Research in contemporary social movements: a case study of Guatemala 2015 1
Acknowledgements 2
List of Illustrations 3
1. Introduction 4
1.1.1 Abstract 4
1.1.2 Reading guide 4
1.2.1 Introduction 5
1.2.2 Problem area 7
1.3.1 Problem formulation 7
1.3.2 Research Questions 7
1.3.3 Purpose of research 7
2. Theory 9
2.1. Ontological position of research 9
2.2 Epistemological position 13
2.3 Analytical reasoning 16
2.4 Resource mobilization and political process theory 17
2.4.1 Resource Mobilization [RM] 18
2.4.2 Political Process Theory [PPT] 19
2.4.3 Units of analysis 20
2.4.4 Analytical framework 21
2.4.5 Smelser’s ‘value added’ theory 22
2.5 Components of the value-added theory 26
2.6 Smelser’s theory of action 27
2.5.1 Components of action in more detail. 28
2.5.2 Amendments to Smelser’s theoretical framework 30
2.6 Literature review 33
2.7 Analytical process 33
2.8 Limitations of research 34
3. Methodology 35
3.1 Research design 35
3.2 Strengths and weaknesses of the case study 36
3.2.1 Strengths 36
3.2.2 Weaknesses 37
3.2.3 Case selection 39
3.3 Data sampling 40
3.4 Validity and reliability of data 41
3.5 Research process 42
4. Analysis 42
4.1 Structural conduciveness 43
4.1.1 Social movements and mobilizations in recent years 43
4.1.2 Political alliances and movement constituency 45
4.1.3 Overcoming a culture of silence 47
4.1.4 Strengthening the judicial system 50
4.2 Structural Strain 52
4.2.1 Strain and situational facilities 52
4.2.3 Strain on norms 56
4.2.4 Strain on values 57
4.3 Generalized belief 58
4.3.1 A longer process 58
4.3.1 Media support 60
4.4 Precipitating factors 61
4.5 Mobilization 65
4.5.1 Movement organization characteristics 65
4.5.2 Means of mobilization 67
4.5.3 Contracting organized support 68
4.5.4 Decentralized organization as strategy 70
4.6 Social controls 72
4.6.1 Preventive means (alleviating strain) 72
4.6.2 Use of force 73
4.6.3 New corrupt structures, new strategies of control 74
4.7 Last notes on PPT and RM 77
5.Discussion 78
6.Conclusions 81
7. Bibliography 84
7.1 Books 84
7.2 Scientific Articles 87
7.3 Other publications 91
7.Appendixes 93
Appendix 1: Presidents of Guatemala, 1970-2016. 95
Appendix 2: Hacking’s 4-square matrix of scientific ontology 102
Appendix 3: The value added theory framework, a closer discussion 102
3.1: Underlying assumptions 102
3.2. Components of the model 105
Appendix 4: Crossley’s reconfiguration of Smelser’s value-added model 109
Appendix 5: Theoretical contestations of the field 110
Appendix 6: Further elaboration on the research process and progression 121
6.1 Research overview 121
6.2 analytical process and relationship between data an theory 127
Appendix 7 images related to the social movements of GT 2015 131
Appendix 8: Smelser’s theoretical models for analysis 137
Appendix 9: Timeline reconstruction of social movement of 2015 143
2011 153
2012 155
2013 158
2014 160
2015 166
2016 181
Appendix 10: General conceptual framework 191
Appendix 11: State violence and resistance 194
Appendix 12: some additional notions on PPT and RM theory in relation to the GT movement. 196
While Hacking follows the realist position about both entities and theories, this research paper follows realism about entities but not about theories (which, as far as I know, is the most common position of critical realist approaches).
I like to compare the model with the contemporary ‘business model canvas’ [BMC](Osterwalder & Pigneur 2009) in the way the model is constructed. While the BMC does not have a sequential relation, it provides an analytical frame rather than a structural argument of causal predictions. Its analytical components are intended to be applied to empirical observation, not to logical deduction or prescription134. As such, I believe that stressing its qualitative aspects is much more useful than stressing its structural aspects, other than the value of the structural relations for analytical purposes. This is also the reason why the model can easily encompass more contemporary, qualitative approaches and help to systematize and guide empirical enquiries from such a departure. This research attempts to improve on this frame by incorporating RM and PPT as the foundation of the analytical aspect under the main framework. And while we pursue a qualitative approach, I believe that the overarching frame could easily be used together with ‘more’ qualitative orientations as well, i.e. textual analyses, ethnographic methodologies, phenomenological orientations, etc.
