Elections Disad – Core – Hoya-Spartan 2012
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Nuclear WarStrikes solve prolif – prevents global nuclear warDenenberg, 2007 (Herb,- professor at the Wharton School, is a longtime Philadelphia journalist http://www.thebulletin.us/site/news.cfm?newsid=18414050&BRD=2737&PAG=461&dept_id=576361&rfi=6 U.S. Needs To Bomb Iran Now To Prevent A Global Nuclear War. Strange as it may seem to those who are infected with the disease of negotiate/appease/retreat/surrender and who are unaware of where we are and what is happening as we face World War IV, the only way to prevent almost certain international catastrophe and global nuclear war, is to bomb Iran and take out its nuclear capability. If we don't do that, Iran will get a nuclear weapon and, with leadership of madmen, they will do what they have promised. They will use nukes for war and terror. Remember that their first objectives are to control the Middle East and to blackmail Europe into further submission (it has already virtually surrendered to the oncoming tide of Islamofascism). With nukes, which they will soon have, and with missiles, which they are developing with the help of North Korea, they will be able to threaten the world. They intend to do that, so as to impose Islamofascism on the world. More evDenenberg, 2007 (Herb,- professor at the Wharton School, is a longtime Philadelphia journalist http://www.thebulletin.us/site/news.cfm?newsid=18414050&BRD=2737&PAG=461&dept_id=576361&rfi=6 Our fate is in the balance. It is no exaggeration to say the survival of the U.S. and the free world depend on whether Bush is willing to act boldly in the face of the Iranian threat or whether the forces of appeasement and surrender will prevail. We will have to see whether, for once, we have learned the lessons of history, or whether we are about to repeat the 1938 scenario with Ahmadinejad instead of Hitler, and our domination by Islamofascism rather than the miraculous escape from domination by Nazism. We better start playing our cards right and right now, or we will soon have no cards to play. Ext – Israel Strikes if we don’tIsrael will strike Iran if we don’t – official statements and war game-planning.Katzman -11 (Kenneth Katzman, Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, June 9, 2011, Congressional Research Service, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL32048.pdf) Some experts express greater concern over the potential for a strategic strike on Iran by Israel as compared to strikes by the United States. The debate over this possibility increased following the publication by the September 2010 issue of The Atlantic magazine of an article by Jeffrey Goldberg entitled “Point of No Return.”64 As noted in the piece, Israeli officials view a nuclear armed Iran as an existential threat and have repeatedly refused to rule out the possibility that Israel might strike Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Speculation about this possibility increased in March and April 2009 with statements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to The Atlantic magazine stating that “You don’t want a messianic apocalyptic cult controlling atomic bombs.” This and other Israeli comments generated assessments by then CENTCOM Commander General Petraeus that Israel might well decide to launch a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Adding to the prospects for this scenario, in mid-June 2008, Israeli officials confirmed reports that Israel had practiced a long-range strike such as that which would be required. Taking a position similar to that of the George W. Bush Administration, senior U.S. officials visited Israel throughout 2010 (including Vice President Biden in March 2010) in part to express the view that the Obama Administration is committed to strict sanctions on Iran—with the implication that Israeli military action should not be undertaken. Others say that Israeli urgency has abated as of the end of 2010 because of shared U.S.-Israeli assessments that an Iranian nuclear weapons capability is not imminent. On Balance Strikes BestOn balance strikes are best – critics underestimate current risks and turns rely on flawed assumptionsKroenig, 12 (Matthew, professor of Government at Georgetown University and a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, Feb, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/136917/matthew-kroenig/time-to-attack-iran) But skeptics of military action fail to appreciate the true danger that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose to U.S. interests in the Middle East and beyond. And their grim forecasts assume that the cure would be worse than the disease -- that is, that the consequences of a U.S. assault on Iran would be as bad as or worse than those of Iran achieving its nuclear ambitions. But that is a faulty assumption. The truth is that a military strike intended to destroy Iran’s nuclear program, if managed carefully, could spare the region and the world a very real threat and dramatically improve the long-term national security of the United States. Now Key/A2: Alternatives SolveIran prolif coming soon – only striking Soon solves – all alternatives have failedKroenig, 12 (Matthew, professor of Government at Georgetown University and a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, Feb, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/136917/matthew-kroenig/time-to-attack-iran) DANGERS OF DETERRENCE Years of international pressure have failed to halt Iran's attempt to build a nuclear program. The Stuxnet computer worm, which attacked control systems in Iranian nuclear facilities, temporarily disrupted Tehran's enrichment effort, but a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency this past May revealed that the targeted plants have fully recovered from the assault. And the latest IAEA findings on Iran, released in November, provided the most compelling evidence yet that the Islamic Republic has weathered sanctions and sabotage, allegedly testing nuclear triggering devices and redesigning its missiles to carry nuclear payloads. The Institute for Science and International Security, a nonprofit research institution, estimates that Iran could now produce its first nuclear weapon within six months of deciding to do so. Tehran's plans to move sensitive nuclear operations into more secure facilities over the course of the coming year could reduce the window for effective military action even further. If Iran expels IAEA inspectors, begins enriching its stockpiles of uranium to weapons-grade levels of 90 percent, or installs advanced centrifuges at its uranium-enrichment facility in Qom, the United States must strike immediately or forfeit its last opportunity to prevent Iran from joining the nuclear club. 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