Oklahoma department of environmental quality



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D.2.9 SOURCE IMPACT ANALYSIS RESULTS


Significant Impact Analysis

Carbon Monoxide



By modeling the emissions that would result from the project, G-P determined that the proposed project will not have a significant CO impact. Table D-21 presents the maximum predicted impacts from the significant impact analysis.


Table D-21
Averaging Period

Year

Maximum Predicted Impact (g/m3)

Receptor Location UTM Zone 15 (m)

Period Ending YYMMDDHH

Significant Impact Level (g/m3)

Monitoring De minimis Conc., (g/m3)

East

North

1-hour High 1st High

1986

323

291715

3956388

86080904

2000

--

1987

318

291714

3956338

87090301

1988

322

291714

3956338

88062323

1990

319

291714

3956338

90082206

1991

320

291715

3956363

91081204

8-hour High 1st High

1986

95

293900

3955300

86041524

500

575

1987

100

293500

3954600

87090908

1988

101

291715

3956388

88091024

1990

88

291714

3956313

90082208

1991

97

291715

3956463

91060708

The maximum 8-hour CO impact due to the project is below the SIL and monitoring de minimis concentrations. In addition, the maximum 1-hour impact value is also below the modeling significance level for that averaging period. Therefore, G-P did not perform a full NAAQS analysis for CO.


Nitrogen Dioxide

By modeling the emissions that would result from the project, G-P determined that the proposed project will have a significant NO2 impact out to approximately 4.5 km from the Mill. Table D-22 presents the maximum predicted impacts from the significant impact analysis.




Table D-22
Averaging Period

Year

Maximum Predicted Impact (g/m3)

Receptor Location UTM Zone 15 (m)

Period Ending YYMMDDHH

Significant Impact Level (g/m3)

Monitoring De minimis Conc., (g/m3)

East

North

Annual

1986

3.7

292201

3957272

3.8

1

14

1987

3.1

292151

3957273

3.3

1988

3.0

292101

3957274

3.4

1990

3.9

292326

3957270

4.0

1991

3.6

292301

3957270

3.7

The maximum annual NO2 impact due to the project is above the SIL but below the monitoring de minimis concentration of 1 and 14 g/m3, respectively. Therefore, G-P performed a full NAAQS analysis for NO2.


Sulfur Dioxide

By modeling the emissions that would result from the project, G-P determined that the project will have a significant SO2 impact out to 5.25 km. Table D-23 presents the maximum predicted impacts from the significant impact analysis.




Table D-23
Averaging Period

Year

Maximum Predicted Impact (g/m3)

Receptor Location UTM Zone 15 (m)

Period Ending YYMMDDHH

Significant Impact Level (g/m3)

Monitoring De minimis Conc., (g/m3)

East

North

Annual Mean

1986

0.6

292300

3958000

--

1

--

1987

0.5

292200

3958000

--

1988

0.5

292200

3957900

--

1990

0.6

292500

3957700

--

1991

0.7

292400

3958200

--

24-hour High 1st High

1986

4.7

296000

3954000

86041524

5

13

1987

4.2

294600

3954600

87011024

1988

5.3

294700

3954600

88032624

1990

4.0

293700

3954500

90122924

1991

5.0

296500

3955000

91110324

3-hour High 1st High

1986

20.4

296500

3955500

86070124

25

--

1987

20.7

296500

3955000

87042203

1988

24.2

294700

3954700

88030406

1990

21.2

296500

3955000

90050924

1991

14.3

296500

3955000

91120306

The maximum 24-hour SO2 impact due to the proposed project is 5.3 g/m3, which is above the SIL but below the monitoring de minimis concentrations of 5 and 13 g/m3, respectively. The maximum 3-hour and annual average impacts are below the respective modeling significance levels. Therefore, G-P performed a full NAAQS analysis for SO2.


Particulate Matter

By modeling the emissions that would result from the project, G-P determined that the project will have a significant PM10 impact out to 2.1 km. Table D-24 presents the maximum predicted impacts from the significant impact analysis.





