions would enable transnational corporations to challenge environmental laws, regulations, and court decisions in international tribunals that circumvent the U.S. judicial system — and any other country’s judicial system. That gives foreign corporations a powerful new tool to attack public safety regulations they claim impact their bottom line.


The TPP is toxic for the environment


Michael Brune, the executive director of the Sierra Club, October 6, 2015, “Congress Should Oppose TPP on Environmental Grounds,” New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2015/10/06/the-future-of-trans-pacific-trade/congress-should-oppose-tpp-on-environmental-grounds, ACC. 10-31-2015

There’s little reason to believe that the rules in the environment chapter that deal with challenges such as illegal timber and wildlife trade would lead to meaningful changes on the ground. The U.S. is not known for holding other countries accountable in failing to live up to environmental commitments made in trade pacts. The U.S. has a pact with Peru, for instance, aimed at stopping illegal timber trade between the two countries. Yet illegal logging and associated trade are still rampant, and no one has been held accountable for violating the deal. That’s not the model of trade we want to replicate. The TPP would harm our environment, jeopardize the health of our families and set us back instead of tackling the climate crisis head on. Congress should oppose this toxic deal.

TPP gives corporations the right to kill, holding governments and the environment hostage to regulatory suits


Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize-winning economist and Columbia University professor, October 27, 2015, “Under TPP, Polluters Could Sue U.S. for Setting Carbon Emissions Limits,” Democracy Now!, http://www.democracynow.org/2015/10/27/joseph_stiglitz_under_tpp_polluters_could, ACC. 10-28-2015

Exactly. It’s a little bit more graphic, because they had the picture of what it did to your lungs. It worked. People started—you know, stopped smoking. Not everybody, but smoking was reduced. Under the provisions of this, TPP-like provision, Philip Morris can sue Uruguay for the loss of their expected profits as result of the regulation. In other words, the view is, they have the right to kill people, and if you want to take away that right, you have to pay them not to kill. Now, we carved—that provision was carved out, but all the other areas were left in. So they were talking about climate change regulation. We know we’re going to need regulations to restrict the emissions of carbon. But under these provisions, corporations can sue the government, including the American government, by the way, so it’s all the governments in the TPP can be sued for the loss of profits as a result of the regulations that restrict their ability to emit carbon emissions that lead to global warming. If this provision had been in place when we had discovered that asbestos was bad for your health—you know, under the current provisions, asbestos manufacturers have to pay for the damage that they’re doing. They pay billions and billions of dollars. If the TPP had been in place, we would have to pay the asbestos manufacturers for not killing us. It’s outrageous.


There are too many red flags. TPP is an environmental disaster


Michael Brune, the executive director of the Sierra Club, October 6, 2015, “Congress Should Oppose TPP on Environmental Grounds,” New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2015/10/06/the-future-of-trans-pacific-trade/congress-should-oppose-tpp-on-environmental-grounds, ACC. 10-31-2015

The Trans-Pacific Partnership would be an environmental disaster. The pact’s environment chapter outlining conservation rules, praised by the U.S. Trade Representative, cannot make up for the deal’s threats to our air, water and climate. That's why dozens of environmental organizations, like the Sierra Club, continue to wave red flags.

TPP Bad - Environment

Free market trade liquidates the environment


Chris Perley, Staff Writer, October 30, 2015, “TPP a disgrace for democracy,” Hawkins Bay Today, http://www.nzherald.co.nz/hawkes-bay-today/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503459&objectid=11537588, ACC. 10-30-2015

Once, a neo-liberal economist spoke with conviction that said "the free market provides the best environmental solution". It is amazing that they teach economists that rubbish. If you are of a big-c mind, without connection or ethical concern for your local place, or your local community, then the "rational" thing to do is to pillage and move one. Those educated in forest and soil management know this. Finance will trump ethics and our children's future if you let it. If short-term profit is your creed, take ownership of the public common for your own ends, privatise gains to be made and socialise costs, to make deals with short-term commissions. And liquidate natural systems that cycle slowly - destroy the forest, driftnet the ocean, and hoodwink the Solomon Islands chief out of his valuable forest for hollow promises.


