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**Uniqueness- Hillary Good
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- Uniqueness- Hillary Good- ANSWERS TO: Too Early
- 2NC/1NR- Uniqueness Wall- Hillary Good
- Hillary Clinton will win the Hispanic vote- latest Univision poll proves
- Democrats’ successful Iranian negotiations are a boost for the Hillary campaign
**Uniqueness- Hillary GoodUniqueness- Hillary Good- ANSWERS TO: Bernie SandersBernie Sanders will not get the democratic nomination- 2016 isn’t 2008, Hillary Clinton won’t loseWashington Post 2015 - “Bernie Sanders isn’t Barack Obama, and 2016 isn’t 2008” http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/bernie-sanders-isnt-barack-obama-and-2016-isnt-2008/2015/07/17/5d85377e-2b37-11e5-bd33-395c05608059_story.html, July 17 Hillary Clinton is once again campaigning for president as the prohibitive front-runner, and once again, she faces a challenge from an insurgent progressive outsider with grass-roots support. Once again, while Clinton (re)introduces herself to voters in a low-key listening tour of sorts, her challenger is drawing huge audiences — 10,000 in Madison, Wis., 8,000 in Portland, Maine, 5,000 in Denver and overflow crowds in Iowa’s small towns and elsewhere.¶ Eight years ago, Clinton led in the polls for most of 2007, only to lose the Iowa caucuses — and, eventually, the Democratic nomination — to a favorite of the party’s progressive base. It’s feeling a bit like deja vu. “If she doesn’t change the terms of the race, she’s going to lose. Again,” former Mitt Romney strategist Stuart Stevens warned in the Daily Beast this month.¶ It may be tempting to compare the race between Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) to the epic race between Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama: Sanders, like Obama, has consolidated a good portion of the liberal wing of the Democratic Party. Sanders, like Obama, is raising millions from small-dollar donors on the Internet. Sanders, like Obama, is channeling the anger and frustration of some in the party. Then, it was about the Iraq war; now, it’s about Wall Street.¶ But that’s where the similarities end. From the perspective of someone who worked on his campaign and in his White House, it’s clear that Obama’s race against Clinton is not a useful example. Understanding the dynamics at play in the 2016 primaries requires looking further back at history. And unfortunately for Sanders, history shows that there are only two types of Democratic insurgent candidates: Barack Obama and everyone else.¶ The current system for selecting nominees in the Democratic Party is less than 50 years old. After the disastrous 1968 campaign and nominating convention in Chicago, the party abandoned the smoke-filled rooms of yore and shifted to a series of primaries and caucuses. The 1972 nomination went to the grass-roots favorite, Sen. George McGovern (S.D.), who used the new rules to edge out establishment picks Hubert Humphrey and Henry “Scoop” Jackson. (McGovern won only Massachusetts and the District of Columbia in the general election against Richard Nixon.) In nearly every election since then, an anti-establishment figure has sought the nomination. Uniqueness- Hillary Good- ANSWERS TO: Too EarlyIt is not too early to predict the election- prefer Nate Silver he has predicted every election outcome correctly Five Thirty Eight 2014- Micah Cohen, New York Times, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/14/is-it-too-early-for-2016-polls/?_r=0 But isn’t it too early to even look at such polls? Aren’t they more valuable as entertainment than information?¶ Not necessarily.¶ An examination of pre-midterm presidential polling since 1984 — surveys conducted from the day after the preceding presidential vote to the day before the midterm elections — shows that while early primary polls are not determinative, they are not meaningless, either.¶ Presidential polls generally become more numerous after midterm elections, and our polling database is too spotty in the pre-midterm period to draw a solid picture before 1984. Since 1984, however, we have at least two pre-midterm polls for each party for each election, and those surveys have followed a consistent pattern: the early leader on the Republican side is very likely to become the nominee, while the early leader on the Democratic side is not. 2NC/1NR- Uniqueness Wall- Hillary Good
The Guardian 2015 (June 23, “Hillary Clinton on course to win presidential election, poll says” http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/23/hillary-clinton-presidential-election-poll Hillary Clinton is on course to win the Democratic primary and would go on to trounce her Republican opponents, according to a new poll.¶ The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that the former secretary of state was the first choice for nominee of 75% of her party, with Vermont socialist Bernie Sanders far behind on 15%.¶ Analysis Clinton v Bush: Martin O’Malley, the former Maryland governor, was on 2%, while Lincoln Chafee, the former governor of Rhode Island, polled less than 1%. Former Virginia senator Jim Webb, who has not yet formally declared he is running, was on 4%.¶ According to the poll, 92% of likely Democratic voters said they could see themselves supporting Clinton.¶ The poll asked 1,000 likely voters about their opinions on potential presidential candidates, both Republican and Democrat.¶ It showed Clinton polling at 48% to 40% against her closest Republican contender, former Florida governor Jeb Bush, the brother of former president George W Bush and son of former president George HW Bush.¶ Against the Florida senator Marco Rubio, Clinton polled 50% against 40%. And against Wisconsin governor Scott Walker she polled 51% to 37%.¶ Among Republican primary voters, the poll showed Bush ahead with 22% of the vote. Walker was next with 17% and Rubio third with 14%. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson had 11%, while former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee (9%), libertarian senator Rand Paul (7%), former Texas governor Rick Perry (5%), New Jersey governor Chris Christie (4%) and Texas senator Ted Cruz (4%) were all in single figures.¶ The poll is likely to encourage the Clinton camp, whose campaign got off to a rough start when questions arose about Clinton’s use of personal email as secretary of state, this spring. But it is possible that early polls may not reflect the true strength of Clinton’s challengers.
