RISING MARGINS COINCIDED WITH GASOLINE STOCK REDUCTIONS ON THE EAST COAST
The effect of refining cutbacks on PADD I gasoline stocks was immediate and sharp. During January and February, stocks fell by 6.8 million barrels (12 percent) and reversed what would otherwise have been a comfortable pre-season buildup.
Source: EIA weekly statistics.
Chart 12. Reformulated Gasoline Production Yield
RFG PERCENTAGE ROSE AS GASOLINE OUTPUT FELL
This charts shows RFG production as a percent of total finished gasoline production.
During the critical period when gasoline production and stocks were falling, the RFG percentage actually rose slightly. If producing RFG contributed to the production decrease, the percentage would be expected to decline. However, that is not the case, indicating that the problems were more generally associated with supply-demand balances, not RFG production.
Source: EIA weekly statistics.
Chart 13. California Refinery Crude Oil Inputs
CALIFORNIA’S REFINERY CUTBACKS WERE COMPOUNDED BY REFINERY PROBLEMS
California’s refineries reduced crude oil processing by about 13 percent between mid-December and end-February.
The sharp drop in early February no doubt added to the upward movement that was already underway in California gasoline prices. It seems to be associated with a coker problem at ChevronTexaco’s El Segundo refinery outside Los Angeles. A power outage at Tesoro’s San Francisco refinery also reduced operation slightly in mid-February.
Source: CEC refinery statistics.
Chart 14. California Gasoline Production and Spot Margin
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