Table D-24
Averaging Period

Year

Maximum Predicted Impact (g/m3)

Receptor Location UTM Zone 15 (m)

Period Ending YYMMDDHH

Significant Impact Level (g/m3)

Monitoring De minimis Conc., (g/m3)

East

North

24-hour High 1st High

1986

8.1

291897

3956770

86102824

5

10

1987

6.2

292391

3955890

87012424

1988

5.6

292441

3955890

88020324

1990

5.7

292391

3955890

90122224

1991

5.9

292391

3955890

91030224

Annual

1986

1.33

292101

3957274

--

1

--

1987

1.19

292101

3957274

--

1988

1.20

292101

3957274

--

1990

1.40

292351

3957270

--

1991

1.29

292351

3957270

--

The maximum 24-hour PM10 impact due to the project is above the SIL but below the monitoring de minimis concentrations of 5 and 10 g/m3, respectively. In addition, the maximum annual impact also slightly exceeds the modeling significance level. Therefore, G-P performed a full NAAQS analysis for PM10.


Summary

The significant impact analysis determined that the project emission increase would cause a maximum impact above the SILs and the EPA monitoring de minimis concentrations for several pollutants. Figures D-5, D-6, and D-7 in the application present the arrangement of the significant impact areas for these pollutants. Table D-25 summarizes the significant increment diameter (SID) for each pollutant and indicates if the project impact is above the de minimis monitoring concentration.


Table D-25

Pollutant

Averaging Time

SID (km)

Exceed de minimis Monitoring Conc?

SO2

24-hr

4.25

No

3-hr

0

--

Annual

0

--

NOX

Annual

4.8

No

PM10

Annual

2.0

--

24-hr

2.5

No


NAAQS Analysis

Nitrogen Dioxide


By modeling the total potential Mill emissions and competing source emissions, the analysis predicted the total impact to compare to the NAAQS. Table D-26 summarizes the NO2 model results.

Table D-26

Year

Annual Predicted Impact (ug/m3)(a)

Receptor Location UTM Zone 15 (m)

East

North

1986

27.2

291600

3956300

1987

28.3

291600

3956300

1988

29.8

291600

3956300

1990

23.6

291600

3956400

1991

25.0

291600

3956400

(a) maximum impact of two model runs with and without American Foundry Group
G-P added a background concentration of 10.2 g/m3 to the modeling result. As summarized in Table D-27, when adding the background concentrations, the annual concentration is 40.1 g/m3. This impact is less than the respective NAAQS of 100 g/m3. Therefore, G-P has demonstrated that the Mill emissions that reflect all project changes will not cause or contribute to a violation of the NAAQS.


Table D-27

Concentrations in g/m3

Averaging Period

Maximum Predicted Impact

Background Concentration

Total Concentration

NAAQS

Annual

29.8

10.2

40.1

100

Sulfur Dioxide



By modeling the total potential Mill emissions and competing source emissions, G-P determined that the maximum SO2 predicted impacts are 4,915, 133, and 14.5 μg/m3, for the 3-hour, 24-hour and annual averaging times, respectively. The maximum impact locations were in an area that did not require additional refined receptor grids. Table D-28 summarizes the SO2 model results.


Table D-28

Averaging

Period



Year


Maximum Predicted Impact (g/m3)

Receptor Location

Period

Ending

(YYMMDDHH)


East (m)


North (m)

Annual

1986

13.0

292400

3957700

--

1987

12.7

292700

3954100

--

1988

11.8

292200

3957600

--

1990

14.4

292500

3957700

--

1991

14.5

292500

3957700

--

24-Hour High Second High

1986

122

292700

3954100

86022024

1987

133

292600

3954100

87080424

1988

110

296500

3954000

88031324

1990

109

292700

3954100

90062224

1991

114

292700

3954100

91041924

3-Hour High Second High

1986

373

289700

3954100

86060815

1987

433

292700

3954100

87062412

1988

445

296000

3954000

88090403

1990

360

292700

3954100

90062218

1991

491

291500

3954100

91060921


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