Hong Kong Aff



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Misc Advantage CP

A2 Sell Public Housing

  1. Doesn’t solve – 1AC Cautherly evidence says inflation wrecks people’s purchasing power – once the house is sold it’ll lose value until it’s worthless

  2. People are EXTREMELY poor if they live in public housing – they can’t afford to buy housing, that’s the reason they’re there – it’ll be extremely expensive even if it’s below market price

  3. Doesn’t solve – housing isn’t the only cost, other basic necessities are out of reach for Hong Kongers, that’s Cautherly

  4. Perm do both – it solves MORE poverty by giving money to even the unemployed which is more likely to quell protests

  5. No empirical evidence for counterplan solvency means it’s less likely to solve than the aff, which is backed by strong studies

A2 Chinese Assistance

The counterplan makes Hong Kong’s economy vulnerable to shocks and increases poverty


Lam 12 [(Wai-Man, Honorary Assistant Professor at Centre for Civil Society and Governance, Department of Politics and Public Administration, Univ of Hong Kong) “Contemporary Hong Kong Government and Politics: Expanded Second Edition” Google Books] AT

While China's active and policy-driven assistance and economic integration have helped the economic recovery of Hong Kong, it also has negative consequences. Aside from making Hong Kong more politically and economically dependent on China (Yeung 2002), it has masked the real problems of its economic structure and therefore reduced the incentives of policymakers to carry out effective reforms, and may even mislead the development of Hong Kong's economy in a wrong direction. For example, the HKSAR government puts too much emphasis on developing the tertiary service industry, especially tourism, and lets the secondary industries, par- ticularly the manufacturing industry shrink even more, leading to a more concentrated and mismatched economy. Even the Chinese officials in Beijing have frequently warned Hong Kong about its dependence on only a few sectors, making it vulnerable and sensitive to the risk of economic cycles. The large inflow of hot money into Hong Kong since the 2008 finan- cial crisis also highly increased the risk of economic bubbles. The virtual economy driven by those bubbles does not benefit the real economy which is more relevant to the livelihood of the general public and is even harmful to the real economy in the long run.


A2 Chinese Investment

Structural corruption means investment in China is low and can’t solve


Davis 3 [(Anna Maria, business advisor, has lived and worked in Spain, Mexico, Portugal, Scotland, England and, for the past six years, Hong Kong) “Running Your Own Business in Hong Kong” Transitions abroad, last date cited is in 2003] AT

For as long as I can remember, I have had my own business as I like the sense of independence and the challenge that comes from being an entrepreneur. Often people overlook start up opportunities when living abroad because they assume that the process is too complex or risky. Risky, it can be, but starting your own business anywhere involves risks. For the past six years, I have had a part-time editing business in Hong Kong and in this article, I will use my experience to provide advice specific to Hong Kong but general enough to be applied to other places. Research Your Legal Rights and Responsibilities Obviously laws vary from country to country and even within a country. Nowhere is this more evident than in China. While Hong Kong as a territory belongs to China, Hong Kong’s legal system is separate from China’s legal system. While the former is based on the British legal system and as such is discernable and recognizable by western standards, the latter is a mine field of complexity and seriously compromised by corruption. In other Asian countries such as Thailand and Vietnam, non-nationals wanting to start a business must go into partnership with a local. This has its own potential for problems.


Incentives CP

Perm

Perm do the counterplan – a law is just an incentive to do something, where breaking the law results in penalties. Supreme Court ruling on the ACA proves – the law was construed as positive incentive—a tax break—to register, which was EQUIVALENT to a negative incentive—a fine—for not registering.

Perm do both – shields the link since it pays businesses if they provide a living wage; that money offsets the cost of higher wages

Solvency Deficits

  1. The counterplan is perceived as pro-business – doesn’t solve protests

  2. Not indexed to inflation

  3. Only a standardized minimum wage solves – it introduces legal certainty whereas the counterplan is unclear



A2 Democracy CP

CP – TL

Japan Times card goes aff – it says “what angers protesters is the sense that his administration values the needs of pro-China billionaires over those of workers struggling to eke out a living.”

CP exacerbates the internal link to protests advantage – it’s a complete concession to protesters, which tanks CCP legitimacy and risks regime collapse

Perm – do the aff and cause the CP’s government shift. Any solvency deficit to the CP is a reason to vote aff, since there’s a risk that protests don’t stop



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