PROLIFERATION MAKES STATES TOO AFRAID OF ESCALATION TO RISK TENSION Peter Lavoy, Assistant Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, Security Studies, Summer, 1995, p. 707 Also in 1963, Richard Rosecrance claimed that fears about the strategic consequences of nuclear proliferation were exaggerated The nth country problem may not turnout to be a major problem At the close of the decade, Rosecrance identified what be considered might become another salutary feature of nuclear proliferation If each threat of minor war makes the two greatest states redouble their efforts in tandem to prevent major war, it is even conceivable that nuclear dispersion could have a net beneficial impact. Several years later Robert Sandoval advanced what he called a porcupine theory of nuclear proliferation. According to this view, states with even modest nuclear capabilities would walk like a porcupine through the forests of international affairs no threat to its neighbors, too prickly for predators to swallow
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