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Population and Demographics



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3.3 Population and Demographics

3.3.1 HistoricPopulation


Valley County’s population data since 1900 is presented in Table 13. Notice that the county had the biggest population increase from 1900 to 1910. The population peaked in 1960 and has been declining since. The most significant population decrease was from 1960 to 1970, which coincides with the closure of the Glasgow Airforce Base in 1969.

Table 13: PopulationofValley Countysince1900 (U.S.Census)

Census Year

Population

Percent Change

1900

4,355

-

1910

13,630

213.0%

1920

11,542

-15.1%

1930

11,181

-3.1%

1940

15,181

35.8%

1950

11,353

-25.2%

1960

17,080

50.4%

1970

11,471

-32.8%

1980

10,250

-10.6%

1990

8,239

-19.6%

2000

7,675

-6.8%

2010

7,369

-4.0%

Est. 2013

7,630

3.5%

Source: US Census

3.3.2 Population Trends


In Valley County, as of the 2010 Census, there were 3,150 households out of which 29.70% had children under the age of 18 living with them, 55.50% were married couples living together, 8.20% had a female householder with no husband present, and 32.40% were non-families. 29.30% of all households were made up of individuals and 12.00% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.38 and the average family size was 2.93.
In the county, the population was demographically diverse with 25.10% under the age of 18, 6.00% from 18 to 24, 24.30% from 25 to 44, 25.60% from 45 to 64, and 19.00% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 42 years. For every 100 females there were 98.20 males. For every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 95.10 males.

3.3.3 ComparableGrowth


One of the best ways to compare the county’s rate of population growth is to examine the growth rates of neighboring counties. Table 14 accomplishes this by including demographic information for the following counties: Phillips County, Garfield County, McCone County, Roosevelt County and Daniels County.

Table 14: Comparable Growth in Neighboring Counties

County

2000 Census

2010 Census

% change

Phillips County

4,601

4,253

-7.6%

Garfield County

1,279

1,206

-5.7%

McCone County

1,977

1,734

-12.3%

Roosevelt County

10,620

10,425

-1.8%

Daniels County

2,017

1,715

-13.2%

Valley County

7,675

7,630

-4.0%

According to the above information, all of the counties in the area are experiencing some population decrease. The county with the most population decrease in the past decade was McCone County and the county with the least population loss was Roosevelt County.


3.3.4 PopulationbyAgeGroups


Table15showsthebreakdownofValleyCounty’spopulationbyagecategories.Valley County’s total population is 7,369, with the largest age group makeup being those 55-59 years old. This indicates the major age group in Valley County is aging and will soon be retiring and may begin experiencing more health problems with age.

Table 15: Valley County’sPopulationbyAgeGroupsin2010(U.S.Census)

Subject

Number

Percent

Total population

7,369

100.0

Under 5 years

415

5.6

5 to 9 years

478

6.5

10 to 14 years

473

6.4

15 to 19 years

494

6.7

20 to 24 years

246

3.3

25 to 29 years

344

4.7

30 to 34 years

341

4.6

35 to 39 years

368

5.0

40 to 44 years

376

5.1

45 to 49 years

571

7.7

50 to 54 years

605

8.2

55 to 59 years

619

8.4

60 to 64 years

514

7.0

65 to 69 years

408

5.5

70 to 74 years

363

4.9

75 to 79 years

294

4.0

80 to 84 years

207

2.8

85 years and over

253

3.4

Median age (years)

46.4

( X )

Source: U.S. Census 2010



3.3.5 Households


The Great Northern Development Corporation Regional Needs Assessment from 2013 indicated that there is a shortage of safe, sanitary, and affordable housing within the region which adversely affects the availability of a workforce. In 2010, Valley County had 4,874 housing units and there is a projected 12 percent population increase expected which means there would need to be a total of 8,253 housing units to accommodate. The lack of housing is a concern for the county.
Table16 showsexactlyhow many households are in Valley County. Currently, the number of family households makes up 62.3 percent of the counties households, with 20.2 percent of those having children under the age of 18. There is also a significant percentage of householders living alone, with over one-third of the county’s population living alone.

