Request for more space cooperation, us policy prevents any bilateral exchange
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- Failure to comply with China’s interests is not strategic – We’re only one step away from global nuclear war
- Key to stability in Asia
- Maintaining Good relations critical to Asia’s stability
- To avoid SCS conflict open dialogue and relationship must be held
US-China relations impactsKey to prevent escalationAny US- Sino conflict will go nuclearWroe, Defense Correspondent, 13 [David, April 15th 2013, Sydney Morning Herald, “US strategy could result in nuclear war”, http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/us-strategy-could-result-in-nuclear-war-20130414-2htn8.html, accessed 7/5/13, JA] A US military strategy being mapped out to deal with the growing power of China in the western Pacific - a plan that would inevitably involve Australia - could escalate into a nuclear war, a leading think tank has warned.¶ The Australian Strategic Policy Institute has written in a new paper that the fashionable ''AirSea Battle'' concept, which Washington strategists are developing to keep the US's grip on its sea and air power near China, contains ''uncertainties and potential shortfalls'' that could heighten the nuclear risk.¶ The paper, written by the institute's senior analyst for defence strategy, Benjamin Schreer, urges the Australian government to keep a cautious distance from the plan for now. Australia would likely play a role in the strategy, particularly with US Marines stationed in Darwin. The plan assumes any conflict between the US and China - most likely over Taiwan or Chinese skirmishing with Japan - would remain below the level of nuclear strikes.¶ But Dr Schreer writes that "such an outcome is far from certain". Part of any US plan to strike at China would involve "blinding" the People's Liberation Army by hitting its surveillance, intelligence and command systems ¶ This could provoke panic on the Chinese side and "consequently increase the chances of Chinese nuclear pre-emption", he writes China’s long-range missiles, submarines and stealth bomber squadrons could soon threaten US bases and aircraft carrier groups in the region, potentially deterring the US from coming to the aid of Taiwan or Japan in the event of a conflict.¶ The plan sees US forces withstanding the first round of Chinese attacks, then carry out their "blinding" campaign. US carrier battle groups would then hit Chinese missile launchers. Meanwhile, US submarines and long-range missiles would strike at the Chinese airforce. The US could also blockade oil supplies and other resources - likely with Australian help.¶ While Australia would inevitably be drawn into any such conflict, the institute urges the government not to publicly endorse the plan for now, but rather demand a clearer explanation of how Washington would enact the plan, and its political goals. "[It] risks making the Chinese military an enemy'' when the US, Australian and allied grand strategy is ''aimed at integrating Beijing in a co-operative Asian security order." Failure to comply with China’s interests is not strategic – We’re only one step away from global nuclear warFeldman, Bemis Professor of Law at Harvard University, 13 [Noah, Cool War: The Future of Global Competition, pgs. 48-49, AR] Extensive cooperation in economics, intense competition in geopolitics: this new situation poses extraordinary risks. China and the United States are indeed bound together in a mutual embrace of economic interdependence. They are also on a course to conflict driven by their divergent interests and ideologies. Escalating hostility might lead not only to violence but to economic disaster. Yet economic interdependence also poses unique opportunities for the peaceful resolution of conflict. What is more, it creates common interests that mitigate the impulse to domination. There is something odd about the idea of strategic conflict and economic cooperation going on simultaneously. Trading partners are not supposed to make war on each other. Strategic opponents are not supposed to make each other richer through financing and trade. In the cool war, the United States and China will be able to cooperate and form alliances on some important issues that interest both sides, something that was rare of impossible in the Cold War. Where they are in agreement, these powerful players will have an enormous impact on everyone else. Trade, to which I will return, is the most important example. The United States and China have a shared long-term interest in sustaining an international trade regime that facilitates continued exchange on a grand scale—and they want as many countries as possible to participate in it. Both will try to interpret existing trade agreements and negotiate new ones in accordance with their interests. They may even try to game the trade system if they can get away with it. But they agree on the existence of the system. Key to stability in AsiaA constructive US-China relationship provides stability in AsiaWeihua February 12, 2016 (Chen Weihua is a writer for ChinaWatch a division under The Washington Post; “ASEAN wants good US-China relations” Published: February 12, 2016; http://chinawatch.washingtonpost.com/2016/02/asean-wants-good-us-china-relations/) As US President Barack Obama hosts leaders of the 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members next week, there has been much talk about how much China will be the topic of discussion in the meetings at the Sunnylands retreat in Rancho Mirage, California. Ben Rhodes, assistant to the US President and deputy national security advisor for strategic communications and speechwriting, said