Porters Five Forces Analysis – Tesla & EV Market (658)
Currently not many companies competing in fully electric vehicle category as in automobile industry (Patterson, 2011).
High barriers of entry such as manufacturing facilities require significant investment.
Government regulations for safety, emissions and other requirements must be satisfied. Targets proposed for 2020 are different depending on the country and region and type of emissions, the “U.S. has set the toughest standard for emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx), and Europe is more aggressive on standard emissions of carbon dioxide than the U.S. and China (Mosquet et al, 2011).
Brand equity and consumer loyalty for established manufacturers with large market shares is high.
Consumers switching costs to electric vehicles are high, since electric vehicle industry is developing and an innovation for consumers; and a new electric vehicle is less affordable than other new automobiles.
Power of suppliers – Low
Tesla Gigafactory currently in production to sustain organic battery production in place of supplier dependency; reduce cost and accelerate innovation. (Musk, 2014). Tesla’s engineering is proprietary making not available substitutes for components, such as power trains, instead is supplying Toyota and Daimler with power train programs (Musk, 2014). Firm major investment is on mechanical, electrical and software R&D.
There are not readily many available suppliers substitutes for charging devices.
U.S. auto unions historically wielded significant strength, but their influence is being reduced lately due to shift from Detroit manufacturing (Snavely, 2014) and since Tesla is much likely to a Silicon Valley company, where workers work without union representation (Baker, 2014).
Smaller supplier firms who now supply newer technology components not covered by auto unions.
Power of buyers – Medium
Luxury electric car price is high, generally consumers purchase 1-2 vehicles, but with current market prices for electric vehicles, the buyer power is low since they cannot buy 2 or more vehicles of this kind.
Quantity and supply. Currently there are 3 luxury and sport all-electric vehicles brands in available to choose from, and 9 plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) brands as shown in Appendix 3. Competitors on clean technology are increasing thus increasing the industry products.
Consistent sales, discounts and financing programs to entice consumers to purchase.
Government is providing incentives, such as tax credits, rebates, free parking, among others; or buying and owning a Tesla electric vehicle worldwide program in accordance with local regulation.[Tes141]
Product substitutes – Moderate
Green movement to bicycles such as implementation of bike share programs2 and other major urban environments reduces need for vehicle.
Green movement to green public transit such as natural gas buses also removing consumers from automotive market.
Reduced consumer credit means less are purchasing even if wanted.
More efficient hybrids and clean burning turbo-diesels entering market.
Motorcycles.
Rideshare, car and van pools.
Zipcar and other car rental options by the day.
Cars are selling less, yet people are still moving from point a to point b.
Buyers’ cost of switching to a non-gasoline means of transportation and motorcycles is low (Clean Technica, n.a.). Even to acquire a non sport EV such as: Nissan Leaf, Ford Focus Electric, Toyota RAV4 EV, Smart fortwo electric drive.
Intensity of rivalry among competitors - Moderate
Intense rivalry3, given limited consumer market and number of manufacturers in the market space.
Consistent advertising, comparison marketing and sales to entice consumers to purchase and choose over other brands.
Defensive positions with many cutbacks, reduced production and recent financial bailouts from the government.
12 major brands with sub-brands that move upwards of 50 in the US, hundreds worldwide. Competitors are roughly of the same size. Mainly competitors are: BMW i3, Mercedes Benz SLS Electric.
Electronic Vehicle industry growth yet is slow.
Core Competencies (395)
Tesla’s introduction into the automobile industry is groundbreaking. In an industry dominated by behemoth giants such as BMW, Mercedes, GM, Toyota, Ford, Honda and Nissan, they’ve have been able to introduce a disrupting and innovative product that is beginning to revolutionize the industry. Many of Tesla’s competitors have been working to innovate in the electric vehicle market; each has met with some degree of success and failure. GM introduced the Chevy Volt, Toyota the Prius Hybrid family of vehicles, Ford the Fusion, Honda the Fit and even Nissan the Leaf; are all great examples of incremental advances in the electric vehicle marketplace but none have captured the hearts and minds of the consumer as Tesla has done.
Tesla possesses something that all of the other auto manufactures do not, the lack of legacy. Where existing manufacturers currently build and deliver a full menu of gasoline and diesel cars, trucks, minivans and SUV’s all with varying option packages, price points and discounts, electric vehicles and hybrids make up just a small segment portion of their entire product offering. They are forced to continue making investments in their traditional combustion engine product lines to continue fulfilling their demand base, leaving little room to innovate in this new electric vehicle market. Even as they begin to do so, it only begins to erode their existing consumer base for gasoline and diesel vehicles. Rather than market share expansion, they only alter their current positions composition.