TPP Bad – Big Pharma

TPP causes massive suffering by increasing medical costs


Brian Krans, Staff Writer, October 27, 2015, “Massive Trade Pact Could Inflate Global Drug Prices, Restrict Access,” Healthline, http://www.healthline.com/health-news/massive-trade-pact-could-inflate-global-drug-prices-restrict-access-102715, ACC. 10-28-2015

Global health depends on more than access to healthcare. It also requires that treatments are affordable to those who need them. One of the largest trade agreements in history — the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, or TPP — governs trade between the United States and 11 other Pacific Rim nations. It has been widely criticized for having been negotiated in secret, and leaked specifics have raised concerns that the deal will drastically inflate the cost of pharmaceutical drugs around the world. Those familiar with the agreement say it will create or extend pharmaceutical monopolies. That, they say, will lead to increased drug costs and undue suffering. Peter Maybarduk, director of Public Citizen's global access to medicines program, said that corporations influence these types of trade agreements to further their own interests, not those of consumers and patients. “It’s clear the TPP will be harmful to people by eliminating people’s access to medicine,” he told Healthline.

Millions of people will lose access to vital medical care


Jack Ramus, Staff Writer, October 22, 2015, “The TPP: Priority #1 of US Multinational Corporations,” Counterpunch,

http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/10/22/the-tpp-priority-1-of-us-multinational-corporations/, ACC. 10-30-2015



One of the most onerous of the TPP provisions leaked involves big pharmaceutical companies. In the U.S. they have been given 12 years of monopoly rights over the sale of certain life-saving drugs. Lower cost generics are banned for that period. That ban on competition has already resulted in runaway price gouging of U.S. consumers desperately in need of life-saving drugs. The accelerating cost of the drugs in the U.S. is also making insurance premiums unaffordable. This multi-year protection from lower cost generic drugs for “Big Pharma” is now embedded into the TPP as well. Those ill and in need of life-saving drugs throughout the other 11 countries – mostly the poor and much of the working classes – will now be denied lower cost alternatives for life saving drugs, as in the U.S. The minimum years of price protection from generics under the TPP is being reported as between 5 to 8 years. But the 5 to 8 years can be extended up to 11 years. So millions of people throughout the 11 countries, who might have been able to get the generic drug versions, and save their lives, will now go without for more than a decade to come.

TPP Bad – China/India Economies

TPP steals billions from the Chinese and Indian economies


Fahmida Khatun, Research Director at the Centre for Policy Dialogue, currently a Visiting Scholar at the Centre for Study of Science, Technology & Policy, India, October 26, 2015, “Mitigating the implications of TPP,” The Daily Star, http://dev.thedailystar.net/op-ed/mitigating-the-implications-tpp-162283, ACC. 10-28-2015

The political economy of the TPP is deeper than mere trade liberalisation. The underlying objective also includes isolating China and creating more competition between the USA and China. As China created the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the urge of some bigger powers to unite against China became stronger. Because, through AIIB, China has exhibited its ability to influence the rules of investment finance in Asia. For those outside the TPP, apprehensions have surfaced in a number of areas. Existing estimates are only preliminary in the absence of the details of the agreement. Still, it is huge. The Chinese economy will suffer a loss to the tune of $47 billion to $89 billion. India will lose out $2.7 billion in exports annually. Indian exports will face a diversion of about 1 percent.

TPP Bad – Taiwan Conflict

Straining cross-straits relations is inevitable under TPP


Shihoko Goto, the senior associate for Northeast Asia with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars’ Asia Program, October 22, 2015, “Could the TPP Actually Divide Asia?,” The Diplomat, http://thediplomat.com/2015/10/could-the-tpp-actually-divide-asia/, ACC. 10-30-2015

The Taiwanese government has made clear that it hopes to be one of the first entrants to the TPP, not only to further its position as a global exporter but also to encourage domestic reform that is critical if Taiwan is to remain competitive. Given its experience in joining the World Trade Organization, whereby it had to wait until China was ready for accession in 2001 so that it could join at the same time, there is growing concern that Taipei would have to wait again for Beijing to be ready. The frustration of being unable to join a group that is seen as key to Taiwan's growth will undoubtedly strain cross-Strait relations.

TPP Bad – U.S. Hegemony / Leadership

TPP “free trade” causes resentment and undermines U.S. leadership


Richard Katz, editor of The Oriental Economist Report, October 18, 2015, “Will US Republicans torpedo the TPP?,” The Australian Financial Review Magazine, AFR Weekend, http://www.afr.com/opinion/will-us-republicans-torpedo-the-tpp-20151016-gkbbnu, ACC. 10-31-2015

What is most disconcerting is the one-way street attitude of too many of those who call themselves "free traders". Some in business and Congress — in both parties — contend that the United States is already so open that there is little left to do. This naturally causes resentment among the other TPP countries, who point to a host of issues, some of which the United States did not even allow to be discussed in the main TPP talks. These include: "Buy America" provisions of many state procurement laws (a US$1.4 trillion market); the protectionist "yarn forward" rule in textiles; the refusal to significantly bring down high import barriers on sugar and dairy; and tariffs on Japanese trucks (25 per cent), cars (2.5 per cent) and parts (mostly 6–10 per cent) that will not be lifted under the TPP for 30, 25 and up to 15 years, respectively. US leadership rests on others’ perception of it as a benign hegemon. By undermining such perceptions, one-way street notions of free trade pose a far greater threat to national security than any rival free trade agreement that China could create.

