West coast debate
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- Yes Sequestration – General
- Even if sequestration doesn’t happen, any new spending will be offset
- Sequestration will happen despite attempts at repeal – any spending will be offset with other reductions
Sequestration DA 1NC 3/3Collapse of heg causes regional nuclear wars, massive proliferation, economic collapse and forces US reengagement.Robert J. Lieber, Professor of Government and International Affairs @ Georgetown University. The American Era: Power and Strategy for the 21st Century. 2005. Pg. 53-54. Withdrawal from foreign commitments might seem to be a means of evading hostility toward the United States, but the consequences would almost certainly be harmful both to regional stability and to U.S. national interests. Although Europe would almost certainly not see the return to competitive balancing among regional powers (i.e., competition and even military rivalry between France and Germany) of the kind that some realist scholars of international relations have predicted,2’ elsewhere the dangers could increase. In Asia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan would have strong motivation to acquire nuclear weapons — which they have the technological capacity to do quite quickly. Instability and regional competition could also escalate, not only between India and Pakistan, but also in Southeast Asia involv ing Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, and possibly the Philippines. Risks in the Middle East would be likely to increase, with regional competi tion among the major countries of the Gulf region (Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq) as well as Egypt, Syria, and Israel. Major regional wars, even tually involving the use of weapons of mass destruction plus human suffering on a vast scale, floods of refugees, economic disruption, and risks to oil supplies are all readily conceivable. Based on past experience, the United States would almost certainly be drawn back into these areas, whether to defend friendly states, to cope with a humanitarian catastrophe, or to prevent a hostile power from dominating an entire region. Steven Peter Rosen has thus fit tingly observed, “If the logic of American empire is unappealing, it is not at all clear that the alternatives are that much more attractive.”22 Similarly, Niall Ferguson has added that those who dislike American predominance ought to bear in mind that the alternative may not be a world of competing great powers, but one with no hegemon at all. Ferguson’s warning may be hyperbolic, but it hints at the perils that the absence of a dominant power, “apolarity,” could bring “an anarchic new Dark Age of waning empires and religious fanaticism; of endemic plunder and pillage in the world’s forgotten regions; of economic stagnation and civilization’s retreat into a few fortified enclaves.”23 Yes Sequestration – GeneralSequester will happen – dems and the GOP won’t deal on new revenueScott Wong, 5-24-2012, “GOP hits back at Reid threat on sequester,” Politico, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0512/76749.html Even defense-friendly Democrats say they’re sticking with Reid and the sequester until Republicans are ready to deal on new revenue — a demand they’ve repeatedly scoffed at. “If Republicans are willing to put revenue on the table — which is what a fair and balanced approach is — we’ll be able to get there,” said Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), who served as co-chairwoman of the failed supercommittee and whose state is home to more than 80,000 Boeing workers. Dubbed Taxmageddon, Congress will have to contend with a bevy of tax and debt issues after the November election: expiring Bush-era tax cuts and the payroll tax cut, how to raise the debt ceiling and the steep cuts to the Pentagon and other federal agencies slated for Jan. 1. In an interview with POLITICO, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) suggested that Obama may not want to tackle deficit reduction, entitlement reform and other fiscal issues in the lame-duck session if Republican Mitt Romney wins the White House. “If we have the kind of election I’d like to see, with genuine change, I think the Democrats are not going to want to do any heavy lifting as they’re packing their bags and moving out,” McConnell said. “I would not anticipate any particular profiles in courage, shall I say, after just getting your butt kicked in an election.” Even if sequestration doesn’t happen, any new spending will be offsetScott Wong, 5-24-2012, “GOP hits back at Reid threat on sequester,” Politico, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0512/76749.html But the defense policy bill that cleared the Armed Services Committee on Thursday includes a similar provision directing the Pentagon to inform Congress about the impacts of sequestration. “I personally think that staving off sequestration is something that needs to happen before the election,” Ayotte told POLITICO. “I don’t think we should put our military and put our defense industrial base and our national security [at risk] and play political football with it.” Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin predicted that the automatic cuts will be scrapped before November, but like Reid and Murray, he insisted that revenue must be part of the equation. “I think we’ll avoid sequestration, but the only way to avoid it is if everybody is in the soup together,” the Michigan Democrat said. Sequestration will happen despite attempts at repeal – any spending will be offset with other reductionsTrish Turner, 2-2-2012, “Senators Unveil Sequester Repeal,” Fox News, http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2012/02/02/gop-unveils-bill-prevent-mandatory-defense-cuts While President Obama has threatened to veto any effort to ditch the so-called sequester, saying there would be "no easy off ramps here," some red-state Democrats may be inclined to support the GOP effort. Still, a battle is expected. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., blasted the GOP effort Thursday, telling reporters, "I believe an agreement is an agreement. A handshake - a handshake...They should keep their word." And though Reid's lieutenant, Sen. Patty Murray of Washington, did not close the door to a replacement of the scheduled cuts, the senator, who also chairs the Democrats' campaign committee, made clear that she intends to bring a popular Democratic political message to the fight. "This plan isn't about avoiding sequestration, it's about avoiding having millionaires pay their fair share," Murray accysed in a statement. "If Republicans are serious about replacing the automatic spending cuts then they are going to need to work with Democrats to find an equal amount of balanced deficit reduction that doesn't simply increase the pain for the middle class." Directory: file -> fetch fetch -> 11 th Lit Semester 1 Final Study Guide!!! fetch -> Industrial Revolution Inventors fetch -> Analysis for Galveston Hurricane of 1900 fetch -> The Illuminators (Team 2) 1900 Galveston Hurricane Cycle a team Assignment fetch -> Team csi-utb ruth Reyes Jose Ferrer fetch -> Galveston Hurricane of 1900 Cycle a-teacher as a Problem Solver fetch -> Is Climate Change Starting a New Dust Bowl? 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