12 October 2016
Initiation of Coverage
Sandal Plc
Electronic & Electrical Equipment
SAND (ISDX)
Upside
90.0%
Buy
Price 34.5p
|
Target Price 66p
|
|
Source: NETBuilder
|
Shares in issue 16.3m
|
Market Cap £5.6m
|
Next Event AGM
|
Net Debt is current year estimated
|
Excellent exposure to the fast-growing Smart Home market
Investment Case
Forecasts (£)
|
05/15A
|
05/16A
|
05/17E
|
05/18E
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Turnover
|
3,338,525
|
3,295,765
|
3,900,000
|
5,350,000
|
EBITDA
|
(233,413)
|
(113,845)
|
256,134
|
727,384
|
PBT
|
(327,373)
|
(267,539)
|
105,164
|
576,414
|
Tax (%)
|
7
|
69
|
0
|
12
|
EPS (p)
|
(1.7)
|
(0.5)
|
0.6
|
2.8
|
DPS (p)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
Data is adjusted
|
Sandal is a long-established business through its PowerConnections electrical products division. The Group also offers exposure to the fast-growing Smart Home market through its Energenie MiHome arm
Energenie MiHome offers its own hub and app and enjoys a strong market position due to compatability with other manufacturers’ products
Ratios (x)
|
05/15A
|
05/16A
|
05/17E
|
05/18E
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
P/E
|
n/a
|
n/a
|
58.7
|
12.2
|
Yield (%)
|
n/a
|
n/a
|
n/a
|
n/a
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company Description
|
|
|
Sandal plc designs, develops and manufactures consumer electronics products.
www.sandal-plc.co.uk
|
|
Strong growth in Energenie MiHome revenue should drive a swing into profitability this year
We initiate coverage with a Buy and a Target Price of 66p based on a market cap/revenue multiple of 2x
Profile of Sandal
PowerConnections is a well-established cash cow which has funded the development of Energenie which now occupies a strong position in the fast-growing Smart Home market
Sandal plc designs, develops and manufactures consumer electronics products. It started business in 1996 following a leveraged management buy-out by Alan Tadd from Greenbrook Electrical plc.
Sandal has two divisions:
PowerConnections which is a long-established wholesaler and reseller of a successful and patented range of converter plugs and power cables, and
Energenie which is the growth part of the business and which has two parts:
-
The original arm which sells a range of energy saving products and portable charging devices, and
-
The MiHome range of products which is aimed at the Home Automation market and which allows remote operation and monitoring of household appliances.
Investment Case
Sandal offers excellent exposure to the rapidly-growing Smart Home market through its Energenie MiHome arm.
Sandal is a long-established business through its PowerConnections electrical products division which also offers exposure to the rapidly-growing Smart Home market through its Energenie MiHome arm.
Smart Home market set to grow at 26% p.a. to 2020
Growth in the Smart Home or Home Automation market is expected to be substantial. Transparency Market Research predicts that the overall global market for home automation systems will grow at 26% p.a. between 2014 and 2020 to reach USD21.7 billion in 2020, up from approximately USD5.3 billion in 2014.
Strong track record of successful product development
Sandal has a strong track record of bringing new products to market and establishing distribution networks.
Partnerships with leading global technology companies
Sandal has demonstrated has a track record of working in conjunction with leading technology companies such as Apple and Google’s Nest. Imminent developments include the launch of Energenie MiHome products with Amazon Echo and Samsung SmartThings.
Experienced management team
Sandal has an experienced management team led by CEO, Alan Tadd, who undertook the MBO of the PowerConnections business from Greenbrook Electrical plc 20 years ago.
PowerConnections profitable & cash generative
The PowerConnections division is a long-established business which markets a successful and patented range of converter plugs and power cables through a global distribution network. It has a number of blue chip customers such as Stanley Black & Decker and Bosch and is both profitable and cash generative with 60% of revenue in USD. In the year to 31st May 2016, revenue was £2.6m, gross profit £1.1m and operating profit £0.4m.
Energenie MiHome sales now taking off…
Energenie MiHome offers a range of Smart Home products which allow the consumer to control remotely heating, lighting and mains power via the MiHome App. Customers include Homebase, ASDA, Amazon and Toolstation. Revenue in the year to 31st May 2016 was £0.8m. New listings in 2016 with Screwfix, Argos, Ebuyer, Ocado and JD Williams should see revenue rise substantially in the current year.
And investment is set to reduce
Sandal has spent over £600,000 over the last four years developing the initial technology behind the Hub, App and product range. Importantly, Research & Development spend is now set to reduce which will help drive the swing to EBITDA profitability and cash generation over the next two years.
Forecasts ~ MiHome will drive a sharp swing into profitability
For the year to 31st May 2016, Sandal reported an operating loss of £224,979 down from a loss of £317,008 in 2015, due principally to growth in revenue at Energenie MiHome and a pre-tax loss of £267,539 down from a loss of £327,373.