TPP Bad – A2: Boosts US-China Relations

TPP won’t improve U.S.-China relations


Arthur R. Kroeber, managing director of GaveKal Dragonomics and editor of China Economic Quarterly, October 5, 2015, “What Will the TPP Mean for China?,” Foreign Policy, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/07/china-tpp-trans-pacific-partnership-obama-us-trade-xi/, ACC. 10-31-2015

For the moment, China and the United States still mostly conduct their relations on a basis of economic pragmatism rather than strategic rivalry. But the ground is rapidly shifting. The completion of the TPP sharpens the question of how the United States and China will share power in the Asia-Pacific, but provides no answer.

TPP is overtly confrontational with China


Jean-Pierre Lehman, Staff Writer, October 13, 2015, “TPP: The Path To Global Fragmentation,” Forbes, http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/10/13/tpp-the-path-to-global-fragmentation/, ACC. 10-31-2015

The TPP is positioned and perceived as a rival to the AIIB. It is no surprise that the TPP, which Washington positions as a critical part of its “pivot” to Asia, should be viewed as a potential US-Japan anti-China bloc, given the significant geopolitical tension in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in the highly fraught China-Japan relationship, and as the Shinzo Abe government reinterprets the Japanese Constitution to enhance Japan’s regional military role. I would go even further and say that the TPP is blatantly geopolitical and overtly, indeed triumphantly, confrontational towards China.

TPP Bad – China Containment / War

Despite rhetoric, TPP is meant to contain China and risks war


Arthur R. Kroeber, managing director of GaveKal Dragonomics and editor of China Economic Quarterly, October 5, 2015, “What Will the TPP Mean for China?,” Foreign Policy, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/07/china-tpp-trans-pacific-partnership-obama-us-trade-xi/, ACC. 10-31-2015

The TPP illustrates a dilemma for U.S. policy in the Asia-Pacific. On one side, Washington seeks to counterbalance China’s rising power by strengthening its military relationships with its regional allies, tilting in favor of southeast Asian countries in their maritime disputes with China, discouraging its friends from participating in Chinese initiatives such as the AIIB, and pursuing a massive trade agreement that leaves out the region’s and the world’s biggest trading nation. On the other side, American leaders reiterate that they have no desire to contain China (rightly seeing such a strategy would fail), and argue that deeper engagement, rather than confrontation, is the right way forward in U.S.-China relations. This stance is borderline incoherent, and it’s understandable why many Chinese see it as duplicitous. Washington’s words are all about constructive engagement, but its deeds mostly smack of containment. At the root is a deep ambivalence about whether or not the United States should accept China as an equal. If it does, then it must also accept that China will build a sphere of influence and regional arrangements that exclude the United States. If it does not, then it must accept that in fact if not in name it is pursuing a strategy of containment. Such a strategy heightens the risk of armed conflict.

China hates the TPP. It shifts the economic balance in Asia against them, which drags down their economy


Barry Naughton, the So Kwanlok Chair of Chinese International Affairs at the Graduate School of International Relations and Pacific Studies at the University of California, San Diego, October 5, 2015, “What Will the TPP Mean for China?,” Foreign Policy, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/07/china-tpp-trans-pacific-partnership-obama-us-trade-xi/, ACC. 10-31-2015

First, the TPP shows the United States and Japan exercising leadership, stepping out ahead of the global community in their willingness to negotiate a new set of rules and obligations. This dynamism presents challenges to China. It creates the possibility that the future rules for the global economy will be written under predominant U.S. influence, in the same way that the current rules have been. That makes China extremely uncomfortable, and it also pressures China to come up with alternatives that will be attractive to its neighbors while also serving its own interests. Second, the TPP shifts economic balances and alliances within Asia. The TPP greatly increases the likelihood that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will carry through on Japanese economic reforms, therefore making economic revival there more likely. The TPP will pull Vietnam (especially) and other signatories economically closer to the United States, and thus reduce Chinese economic preponderance. Given that South Korea is likely to quickly join in any completed TPP agreement, these shifts can have a long-run economic impact on China.




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