|
See the below for the associated Figures. The model made a correct prediction by our standards if the prediction was correct for at least 50% of model runs. Models 8-12 were initiated with three naturalized populations (the same number used in our best model) distributed along the specified border in cells with >1.
Model
|
Percent Correct
|
1940
|
1960
|
1980
|
2000
|
2009
|
1
|
Full Model
|
82
|
95
|
86
|
88
|
84
|
2
|
No Plant population growth
|
64
|
64
|
42
|
40
|
18
|
3
|
No Local Bird Dispersal
|
9
|
5
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
4
|
No LDD
|
82
|
86
|
68
|
82
|
78
|
5
|
Homogeneous Landscape
|
73
|
68
|
95
|
98
|
100
|
6
|
Binary Landscape
|
45
|
64
|
74
|
86
|
82
|
7
|
Random Landscape
|
36
|
18
|
9
|
15
|
15
|
8
|
Introductions in South
|
55
|
91
|
84
|
87
|
83
|
9
|
Introductions in North
|
0
|
23
|
84
|
87
|
83
|
10
|
Introductions in Center
|
0
|
45
|
82
|
90
|
83
|
11
|
Introductions in West
|
0
|
45
|
86
|
89
|
83
|
12
|
Introductions in East
|
27
|
18
|
86
|
88
|
85
|
Sensitivity Analysis Figure Explanations
Throughout this appendix, white circles indicate introduction points; black dots are correctly predicted presences and black circles indicate incorrectly predicted presences. The color scale indicates the proportion of model runs that resulted in a presence, and is located to the right in each figure. The criterion for a correct prediction was that at least 50% of 100 model runs made the correct prediction. These are the same criteria described in the main text.
Figure S1: No plant population growth.
Spread barely extends beyond introduction points.
Directory: peoplepeople -> Math 4630/5630 Homework 4 Solutions Problem Solving ippeople -> Handling Indivisibilitiespeople -> San José State University Social Science/Psychology Psych 175, Management Psychology, Section 1, Spring 2014people -> YiChang Shihpeople -> Marios S. Pattichis image and video Processing and Communication Lab (ivpcl)people -> Peoples Voice Café Historypeople -> Sa michelson, 2011: Impact of Sea-Spray on the Atmospheric Surface Layer. Bound. Layer Meteor., 140 ( 3 ), 361-381, doi: 10. 1007/s10546-011-9617-1, issn: Jun-14, ids: 807TW, sep 2011 Bao, jw, cw fairall, sa michelsonpeople -> Curriculum vitae sara a. Michelsonpeople -> Curriculum document state board of education howard n. Lee, Cpeople -> A hurricane track density function and empirical orthogonal function approach to predicting seasonal hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin Elinor Keith April 17, 2007 Abstract
Share with your friends: |
