1. Introduction Sea ice, which provides a layer of thermal insulation between ocean and atmosphere and reflects most of the incident solar insolation, is central to polar climate studies
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Vihma, T., 2014: Effects of Arctic sea ice decline on weather and climate: A review. Surv. Geophys., doi:10.1007/s10712-014-9284-0. Wang, W., and Coauthors, 2013: ARW Version 3 Modeling System User’s Guide. NCAR Tech. Note, 408 pp., Natl. Cent. for Atmos. Res., Boulder, CO, in press. [Available from http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/docs/user_guide_V3.pdf]. Warren, S.G., I.G. Rigor. N. Untersteiner, V.F. Radionov, N.N. Bryazgin, Y.I. Aleksandrov, and R. Colony, 1999: Snow depth on arctic sea ice. J. Climate, 12, 1814–1829. Wilson, A.B., D.H. Bromwich, K.M. Hines, 2011: Evaluation of Polar WRF forecasts on the Arctic System Reanalysis domain: Surface and upper air analysis. J. Geophys. Res., 116, D11112, doi:10.1029/2010JD015013. Wilson, A.B., D.H. Bromwich, and K.M. Hines, 2012: Evaluation of Polar WRF forecasts on the Arctic System Reanalysis domain. 2. Atmospheric hydrologic cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 17, D04107, doi:10.1029/2011JD016765. Yang, S., and J.H. Christensen, 2012: Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20707, doi: 10.1029/2012GL053338. Zhang, J., 2007, Increasing Antarctic sea ice under warming atmospheric and oceanic conditions. J. Climate, 20, 2515–2529, doi:10.1175/JCLI4136.1. List of Tables Table 1. Numerical Simulations with WRF 3.5 for January 1998. Table 2. January 1998 Sea Ice Averages for ICE Station SHEBA and Grid Points with Sea Ice Concentration Greater than 0.5. Table 3. January 1998 WRF 3.5 and Polar WRF 3.5 Performance Statistics in Comparison to SHEBA Observations. Table 4. Averages from Sensitivity Test Results for 16-26 January, 1998. Table 5. Numerical simulations with Polar WRF 3.5 for 24 January – 7 February, 2012. Figure Captions Figure 1. Map of Arctic domain showing average January 1998 values of (a) sea ice concentration (fraction), (b) sea ice thickness (m), (c) snow depth on sea ice (m), and (d) topography (m). The location of Ice Station SHEBA is marked by the thick black curve. Figure 2. Time series of (a) sea ice concentration (fraction), (b) sea ice thickness (m) and snow depth on sea ice (m) for January 1998 for Ice Station SHEBA (red lines) and all Arctic sea ice grid points (black lines). The blue and purple lines in (a) represent area north of 80N and 85N, respectively. The right scale in (b) is snow depth (m). Figure 3. Time series for January 1998 showing Ice Station SHEBA values of (a) surface pressure (hPa), (b) 10 m wind speed (m s-1), (c) skin temperature (C), (d) 2.5 m (observed) and 2 m (simulated) temperature (C), (e) specific humidity (g kg-1), (f) incident longwave radiation (W m-2), (g) sensible heat flux (W m-2), and (h) latent heat flux (W m-2). Figure 4. Time series for 16-26 January 1998 showing Ice Station SHEBA values of 2.5 m (observed) and 2 m (simulated) temperature (C). The observations are shown by the dark solid line. Sea ice thickness sensitivity experiments are shown by the dashed color lines, and snow depth sensitivity experiments are shown by the solid color lines. Figure 5. Vertical profiles for 16-26 January 1998 showing Ice Station SHEBA values for temperature (C). Figure 6. Time series for 16-26 January 1998 showing Ice Station SHEBA values for heat conduction flux (W m-2). Sea ice thickness sensitivity experiments are shown by the dashed color lines, and snow depth sensitivity experiments are shown by the solid color lines. Figure 7. Time series for 16-26 January 1998 showing Ice Station SHEBA values for sensible heat flux (W m-2). Sea ice thickness sensitivity experiments are shown by the dashed color lines, and snow depth sensitivity experiments are shown by the solid color lines. Figure 8. Map of domain showing 0000 UTC 24 January 2012 values of (a) topography (m), (b) sea ice concentration (fraction), (c) sea ice thickness (m), and (d) snow depth on sea ice (m). The numbered boxes are for time series. Figure 9. Geopotential height (geopotential meters, gpm) at 500 hPa from NCEP GFS FNL for (a) 0000 UTC 24 January, (b) 0000 UTC 26 January, (c) 0000 UTC 28 January, (d) 0000 UTC 30 January, (e) 0000 UTC 01 February, and (f) 0000 UTC 03 February, 2012. Contour interval is 50 gpm. Figure 10. Mean sea level pressure difference (hPa) between the Remote0.5 m and Remote3m simulations for (a) 0000 UTC 26 January (hour 48), (b) 1200 UTC 27 January (hour 84), (c) 0000 UTC 29 January (hour 120), (d) 0000 UTC 30 January (hour 144), (e) 0000 UTC 31 January (hour 168), and (f) 0000 UTC 01 February, 2012 (hour 192). Contour interval is 0.25 hPa. Figure 11. Time series for the Arctic box 1 in Fig. 8b showing area average (a) surface temperature (K), mean sea level pressure (hPa), and 500 hPa height (gpm) for the 24 January – 07 February 2012 Polar WRF simulations. Figure 12. Time series for the Arctic box 1 in Fig. 8b showing area average (a) heat conduction flux W m-2), and (b) sensible heat flux (W m-2) for the 24 January – 07 February 2012 Polar WRF simulations. Figure 13. Time series for the boxes 2, 3, and 4 in Fig. 8a showing area average 850 hPa temperature for (a) box 1, (b) box 2, and (c) box 3 for the 24 January – 07 February 2012 Polar WRF simulations. Directory: hines hines -> Accomplishments major goals of the project hines -> Hines Chapter 2 Psychics and Psychic Phenomena Kate and Margaret Fox hines -> Pamela Hines Reviews Download 157.43 Kb. Share with your friends:
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