ALLOWING LARGE CONVENTIONAL WARS TO RETURN WOULD BE Ab bCATASTROPHE Quinlan, Michael. The Future of Nuclear Weapons Policy for Western Possessors International Affairs, Vol. 69, No. 3, July 1993. p. 488. The more particular fact that the world faces a phase of highly uncertain political development reinforces the general argument against disposing of all nuclear weapons. Put another way, that argument is that the world community need not and should not allow circumstances to arise in which there could be any temptation to revert to the illusion that major war could be dependably held to tolerable levels of destructiveness and so could again bean option for settling serious differences among advanced military powers. Nor do we want circumstances to arise in which a state with a risk-taking leadership (or one feeling under especial threat) might be tempted to gamble on a clandestine dash to seize advantage through a period of sole nuclear possession. We cannot tell precisely how high such risks are our concern must be to avoid ever having to find out the hard way.
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