The Fiscal Times 2015 “As Trump Surges in the Polls, Hispanic Voters Flock to Hillary Clinton” http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2015/07/17/Trump-Surges-Polls-Hispanic-Voters-Flock-Hillary-Clinton, July 17 The Washington Post reports that Hillary Clinton’s campaign is thrilled with the contrast between Trump’s take-no-enemies approach and Clinton’s more seasoned and sober leadership style and fluency in discussing domestic and foreign policy issues.¶ While Trump has made headlines by denouncing illegal immigrants from Mexico as rapists, murderers and criminals and vowing to build a wall along the southwest border to prevent further illegal crossings, Clinton has spoken on the need for comprehensive immigration reform, including a pathways to citizenship for many of the more than 11 million illegal immigrants in the country.¶ Related: Ted Cruz on Donald Trump – I ‘Salute’ Him ¶ More important, though, is that – whether or not he ultimately wins the GOP nomination—the bombastic Trump may be assuring his party’s failure in trying to woo Latino voters. A new Univision News poll shows that seven in ten Hispanic voters have a negative view of Trump. And in a hypothetical matchup, Clinton beats Trump and other potential GOP opponents by huge margins among Hispanic voters.¶ The Univision findings are part of a larger bipartisan polling project conducted by the research firms of Bendixen & Amandi International and the Tarrance Group to establish a baseline for attitudes of Hispanic voters on a range of issues and candidates. Roughly 90 percent of Hispanic voters interviewed said they have heard about Trump’s insulting comments, and when they have read specific remarks, nearly 8 in 10 say they find them offensive.
The Washington Post 2015 Greg Sargent, “David Axelrod: Hillary Clinton and Democrats can win the Iran debate” http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/07/17/david-axelrod-hillary-clinton-and-democrats-can-win-the-iran-debate, July 17 But in an interview with me, David Axelrod — the chief strategist of Barack Obama’s two successful presidential campaigns — made the opposite case. He said the Iran debate actually could favor Hillary Clinton and Democrats, and put the GOP presidential nominee in a politically untenable spot. That is, if Democrats prosecute it correctly.¶ “Broadly, I don’t think it’s at all clear that Americans are opposed to this,” Axelrod said. “Americans recognize that a verifiable agreement is a better option than war.”¶ “The key question here is, If you walk away from this, then what?” Axelrod continued. “It’s the responsibility of every single politician, Republican and Democrat, to answer the what’s-the-alternative question. And ‘let’s go to tougher sanctions’ is not a real answer.”¶ As many Democrats remain undecided about the substance of the deal, some also appear skittish about the politics of backing it. One exception has been Clinton, who spoke positively about the deal after it was announced. In so doing, she may have offered a template for how Dems should talk about it, hailing it as an “important first step” while stressing that “the agreement will have to be enforced vigorously, relentlessly,” an apparent nod to worries that Iran might try to cheat.¶ Nobody knows how the debate over the deal will play throughout the hot month of August, and both sides are gearing up to spend huge sums to pressure lawmakers back at home. It will also come up repeatedly for the presidential candidates. Asked whether it was reasonable for some Dems to be skittish about the politics of the deal, Axelrod said he thought Dem lawmakers were mostly worried about offending donors, not voters. And he suggested — perhaps counterintuitively — that its very riskiness could play Clinton’s favor. Directory: wp-content -> uploads -> 2015 2015 -> Police Militarization 2015 -> 2015 ihbb championships: hs history Bowl Round 4 – Prelims First Quarter 2015 -> Wrtp/big step · 3841 W. Wisconsin Ave., Milwaukee, wi 53208 2015 -> Rao bulletin 1 December 2015 html edition this bulletin contains the following articles 2015 -> Darton College 2015 -> Training Workshop on Planning and Implementation of Multi-Sectoral Development Programme (MsDP) in Bihar Date : 6th 2015 -> Rao bulletin 15 June 2015 html edition this bulletin contains the following articles 2015 -> Rao bulletin 1 September 2015 html edition this bulletin contains the following articles 2015 -> Rao bulletin 1 August 2015 html edition this bulletin contains the following articles 2015 -> Science, and transportation united states senate Download 1.69 Mb. Share with your friends:
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