Russia 100204 Basic Political Developments



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National Economic Trends


  • Bloomberg: Russian Economy Shrinks at Slowest Pace in 13 Months, VTB Says

  • Reuters: TABLE-Russia Jan GDP -0.3 pct y/y - VTB indicator

  • Itar-Tass: Influx of foreign direct investments in Russia exceeds $40 bln –PM

  • FT.com: A volatile oil price is the only serious risk for Russia - The main issue that should concern investors is the oil price, given that the rouble, government finances, and profits are heavily dependent upon this. Below $60 a barrel the market gets nervous, and more than $30 a barrel the whole macroeconomic framework looks fragile. This is the main tail risk.

  • Bloomberg: Russia Should Be More Rigorous in Monitoring Banks, IMF Says

Business, Energy or Environmental regulations or discussions


  • Bloomberg: Norilsk Nickel, Polyus Gold, Rosneft: Russian Equity Preview

  • The Moscow Times: VEB Hires Bond Managers

  • MarketWatch: Russia's Uralkali raised to buy at Citigroup

  • Interfax: TMK placing $350 mln in convertible bonds

  • EmergingMarkets.me: TNK-BP $1bn Eurobond shows the way for sovereign issue

  • Interfax: VTB could unveil 2009 IFRS results in March, bring AGM forward

  • VTB Capital: Vedomosti speculates that Sberbank has created an investment banking department

  • Rencap: Sberbank CEO expects margins to fall in 2010

  • Steel Guru: Russia Chelyabinsk zinc Q4 2009 output up

  • AFP: Rusal pays creditors 2.14 billion dollars: company

  • