1.26.1Probability of entry
Probability of importation
The likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will arrive in Australia with the importation of fresh taro corms from any country where this pest is present is: MODERATE.
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TZSV is only known to be present in the Yunnan Province of China (Dong et al. 2008).
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Taro is grown in this region, and infected taro plants have been reported.
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TZSV probably infects systemically and is likely to be present in some, or all, corms from infected plants. It is not known whether infected plants would produce marketable corms.
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Symptoms on corms have not been reported and it is possible that infected corms may be imported undetected. Tospoviruses spread via infected material used for propagation (Persley et al. 2007).
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Taro corms infected with TZSV could be imported.
Probability of distribution
The likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will be distributed within Australia in a viable state to a susceptible part of a host, as a result of the processing, sale or disposal of fresh taro corms from any country, is: HIGH.
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Imported corms are intended for human consumption. Corms will be distributed to many localities by wholesale and retail trade and by individual consumers.
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Consumers will carry small quantities of taro corms to urban, rural and natural localities. Small amounts of corm waste could be discarded in these localities.
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Some corms will be distributed to areas where taro or other host plants, including tomato, chilli, carnation and spinach, are growing. Susceptible host plants are widely distributed and common in many parts of Australia.
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Small amounts of corm waste could be discarded in domestic compost.
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Discarded corm waste of infected small corm taro may sprout and develop into infected plants.
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Some small corm taro may be planted for domestic cultivation instead of being consumed.
Probability of entry (importation × distribution)
The likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will enter Australia and be distributed in a viable state to a susceptible host, as a result of trade in fresh taro corms from any country, is: MODERATE.
1.26.2Probability of establishment
The likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will establish within Australia, based on a comparison of factors in the source and destination areas considered pertinent to its survival and reproduction, is: HIGH.
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Establishment of TZSV outside Yunnan Province, China has not been reported.
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If a volunteer taro plant grows from a corm carrying TZSV, the plant may be infected with the virus.
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Tospoviruses can establish via infected corms used for propagation (Persley et al. 2007).
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Small corm taro will sprout readily from lateral buds in the corm, and so may be propagated easily (Onewueme 1999). Large corm taro is more difficult to propagate. New plants are likely to be infected with the virus.
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Wild taro mainly propagates vegetatively with lateral buds giving rise to daughter corms (Purseglove 1972; Onwueme 1999).
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Colocasia esculenta is considered to be native in the Northern Territory, and naturalised in Western Australia, Queensland, New South Wales, and on Christmas Island, Norfolk Island and Lord Howe Island (CHAH 2009).
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Other hosts such as tomato, chilli, carnation and spinach are commonly grown in Australian gardens, providing numerous potential host plants.
1.26.3Probability of spread
The likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will spread within Australia, based on a comparative assessment of those factors in the source and destination areas considered pertinent to the expansion of the geographic distribution of the pest, is: HIGH.
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TZSV is a tospovirus (Dong et al. 2008). Other tospoviruses such as Tomato spotted wilt virus (TSWV) and Impatiens necrotic spot virus (INSV) have spread widely in Europe and the Americas. TSWV is one of the most widespread and damaging plant viruses in Australia (Persley et al. 2007).
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Plant-infecting tospoviruses are transmitted by thrips (Thripidae) (Persley et al. 2007). While the specific thrips vectors of TZSV are not known, Frankliniella occidentalis, Thrips palmi and Thrips tabaci were recorded in the fields where the virus was detected (Dong et al. 2008). These thrips species are all found in Australia (AICN 2011; Persley et al. 2007), and are known vectors of a number of other tospoviruses (Whitfield et al. 2005).
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TZSV may spread if an immature thrips feeds on an infected volunteer plant and then later feeds on healthy taro plants.
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Insecticides would only have limited effectiveness for stopping the spread of the virus by thrips.
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TZSV may spread to naturalised and native populations of taro and other hosts such as carnation, chilli, spinach and tomato.