In the current year to 31st May 2017, we expect revenue from the Energenie division overall to almost double and to double again in 2018, driven by sharp growth in revenue from Energenie MiHome.
This should allow the group overall to swing into operating profit and pre-tax profit this year, helped reduced MiHome development spend.
We look for an operating profit of £145,000 in the current year rising to £616,250 in 2018, resulting in pre-tax profit of £105,164 this year, rising to £576,414 in 2018.
Table . Sandal Forecasts 2015-2018e
|
|
|
|
|
|
Y/e 31st May (£)
|
2015
|
2016
|
2017e
|
2018e
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
PowerConnections
|
2,679,659
|
2,526,546
|
2,500,000
|
2,500,000
|
Energenie
|
649,220
|
556,005
|
650,000
|
750,000
|
MiHome
|
9,646
|
213,215
|
750,000
|
2,100,000
|
Energenie Total
|
658,866
|
769,220
|
1,400,000
|
2,850,000
|
Total Revenue
|
3,338,525
|
3,295,765
|
3,900,000
|
5,350,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Profit/(Loss)
|
|
|
|
|
PowerConnections
|
350,298
|
245,286
|
390,000
|
390,000
|
Energenie
|
(667,306)
|
(470,264)
|
(245,000)
|
226,250
|
Operating Profit/(Loss)
|
(317,008)
|
(224,979)
|
145,000
|
616,250
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pre Tax Profit/(Loss)
|
(327,373)
|
(267,539)
|
105,164
|
576,414
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source: Company, DSC
|
Valuation ~ Market Cap/Revenue of 2x looks undemanding
Sandal is currently valued on a p/e of 58.7x for May 2017e, falling to 12.2x for May 2018e. However, given Sandal’s excellent market position with its Energenie MiHome product and links with key technology partners in a market which is set for enormous growth, we believe that a Market Cap/Revenue multiple may be more appropriate. Using a multiple of 2x May 2018e revenue of £5.35m, we set a Target Price of 66p, giving upside of 90%.
Valuation
Valuation is based on a Market Cap/Revenue multiple given expected rapid growth in the Smart Home market
Peer Group Valuation
Sandal is currently valued on a p/e of 58.7x for May 2017e, falling to 12.2x for May 2018e.
Peer group companies trade on p/e’s in the range of 12x to 30x for the current forecast year (FY1), falling to 10x to 27x for Forecast Year 2 (FY2), as shown in Table 2.
Table 2. Peer Group Valuation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ticker
|
Name
|
Mkt Cap (£m)
|
P/E(x)
|
P/E FY1(x)
|
P/E FY2(x)
|
Dividend Yield(%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IND LN Equity
|
INDIGOVISION GROUP PLC
|
13
|
144.6
|
8.2
|
5.6
|
n/a
|
LPA LN Equity
|
LPA GROUP PLC
|
18
|
12.9
|
12.5
|
11.7
|
1.4
|
VNET LN Equity
|
VIANET GROUP PLC
|
27
|
20.0
|
13.6
|
12.3
|
6.0
|
SNX LN Equity
|
SYNECTICS PLC
|
37
|
51.5
|
19.3
|
11.8
|
0.5
|
VLX LN Equity
|
VOLEX PLC
|
37
|
n/a
|
15.6
|
10.2
|
n/a
|
DGB LN Equity
|
DIGITAL BARRIERS PLC
|
78
|
n/a
|
94.5
|
24.9
|
n/a
|
SERV LN Equity
|
SERVELEC GROUP PLC
|
187
|
15.8
|
16.8
|
13.8
|
1.9
|
DIA LN Equity
|
DIALIGHT PLC
|
229
|
n/a
|
27.7
|
19.2
|
n/a
|
ACSO LN Equity
|
ACCESSO TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC
|
356
|
55.6
|
56.9
|
42.2
|
n/a
|
OXIG LN Equity
|
OXFORD INSTRUMENTS PLC
|
416
|
45.1
|
14.2
|
13.1
|
1.8
|
SMS LN Equity
|
SMART METERING SYSTEMS PLC
|
512
|
32.8
|
31.1
|
26.8
|
0.6
|
E2V LN Equity
|
E2V TECHNOLOGIES PLC
|
503
|
16.9
|
15.5
|
14.4
|
2.4
|
RSW LN Equity
|
RENISHAW PLC
|
2,125
|
30.8
|
26.8
|
23.9
|
1.6
|
SXS LN Equity
|
SPECTRIS PLC
|
2,580
|
24.7
|
18.4
|
16.9
|
2.3
|
HLMA LN Equity
|
HALMA PLC
|
4,273
|
39.2
|
29.0
|
26.9
|
1.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source: Bloomberg
|
Share with your friends: |