II. Economic Growth, Savings and Investment



Download 0.54 Mb.
Page2/5
Date20.05.2018
Size0.54 Mb.
#49796
1   2   3   4   5

The 25.0 percent increase in the procurement price of wheat in November 1999 (see Box II.2) induced farmers to make a concerted effort to use existing land more efficiently, and to cultivate wheat on additional tracts of land; area under wheat cultivation increased by 2.8 percent to 8.5 million hectares in FY00. Improved availability of water due to up gradation of watercourses under the supervision of military personnel coupled with good weather, contributed to an improvement in yield per hectare of wheat by 14.9 percent (to 2,493 kilograms per hectare) in FY00. The subsidized tractor purchase scheme (launched by the previous government in FY99) along with easier credit availability, led to higher mechanized cultivation and improved productivity. In response to rising wholesale prices and the 5.3 to 6.1 percent increase in support prices for a range of paddy varieties in FY00, farmers also took a keen interest in the cultivation of rice; over the last five years, there has been an average increase of 14.0 and 12.9 percent per annum in the wholesale price of basmati and irri varieties of rice.



Box II.2: On-time and Effective Revision in Procurement Price of Wheat


A timely increase in the procurement price of wheat by 25 percent emerged as the major factor contributing towards the 18.1 percent increase in the production of wheat during FY00. It has been observed that an increase in the procurement price at sowing time (mid-October to end-December) proves successful in increasing production, while a delayed increase in price is futile in increasing production that year although it does increase production next year.

Post sowing increases in procurement price made in March 1994, 1996 and April 1997, could not increase production for those years. However, increases in production were recorded in the years following the increase (see attached table). It has also been observed that whenever production has responded to an increase in support price, the rise has come from an increased per hectare yield, with a marginal increase in area under cultivation. This leads to the conclusion that there is potential for intensive cultivation, but this needs to be qualified by two factors:

Procurement Prices and Production of Wheat


(% Change)

Year

Production

Crop Area

Yield

FY92

7.7

-0.4

8.1

FY93

3.0

5.4

-2.2

Price increased by 23.1% by March, 1994

FY94

-5.8

-3.2

-2.7

FY95

11.8

1.7

9.9

Price increased by 8.1% by March, 1996

FY96

-0.6

2.5

-3.0

Price increased by 38.7% by April, 1997

FY97

-1.5

-3.2

1.7

FY98

12.3

3.0

9.0

FY99

-4.5

-1.5

-3.0

Price increased by 25% on 23rd November, 1999


FY00

18.1

2.8

14.9

Sources: i) Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan FY99;

ii) MINFAL




  1. An increase in support price remains attractive for a shorter time, which make it unfeasible for farmers to go for extensive cultivation; the development of new lands is an expensive and time consuming process, and

  2. Substitutability of land among crops is limited because of ecological constraints and inflexibility in farmers’ preferences for substitution.

A discouraging development is the fall in production of sugarcane (by 16.1 percent in FY00), following a 12.6 percent reduction in the area cultivated. This occurred against a backdrop of the conflict between sugarcane growers and mill owners over the timing of purchases and payment to farmers. The intentional delay in purchases (and payments) reduced the incentive of growers to increase (or even maintain) area under the crop in FY00. Furthermore, the support price of sugarcane has remained unchanged since FY98. It may be noted, that the 46.4 percent increase in support price of sugarcane in FY98, spurred domestic production by 26.4 percent.
Minor Crops

Production of minor crops increased by 2.7 percent during FY00, compared with a rise of 4.3 percent last year. Onion and potato production posted increases of 42.5 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively, while chilies declined by 15.3 percent. Weak growth in minor crops reduced the share of this sub-sector in total agriculture to 18.3 percent, from 19.1 percent in FY99.



Livestock

As the second largest value addition to agriculture after major crops, livestock posted a growth rate of only 2.8 percent during FY00, compared to 3.2 percent last year. This sub-sector consists of cattle, buffalo, sheep, and by-products such as dairy food, white and red




Table II.3 Selected Livestock Population and Products

 

Million Numbers

%

Change

 

Thousand Tonnes

%

Change

Species

FY99

FY00

Product

FY99

FY00

Cattle

21.6

22.0

1.9

Milk*

24.9

25.6

2.7

Buffalo

22.0

22.7

2.9

Beef

963.0

986.0

2.4

Sheep

23.9

24.1

0.6

Mutton

633.0

649.0

2.5

Goat

45.8

47.4

3.6

Poultry meat

310.0

322.0

3.9

Poultry

270.0

281.0

4.1

Eggs**

8261.0

8463.0

2.5

* = In million tonnes; ** = In million numbers

Source: Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Livestock


Download 0.54 Mb.

Share with your friends:
1   2   3   4   5




The database is protected by copyright ©ininet.org 2024
send message

    Main page