1Tropical Cyclone Report
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a Date/time is for sustained wind when both sustained and gust are listed. b Except as noted, sustained wind averaging periods for C-MAN and land-based ASOS reports are 2 min; buoy averaging periods are 8 min. c Storm surge is water height above normal astronomical tide level. d Storm tide is water height above National Geodetic Vertical Datum (1929 mean sea level). f 10-minute average. g 6-minute average. h 15-minute average. i South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) site. j Carolinas Coastal Ocean Observing and Prediction System (Caro-COOPS) site. k University of South Florida site. l North Carolina Environment and Climate Observing Network (ECONET) site. 1Table 4. Preliminary track forecast evaluation (heterogeneous sample) for Hurricane Ernesto, 24 August – 1 September 2006. Forecast errors (n mi) are followed by the number of forecasts in parentheses. Errors smaller than the NHC official forecast are shown in bold-face type. Verification includes the depression stage but does not include the extratropical stage.
Table 5. Preliminary intensity forecast evaluation (heterogeneous sample) for Hurricane Ernesto, 24 August – 1 September 2006. Forecast errors (kt) are followed by the number of forecasts in parentheses. Errors smaller than the NHC official forecast are shown in bold-face type. Verification includes the depression stage but does not include the extratropical stage.
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