Impact turns + answers – bfhmrs russia War Good


Their relationship is unsustainable --- power imbalances



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Impact Turns Aff Neg - Michigan7 2019 BFHMRS
Harbor Teacher Prep-subingsubing-Ho-Neg-Lamdl T1-Round3, Impact Turns Aff Neg - Michigan7 2019 BFHMRS

Their relationship is unsustainable --- power imbalances


RM 6/14 (RM, citing over 50 experts’ opinions on the China-Russia military alliance, 6-14-2019, "Expert Round-Up: How Likely Is a China-Russia Military Alliance?," Russia Matters, https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/expert-round-how-likely-china-russia-military-alliance) ank

Relations between Moscow and Beijing have been steadily improving since before the break-up of the Soviet Union. … As tensions eased, the Russia-China relationship was upgraded to full “strategic partnership.” In 2001, the two countries signed a “Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation” that articulated five principles to govern ties: “mutual respect of state sovereignty and territorial integrity, mutual nonaggression, mutual non-interference in each other’s internal affairs, equality and mutual benefit and peaceful co-existence.” (Survival, 01.31.17)



Vladislav Inozemtsev, Director, Center for Research on Post-Industrial Societies Beijing is frequently portrayed as Russia’s “strategic partner” on whom Moscow increasingly relies in its economic plans and geopolitical aspirations, and arguments are made that “pivot to the East” (or, in other words, the outreach toward the Pacific) should be the centerpiece of the Russian strategy for the coming decades. … [But] the cooperation between Russia and China, however intensive it may seem, lacks many features of really strategic relationships. (Russia Scenarios 2030, May 2019) [T]he growth of economic interaction between Russia and China is unbalanced in several aspects. Yes, the advances in trade are obvious, but it is China that profited most from such cooperation. (Russia Scenarios 2030, May 2019) [T]he “strategic partnership” in geopolitical issues also fell short of Russia’s expectations. There were a lot of hopes in the Kremlin in 2008, and later in 2014 concerning China’s recognition both of … Russia’s client states of South Ossetia and Abkhazia and of Crimea’s attachment to the Russian Federation; instead of this, Beijing reaffirmed its position on territorial integrity of Georgia and Ukraine and proceeded [with] cooperation with both. Russia also becomes increasingly disturbed by strengthening of China’s positions in post-Soviet Central Asia where Chinese companies outnumber Russian ones and where China invests billions of dollars in badly needed infrastructure projects that Russia definitely cannot afford. Even as Рresident Xi announces that China wants to confront the American “unilateralist trading policy,” Beijing shows now a much more balanced approach to major international issues than Moscow does. (Russia Scenarios 2030, May 2019) Robert D. Kaplan, Senior Fellow, Center for a New American Security China and Russia refer to their relationship as a “comprehensive strategic partnership,” in which Russia supplies oil to China and the two countries hold joint military exercises. And, officially, their relationship has rarely been better. But trade is lopsided in China’s favor; the fall in energy prices has made China considerably less dependent on Russia. Russia sells arms to China’s adversaries, India and Vietnam. And China has copied Russian weapons designs. These deeper geopolitical realities mean China and Russia will be only allies of convenience. And because the Beijing-Moscow rivalry is long-term, understated and focused on remote terrain, thus lacking in appeal for the news media, it is easy to ignore. (New York Times, 11.03.17)

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