1ac heg Advantage Scenario 1 is Leadership



Download 1.32 Mb.
Page60/61
Date28.05.2018
Size1.32 Mb.
#51446
1   ...   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61

Russia D/A- START



Current START treaty limits our missile capabilities

Spring 5-3-11 – Baker Spring, F.M. Kirby Research Fellow in National Security Policy at The Heritage Foundation, “Sixteen Steps to Comprehensive Missile Defense: What the FY 2012 Budget Should Fund,” The Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/Research/Reports/2011/05/Sixteen-Steps-to-Comprehensive-Missile-Defense-What-the-FY-2012-Budget-Should-Fund

Administration officials constantly asserted during the Senate debate over New START that the treaty did not limit U.S. missile defense options.[13] Not only was this factually incorrect because the treaty limits the U.S. option to convert strategic offensive missile launchers into defensive interceptors, but the treaty also restricts the handling of certain types of target missiles in ballistic missile tests, and its preamble imposes general restrictions on U.S. missile defense options.

Neg Answers


Status Quo solves- recent budget deals

The Economist 10 – “Moon dreams The Americans may still go to the moon before the Chinese,” Feb 18 2010, print edition, http://www.economist.com/node/15543675

WHEN America’s space agency, NASA, announced its spending plans in February, some people worried that its cancellation of the Constellation moon programme had ended any hopes of Americans returning to the Earth’s rocky satellite. The next footprints on the lunar regolith were therefore thought likely to be Chinese. Now, though, the private sector is arguing that the new spending plan actually makes it more likely America will return to the moon.



The new plan encourages firms to compete to provide transport to low Earth orbit (LEO). The budget proposes $6 billion over five years to spur the development of commercial crew and cargo services to the international space station. This money will be spent on “man-rating” existing rockets, such as Boeing’s Atlas V, and on developing new spacecraft that could be launched on many different rockets. The point of all this activity is to create healthy private-sector competition for transport to the space stationand in doing so to drive down the cost of getting into space.

Eric Anderson, the boss of a space-travel company called Space Adventures, is optimistic about the changes. They will, he says, build “railroads into space”. Space Adventures has already sent seven people to the space station, using Russian rockets. It would certainly benefit from a new generation of cheap launchers.
Space X will go to Mars despite previous set backs

http://www.dailytech.com/SpaceX+Sets+Sights+on+Launches+Dreams+of+Mars/article22169.htm

The millionaire brainiac behind the Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) program has high ambitions of future private space exploration. Founder Elon Musk seeks a trip to the Red Planet of Mars before NASA's mid-2030s current projected timeframe.

Of course, Musk and SpaceX have delayed projects and failed tests in the past, but have shown great promise in current projects. SpaceX also continues to collect funds from NASA and other contractors looking to help go into space.
Status Quo solves- Falcon Heavy will spur other launches

http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/space/rockets/tech-behind-new-spacex-falcon-heavy-rocket-5518955

The Falcon Heavy could have major space business implications. A cheaper launch cost could bring in customers that were priced out before, and the extra payload capacity could entice new customers, too. That could include the Air Force and NASA. While the Falcon Heavy has only half the capacity of Saturn V, it offers twice the payload of its American competitors—United Launch Alliance's (ULA) Atlas V and Delta IV rockets, and for quite a bit less per launch—at least according to Musk's plan. If the Falcon Heavy really does launch from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California within two years and then from Florida a year later, as Musk promised on Tuesday, the Air Force and NASA will have to think about using a new launch provider for their own satellites, a field pretty much owned by ULA for this payload class to date. ULA may have to innovate—or die. Let's hope it's the former, because SpaceX just opened up the possibilities for a new, robust American launch industry.

\

Risk analysis


Even if they win their impact, the benefits to SMD outweigh

Frederick 9 – Lt Col Lorinda A. Frederick, USAF, BA, Michigan State University; MBA, Regis University; Master of Military Operational Art and Science, Air Command and Staff College; Master of Airpower Art and Science, School of Advanced Air and Space Studies, 9/1/09, “Deterrence and Space-Based Missile Defense,” Air and Space Power Journal, Fall 2009

Credible deterrence depends on technological capability and political will. During the Cold War, the United States relied on the nuclear triad to deter ballistic missile threats emanating from the Soviet Union. These capabilities reinforced the political will expressed through policies such as massive retaliation and assured destruction. We had no defense against ballistic missile attacks. Today, the nuclear triad still deters threats from Russia and China; however, the threat has expanded to include rogue elements and proliferators undeterred by Cold War methods. The current land- and sea-based missile defense architecture provides a limited defense against these threats, but it lacks redundancy and depends on the proper positioning of assets to intercept missiles in their midcourse and terminal phases of flight.Attaching a monetary figure to SBMD is difficult. A cost/benefit assessment should include potential cost savings in other parts of the missile defense architecture in relation to the benefits, including rapid responsiveness, global power projection, and constant presence. The United States must also consider the cost of expanding current missile defense layers to achieve the added deterrent and protective effect that SBMD could provide. Putting a monetary value on deterrence represents the main difficulty of a comprehensive assessment.

The continued proliferation of ballistic missile technology to states and rogue elements warrants increased research into SBMD. The United States should continue to demonstrate the international will necessary to help deter the proliferation of ballistic missiles while providing the capability to defend against rogue elements should deterrence fail.



Download 1.32 Mb.

Share with your friends:
1   ...   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61




The database is protected by copyright ©ininet.org 2024
send message

    Main page