From the bottom up, Tesla represents a different view of the auto manufacturer, one purely focused in the electric vehicle market space with core competencies far different than their competitors. JB Straubel, Tesla’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO) was quoted in 2008, stating that “A very low-cost and efficient single-speed gearbox mated with a continually improving motor, invertor and battery is the core competency of Tesla’s powertrain team, and it is the also our roadmap for future vehicles” [Str08]. This statement profoundly displays Tesla’s vision for their organization, a singular focus on making the most powerful and efficient electric vehicle in the marketplace today. The lack of legacy means they have nothing to distract them in their mission as well; to date they have over 40 patents for their electric drivetrain with another 200+ pending approval. They are technologically years ahead of their competition and continue to innovate in this domain, furthering their competitive advantage.
SWOT (851) Strengths
From Tesla Motors inception, the company has been focused on a vehicle for specific market; a car with distinctive technology designed for people who wanted an outstanding appearance, quality construction and economical. (Hartung, 2012). This made Tesla to become the first automaker to entry on the electric sports vehicle without any of the traditional trade-offs that others were facing due to no legacy within their brand. These are significant highlighted strengths of the company.
To comply with attributes listed above Tesla Motors does completely assembly its cars in-house, from its design to its total assembly. Tesla workers, entrepreneurs and engineers, having Silicon Valley mindset: entrepreneurship and technology driven (Yohn, 2013); build up the car from lightweight components assembled by robots (total 160) and about 3,000 workers working aside to install all the components of it (Lavrinc, 2013). This varies greatly from the existing US Detroit mindset of massive production lines like Henry Ford and the Model T, where efficiency was gained through production optimization. Tesla gets advantages of this technology for speed, precision and cleanliness, strength versus its competitors. This drives to have high production and Research and Development costs, but as soon as it can continue to produce a better car that meets customer’s needs at a fraction of the main sport ones (Ferrari, Porsche Panamera, Audi 8, BMW 7 to mention few), it will continue to be a premium brand value proposition.
All these, makes possible a higher customer experience and performance, for example the Model S 85-kWh lithium-ion battery gives around 200 miles before needing a recharge; while competitors Ford Focus Electric and Nissan Leaf can give around 80 miles (Consumer Reports Magazine, 2014). For this kind of attributes and others, Tesla Model S was rated 99 out of 100 in 2013 according to the Consumer Reports, an expert, independent, non-profit magazine and website organization that performs consumer annual reports.
Weakness
The performance of Tesla of the past few years has been astounding, innovating new products and designs have begun to capture not only consumer expectations, but also Wall Streets. While generally a company that has shown exponential growth is a very welcomed sign, Tesla’s vision for long term energy stability, investments in the Gigafactory and other ventures such as the follow on Model X may prove difficult for the company to keep both consumers and investors happy while simultaneously positioning the company for long-term sustained growth. “Tesla, for instance, trades at 12.6 times sales -- that compares with a price-to-sales ratio of about 0.5 for General Motors and Ford and 1.7 for the S&P 500. With a lofty valuation like this, saying the market has enthusiastic expectations for Elon Musk's U.S.-based electric car-maker may be an understatement.” [Sta14] Missing quarterly profit margins or expectations may reduce the significant operating capital the firm has generated in just a few short years. Consumer demand and production capacity could also play into devaluation. “Expecting to produce and sell 500,000 cars per year by 2020 (from just 22,500 last year), it could be argued that Tesla's future potential is equally as exuberant as the stock's current valuation. (Starks) The exposure and potential for capital to be removed from current and future investment projects could significantly hurt potential future cash flows for Tesla; expectation management to banks, Wall Street and consumers will need to be closely managed to continue positioning the company for growth.
Opportunities
Prices of oil and gasoline continue to rise, and as they continue to increase so will the increased interest on different alternatives of transportation like electric vehicles, bicycles or public transportation. The demand of electric vehicles is growing but still needs to have a big infrastructure of charging stations, which Tesla has been building along USA, Canada, and Europe. Willing customers will be able to freely charge their electric car as occurs with gas-powered cars and plans to complete a nationwide charging network to connect the USA most popular routes by the end of 2015. The time of battery charging is relatively fast (about 45 minutes) and will be for free and battery swap will have a cost (Tesla Motors, 2014; Lord, n.a).
Threats
There are state or federal incentives to finance the acquisition of an electric vehicle the state of California offers rebates to buyers (as shown on Appendix 3). Other kinds of incentives are: tax credits, free parking, unrestricted access to high occupancy commuter lanes, etc. For instance, Tesla applies the USA federal tax credit incentive that government offers with the purchase of a new electric car for personal use, also at the District of Columbia, taxes exemption and fee reduction eligibility is applied. In Netherlands, the tax exemption will be available until 2015. This helps to encourage customers’ acquisition by means of making it more affordable a great opportunity to rise the demand of the product and increase sales. But not too many people know about the incentives that can apply for, hence, it is still a threat for the manufacturer since government can cut down the incentives (Tesla Motors, 2014; Ingram, 2013).
Figure 19: Tesla SWOT Matrix
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