Returning to the concrete aspects of the model itself, the essential idea of the approach is the outline of the 6 sequential components that, if they are activated and combined correctly, ‘leads’ to outbreaks of social movements. Smelser’s next attempt is to determine which combinations of determinants leads to outbreaks of which types of social movements. However, this attempt we dismiss in our reconfiguration of the model, for several reasons. One of these is that we are not particularly interested in different types of social movements, but perhaps more importantly, neither does his observations appear to be correct. Here is where the fundamentally structural characterstic of the theory is raised, and it is these assumptions that we do not follow in our reconfigured analytical approach.
While these inherently structural aspects have been avoided, the analytical apparatus for strain, however, has been maintained. I did this because I found it valuable to work with from the beginning of the theoretical design. However, I have come to believe that this aspect should be reconfigured for future research as well. At the very least, that researchers should contemplate the usefulness of this conceptualization. I do not believe Crossley's modernization on this aspect either by simply stating that strain arises from a mismatch between ‘expectations and reality’, while this certainly appears true, it provides very little analytical quality or depth (Crossley 2006). The original framework, on the other hand, appears to be overly complicated in its modelling. I would advocate for an update to this approach that maintains the quality of the old, yet simplifies it to better operationalize its application and perhaps improves the analysis with complimentary theorizations.
In the original formulation, strain was an essential aspect in explaining the development of a general belief which, in turn, was essential in explaining which kind of collective behavior would result from the combination of determinants leading up to it. However, this formulation has not been maintained for this research because of various complications with its application and conceptualizations. Instead, general belief has been reformulated as ‘rational’ beliefs (in contrast to the original formulations as ‘somewhat akin to magic’) and to understand general beliefs, instead of prescribing these general ideas as irrational or worse, the analysis must aim to understand their rationalities rather than prescribe them. General beliefs are not presumed to be directly caused by strain, but instead they are influenced through a multiplicity of interrelations that inform and underpin these beliefs. Both network analysis, media analysis, frame analysis, and others can be adapted to explain the development of general belief and to better undertand what the fundamental rationality behind might be (though we do not adopt an in-depth frame here). Assuming a priori that these are irrational, illogical, etc. seems contradictory to observations (Morris & Herring 1984, see also appendix 5).
We will only shortly consider the background of Smelser’s theory, as we do not share the same fundamental assumptions in this work. The value-added model presupposed an adherence to Talcott Parsons’ structural societal theories of society as a self-equilibrating system. He describes the components of the societal system as stable and argues that societies tend to be based on ‘self-equilibrating mechanisms’ that keeps the interrelations stable. If such systems did not exist, indeed there would be no reason to call it a ‘system’ at all (Black 1961: 27). While I am sympathetic to the argument about stability to the system of relations in society, I do not believe that we may deduct a priori that social movements develop as a consequence of ‘structural breakdown’. In fact, we might as well assume that the opposite is true as fundamental changes often follow social movements, rather than the other way around. Likewise, societal changes and developments may be relatively unrelated to the underlying structural relations, unless we assume that every relation is a qualitative but stable relationship, at which point the argument approaches its limits of usefulness. I believe that it makes more sense to conceptualize society as far from stable and hardly intent ‘equilibrating’ around any one specific core. It seems much more likely that a myriad of competing, antagonistic value-orientations, at all times attempts to draw society in different directions, which has the ‘side-effect’ of creating social movements whenever the forces of two or more of these value-orientations are strong enough. This assumption is more closely related to Marxist conceptualizations, though it need not be related to classes as Marx’s classical theory concentrated on. Value-orientation may internal to a single class as much as an inter-class conflict. Indeed, using class as a point of departure may be counter-productive in the first place, unless the research area is explicitly focused on class. The instance of Guatemala, for instance, can only to some extent be explained in terms of classes, but the notion would be quite insufficient in itself to explore the entirety of the dynamics of the social movement in our case. Nevertheless, the important notion here is that the relations between Smelser’s theory and Parsons’ are not maintained and that Parsons’ influences are generally not adapted in this research.