Draft regulation Impact Statement for Underrun Protection a draft statement inviting discussion and comments from parties affected by the proposed heavy commercial vehicle safety initiative January 2007 Report Documentation Page


Appendix 6: RESULTS OF BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS



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Appendix 6: RESULTS OF BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS

1. Estimate the number of (rigid and articulated) trucks in the fleet in the next year;



  • Note the number of underrun protected (UP) and non UP vehicles in fleet the last year,

  • Reduce these by a 3% assumed fleet attrition rate,

  • Note the number of vehicles that were registered in the last year,

  • Multiply this by 0.8 to remove the influence of European vehicles assumed to be already fitted with; and

  • Add this to the last year’s reduced UP fleet to get the size of the UP fleet and the total fleet for the next year.




Heavy vehicle type

No. of vehicles

on previous year's register (units)

Annual

attrition

(units)

Estimated no. of registrations annually adjusted for European

trucks (units)

Estimated no. of vehicles on succeeding

year's register (units)

Rigid

190,409

5,712

9,698

194,394

Articulated

61,778

1,853

2,354

62,278

All trucks

252,187

7,566

12,051

256,673

Source: ABS, NRTC Cost Allocation Model


2. Estimate the unit cost of a front UP device.


Front UP device

Cost ($)

Model Production

Run (units)

Unit cost ($)

ECE Program (Euro 300,0000)

$4,000,000

100,000




Unit Program cost (amortised from above estimates)

 

 

$40.00

ECE Program Materials

 

 

$275.00

ECE Program Production

 

 

$75.00

ECE Program Control

 

 

$25.00

Product Liability

 

 

$25.00

Total

 

 

$440.00

Source: VBG (component supplier), Sweden and Scania, Sweden


3. Estimate the unit cost of a rear UP device.


Rear UP device

Cost ($)

 

Unit cost

ECE Program

 

 

 

Aluminum Beam (Euro 154 + 20%)

$308.00

 

 

Mounting brackets (Euro 231 +20%)

$465.00

 

 

ECE Program Production

 

 

 

ECE Program Control

 

 

 

Product Liability

 

 

 

Total

$773.00

 

$773.00

Source: VBG (component supplier), Sweden and Scania, Sweden


4. Estimate the unit cost of a side UP device;

  • Estimate the unit cost of a side UP device per vehicle metre,

  • Note the proportion of each type (rigid and articulated) and length of trucks in the fleet this year’

  • Multiply this by the length of different types of truck and trailers,

  • Calculate a weighted average unit cost (rigid and articulated) by proportioning this out by the relative numbers of different trucks and trailers in the fleet.




Side UP device (19m)

Cost ($)

Unit cost

Cost/LM

ECE Program

 

 

34.00

Unit Program cost

 

 

 

ECE Program Materials

 

 

 

ECE Program Production

 

 

 

ECE Program Control

 

 

 

Product Liability

 

 

 

Total (Euro 780 + 20% shipping)

$1,560.00

$1,560.00

$45.88

Source: VBG (component supplier), Sweden and Scania, Sweden




Summary of cost of UP for heavy

trucks

length

(m)

Cost SUP

Cost FUP

Cost RUP

Total

Proportion summary

Average

cost SUPS

3 axle semi-trailer

19

$872

$440

$773

$2,085

0.05

$44

5 axle semi-trailer

19

$872

$440

$773

$2,085

0.2

$174

6 axle semi-trailer

19

$872

$440

$773

$2,085

0.4

$349

7 axle B-Double

25

$1,147

$440

$773

$2,360

0.05

$57

8 axle B-Double

25

$1,147

$440

$773

$2,360

0.05

$57

9 axle B-Double

25

$1,147

$440

$773

$2,360

0.15

$172

Double Road Train

36.5

$1,675

$440

$773

$2,888

0.05

$84

Triple Road Train

53.5

$2,455

$440

$773

$3,668

0.05

$123

2 axle rigid truck

12.5

$574

$440

$773

$1,787

0.4

$229

3 axle rigid truck

12.5

$574

$440

$773

$1,787

0.3

$172

4 axle Twin-Steer rigid truck

12.5

$574

$440

$773

$1,787

0.1

$57

2 axle rigid truck with 2 axle dog trailer

19

$872

$440

$773

$2,085

0.15

$131

3 axle rigid truck with 3 axle dog trailer

19

$872

$440

$773

$2,085

0.05

$44
















Fleet average (SUPS)

$846.53


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