Table 16: Households, and Average Household Size of Valley County (U.S. Census)

HOUSEHOLDS BY TYPE

Number

Percent

Total households

3,248

3,248

Family households (families)

2,023

62.3%

With own children under 18 years

655

20.2%

Married-couple family

1,657

51.0%

With own children under 18 years

433

13.3%

Male householder, no wife present, family

94

2.9%

With own children under 18 years

27

0.8%

Female householder, no husband present, family

272

8.4%

With own children under 18 years

195

6.0%

Nonfamily households

1,225

37.7%

Householder living alone

1,177

36.2%

65 years and over

515

15.9%

HOUSEHOLDS BY TYPE







Total households

3,248

3,248

Family households (families)

2,023

62.3%

With own children under 18 years

655

20.2%

Married-couple family

1,657

51.0%

With own children under 18 years

433

13.3%

Source: U.S. Census 2010

3.3.6 PopulationProjections


Population projections by county were released by the US Census in 2010. You can see the projections in the table below. Note that the population projection for the county by 2060 is projected to only increase by about 500 hundred people. This is not a significant increase in population, however, the population is projected to hit over 8,000 citizens in 2030.
Table 17: Population Projections for Valley County

County

Population 2010

Projected

2020

Projected

2030

Projected

2040

Projected

2050

Projected

2060

Valley County

7,376

8,074

8,178

7,938

7,667

7,813

Source: U.S. Census 2010

3.3.7 Special Populations

Special Population is a term used to express a disadvantaged group for example populations with disabilities, minors, and the elderly. Special populations often require accommodations for physical, mental or emotional differences. Emergency service providers must carefully consider special populations. The following tables illustrate four subgroups of special populations in Valley County, elderly, children, female and individuals with a disability.
The first table outlines the number of households with children. The factors that make this table noteworthy, is the majority of households with children are married couples. However, single mothers make up a significant subset of the households with children.
Table 18: Children
Subject
2010 Census Data
(US Census Bureau)
Percent of Total Households
Family households with children
655
20.2%
Married couples with children
433
13.3%
Single mothers with children
195
6.0
Single fathers with children
27
0.8%

Source: U.S. Census 2010
The elderly table is a recap of earlier stated county population data of just the 65 years old and older population. Currently, the number of 65 and older make up 20.6% of the total county population, but this number will increase exponentially as the baby boomers age. The elderly population makes up one-fifth of the total population currently in the county.
Table 19: Elderly

Age Group

Number

Percentage

65 to 69 years

408

5.5%

70 to 74 years

363

4.9%

75 to 79 years

294

4.0%

80 to 84 years

207

2.8%

85 years and over

253

3.4%

Total

1525

20.6%

Source: U.S. Census 2010
The female population table represents the number of females in the county. An interesting point shown in this table is that the female population is slightly more than half of the total population in the county.
Table 20: Females

Female population

Number

Percent

Total Female Population

3,705

50.3%

Under 5 years

215

2.9%

5 to 9 years

234

3.2%

10 to 14 years

231

3.1%

15 to 19 years

245

3.3%

20 to 24 years

121

1.6%

25 to 29 years

174

2.4%

30 to 34 years

154

2.1%

35 to 39 years

191

2.6%

40 to 44 years

192

2.6%

45 to 49 years

297

4.0%

50 to 54 years

289

3.9%

55 to 59 years

295

4.0%

60 to 64 years

254

3.4%

65 to 69 years

201

2.7%

70 to 74 years

189

2.6%

75 to 79 years

153

2.1%

80 to 84 years

114

1.5%

85 years and over

156

2.1%

Source: U.S. Census 2010
Table 21 outlines the population in Valley County with a disability. The table is an overview of the total of those with a disability condition. According to the 2010 US Census 1,067 persons (14.5%) in Valley County have a disability.
Table 21: Population with a Disability

Total Civilian Non-Institutionalized Population

7,368

100%

With a disability

1,067

14.5%

Under 18 years

1,673

-

With a disability

105

6.3%

18 to 64 years

4,180

-

With a disability

426

10.2%

65 years and over

1,515

-

With a disability

536

35.4%

Source: U.S. Census 2010
According to the US Census Bureau, 1.0% of Valley County’s population is considered institutionalized.
Table 22: Institutionalized Population
Subject
2010 Census Data (US Census Bureau)
Percentage
Institutionalized
76
1.0%
Male
25
0.3%
Female
51
0.7%

The American Community Survey shows 13.5% of Valley County is living in poverty.

Table 23: Valley County Poverty
Subject
2009-2013 Percentage Montana
2009-2013 Percentage Valley County
Population in Poverty
15.2%
13.5%

Source: American Community Survey

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