China is always a subject of these types of meetings, but part of what the US tries to do is be open and transparent in its approach. “When we look at our relationship with China, there are going to be issues where we are working very well together. Climate change, we wouldn’t have had a Paris agreement without China,” Rhodes said on Thursday, previewing the first US-ASEAN Summit to be held next Monday and Tuesday. He said US and China will maintain their high-level engagement, but he noted that the two countries have had differences over the South China Sea and US freedom of navigation operations there. While some analysts often talk about how the few ASEAN countries that have maritime territorial disputes with China want more US presence there, Rhodes believes something is missing. “I think the bottom-line actually is that (ASEAN) countries want the US and China to have good relationship,” he said. He emphasized that what ASEAN countries mainly want is stability in their neighborhood. “They know that a constructive US-China relationship benefits that stability,” Rhodes said. “So we always make the point that we are not in the business of trying to prevent China’s rise. In fact, China’s peaceful rise is very much in our interest, and in the interest of the whole region.” A Thursday commentary by Center for a New American Security researcher Patrick Cronin and Pereira International CEO Derwin Pereira describes Southeast Asia as the crucial link in the Indo-Pacific chain. “How it tilts — or does not tilt — toward the United States will help determine the degree of American leverage vis-à-vis China,” they wrote. In a press briefing on Wednesday, Daniel Kritenbrink, senior director for Asian affairs at the White House National Security Council, described the US-ASEAN summit as “not about China, but about the US and ASEAN and their increasingly broad and deep strategic partnership.” “We’ll touch upon China because this is Asia and China is a major player in Asia. But again, this summit is about us and about highlighting what we can do together,” he said. Kritenbrink, who served as deputy chief of mission at the US embassy in Beijing until a year ago, has witnessed President Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping interacting on multiple occasions, including what he called “the very successful state visit last fall.” “This is a relationship where we’ve demonstrated we are committed to building the most constructive, positive relationship with China possible. And I think you could argue that the positive, cooperative agenda we have with our Chinese friends on a range of global issues is as successful and as broad as it’s ever been,” he said. While saying that “we are exceptionally candid in confronting the many differences and tensions that exist between us,” Kritenbrink emphasized that “our relationship with China is mature, it’s stable, it’s broad, it’s complex, and we’re very open and transparent about that and we would encourage our other friends in the region to do the same, and we know that they do aim to do the same.” South China Sea continues to be a source of tension for China-US relations. On Thursday, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei responded to Reuters about the discussion between the US and India in possible joint naval patrols in South China Sea. He said no cooperation between any countries should be directed at a third party. “Countries from outside the area must stop pushing forward the militarization of the South China Sea, cease endangering the sovereignty and national security of littoral countries in the name of ‘freedom of navigation’ and harming the peace and stability of the region,” he said. “We hope that the relevant parties speak and act with caution, refrain from intervening in the South China Sea issue, and especially avoid being manipulated by certain countries and ultimately harming their own interests,” Hong said. Maintaining Good relations critical to Asia’s stabilityXinhua June 2nd 2016 (Xinhua is China’s official newspaper; “China-U.S. relations shouldn't be hijacked by South China Sea issue: Chinese ambassador” Published: 2016-06-02 07:51:13; http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-06/02/c_135405918.htm) WASHINGTON, June 1 (Xinhua) -- The China-U.S. relations are too important that they should not be allowed to be hijacked by the South China Sea issue, Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai said Wednesday. In an opinion piece published on bloomberg.com, Cui pointed out that China and the U.S. share important interests, and they "have significant potential for cooperation." "We may have major differences, but we also share important interests, including maintaining regional peace and stability, supporting freedom of navigation and overflight in accordance with international law, and resolving disputes through peaceful negotiations and diplomatic dialogue," Cui wrote. "The region should not become a competing ground for China and the U.S.," he added. Cui mentioned that some of the perceptions in the United States and elsewhere about China's policy and intentions in the area "are misplaced." "A pressing task is to understand the facts and China's intentions correctly so as to avoid real danger and consequences as a result of misinterpretation and miscalculation," Cui emphasized. China believes it is doing nothing more than maintaining and defending legitimate territorial claims and maritime rights in the South China Sea, and its reclamation and construction activities are mainly for civilian purposes and public good, the ambassador said. He refuted the U.S. accusations against China of the so-called "militarization" of the