Appendix S1: Considerations for developing robust gb models 2 Appendix S2: Sensitivity Analysis 5 Table summary of Sensitivity Analysis on Parameters 11 Table summary of Sensitivity Analysis on Model Assumptions 12 Figure S1



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Figure S7: Random Landscape.


Results from a representative randomly generated landscape, where the LULC proportions are the same as observed, but their spatial alignment is randomized. The area of spread differs from the full model because the geometry of the landscape is lost. The results are also much less consistent among model runs. However, the proportion of runs that match herbarium predictions is much lower, because the random landscape does not systematically direct the spread in the way that a real landscape, with larger clumps of similar habitat might.


Example of a random landscape

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