1.26.4Probability of entry, establishment and spread
The overall likelihood that tomato zonate spot virus will be imported as a result of trade in fresh taro corms from any country where this pathogen is present, be distributed in a viable state to a susceptible host, establish and spread within Australia, is: MODERATE.
1.26.5Consequences
Assessment of the potential consequences (direct and indirect) of tomato zonate spot virus is: LOW.
Criterion
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Estimate and rationale
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Direct
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Plant life or health
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Impact score: D – significant at the district level
Thrips that might spread TZSV are present in all Australian states, so plant health could be affected if an incursion occurred. TZSV has a wide host range that includes both agricultural crops and ornamental plant species. As well as taro, TZSV is known to affect tomato, chilli, carnations and spinach, while a number of other species have been found susceptible in inoculation tests (Dong et al. 2008).
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Other aspects of the environment
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Impact score: A – indiscernible at the local level
There are no known direct consequences of this virus on the natural or built environment.
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Indirect
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Eradication, control etc.
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Impact score: D – significant at the district level
If TZSV became established in Australia, it is unlikely that eradication would be possible. The thrips that are suspected of vectoring the virus are common and widespread in Australia. While pest management in commercial crops may reduce infection locally, naturalised and native populations of taro or other hosts may become reservoirs of the virus throughout the endangered area. It is not known if host plants have varieties that are more resistant to TZSV infection.
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Domestic trade
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Impact score: D – significant at the district level
The effect of TZSV infection on taro corms is not known, although the disease is reported to be devastating to tomatoes and chillies (Dong et al. 2008). The taro leaves develop necrotic lesions, which may adversely affect corm quality. More severe economic impacts would be expected in other crops like tomato and chilli, where ringspots on the fruit are likely to render them unmarketable. Trade in taro corms may be restricted to prevent spread of the virus.
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International trade
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Impact score: C – minor significance at the district level
The taro export trade from Australia is small. However, the presence of TZSV in Australia may lead to prohibition of taro exports to countries free of TZSV. As well as potential yield losses, other crops may also be negatively affected by export restrictions, although commodities such as tomatoes and chillies are unlikely to spread the virus via trade. Tospoviruses are not spread via seed (Persley et al. 2007).
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Environmental and non-commercial
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Impact score: A – indiscernible at the local level
No information was found indicating possible effects on the environment.
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1.26.6Unrestricted risk estimate
The unrestricted risk for tomato zonate spot virus is: LOW.
Unrestricted risk is the result of combining the probability of entry, establishment and spread with the outcome of overall consequences. Probabilities and consequences are combined using the risk estimation matrix shown in Table 2.5.
The unrestricted risk estimate for tomato zonate spot virus of ‘low’ exceeds Australia’s ALOP, and specific risk management measures are required for this pest.
Pest risk assessment conclusion
The unrestricted risk posed by Tarophagus proserpina, Phytophthora colocasiae, colocasia bobone disease virus, the French Polynesian strain of Dasheen mosaic virus, Taro vein chlorosis virus and tomato zonate spot virus are estimated to exceed Australia’s ALOP. Therefore, additional risk management measures for these pests are required to reduce the risks to a level consistent with Australia’s ALOP.
The unrestricted risk of the other pests assessed achieves Australia’s ALOP and therefore risk management measures are not required.
The results of these risk estimates are summarised in Table 4.2. The rationale for each value of the pest risk assessment, summarised in this table, is described in the relevant sections above.
The proposed pest risk management measures are discussed in Section 5.
Key to table 4.2
Likelihoods for entry, establishment and spread
N negligible
EL extremely low
VL very low
L low
M moderate
H high
P[EES] overall probability of entry, establishment and spread
Assessment of consequences from pest entry, establishment and spread
PLH plant life or health
OE other aspects of the environment
EC eradication control etc.
DT domestic trade
IT international trade
ENC environmental and non-commercial
A-G consequence impact scores are detailed in section 2.2.3
URE unrestricted risk estimate. This is expressed on an ascending scale from negligible to extreme
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