area, saying that there are only "limited defense facilities" on the islands and reefs that have long been under China's control. "We believe that recent statements and military deployments by the U.S. have had the effect of escalating tension in the region and, if not curbed, risk the very militarization we all wish to avoid," Cui warned. On the arbitration case initiated unilaterally by the Philippines, Cui criticized the U.S. for seeking to use the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) against China while itself refuses to ratify the treaty. The concept of "freedom of navigation" is frequently used to justify actions by the U.S. in the South China Sea, Cui said, calling it "an additional irony." The U.S. has used "freedom of navigation" operations to challenge the very concept as it was defined by the UNCLOS, believing treaty provisions would restrict its navy's ability to move freely around the world, he said. Cui expressed his biggest worry that China's policy on the South China Sea has been grossly misperceived as a strategic move to challenge U.S. dominance in the Asia-Pacific region and the world. "China consistently strives for regional cooperation, and we respect America's traditional presence and legitimate interests in the Asia-Pacific region. The reality is not that China is trying to drive anyone out, but that there are attempts to deny China's legitimate and expanding interests in its own region," Cui said. He said China has long called for peaceful and direct negotiations with relevant claimant states to manage and eventually resolve the South China Sea disputes, adding that this stance has not changed. The Chinese envoy remains optimistic about the China-U.S. relations, because the "good news is that leaders in China and the United States have demonstrated the political will to manage our differences and keep them under control." "We continue to talk. We on the Chinese side are ready to work in a constructive manner -- and we are hopeful that the U.S. will demonstrate the same spirit," Cui added. To avoid SCS conflict open dialogue and relationship must be heldYing and Shicun June 24, 2016 (Fu Ying and Wu Shicun are writers for Manila Bulletin a Philippine based news station “The South China Sea: Historical perspectives and contemporary reflections” Updated: June 24, 2016; http://www.mb.com.ph/the-south-china-sea-historical-perspectives-and-contemporary-reflections/#huQywdsjYVcROoRo.99) Second, China’s policy on the South China Sea also concerns the freedom and safety of navigation. Being an international pathway of strategic importance, the South China Sea has the busiest commercial shipping routes, allowing 40 percent of the world’s ocean freight to pass through. The freedom and safety of navigation in the area are indispensable to all major economies, China included. As the biggest benefactor of the pathway, China relies on those routes for 70 to 80 percent of its trade and energy supplies. The pathway also serves as an important passage for the Chinese navy to sail to the wider sea. Third, the common denominator of China and its neighbors in the South China Sea is regional peace and stability. China does not have an agenda or motive to seek hegemony in the region. The very reason that China exercises restraint and keep the disputes and differences under control is exactly for the sake of maintaining peace in the general environment. In this regard, China should continue to make efforts in the following aspects: to provide and share more information with others for better understanding; to offer more public goods for the well-being and safety of all; to complete the “code of conduct” with ASEAN members for a rule based regional order. From a long-term perspective, as the biggest coastal country in the South China Sea, China should keep the ability not only to defend itself but also to maintain peace in the South China Sea, and to gain a good position for seeking a negotiated settlement. Fourth, China and the US share common strategic interests in maintaining the freedom and safety of navigation, and promoting stability and prosperity in the South China Sea area. China and the US and are not disputing parties to each other. Therefore, the two countries should avoid the trap of security dilemma and misunderstandings by engaging in dialogues and clarifying each other’s intentions. China and the US need and should be able to work towards cooperation. As China is growing into a maritime power, the wider seas and oceans in the world are increasingly important to its development as well as its global cooperation. China’s vision will surely go beyond the South China Sea. Therefore, any speculations on its intentions based on conventional land power mentalities may not be accurate. The future direction of trend would very much depend on the perceptions and choices of the parties involved. If they choose to cooperate, they may all win. If they choose to confront each other, they may only head for impasse or even conflict and no one can benefit totally. Directory: wp-content -> uploads -> 2014 2014 -> For want of a nail 2014 -> Stop Militarizing Law Enforcement Act of 2014 2014 -> Ihbb asian Championships 2014 middle school bowl Round 4 First Quarter 2014 -> Ihbb european Championships 2014 Bowl Round 4 First Quarter 2014 -> International History Bee and Bowl 2013-14 Asian Division Question Set Bowl Round Six 2014 -> United states patent and trademark office 2014 -> Coffs harbour eisteddfod vocal syllabus 2014 -> Listen News Programs Schedule pledge now 2014 -> Slow club announce third album complete surrender Download 1.11 Mb. Share with your friends:
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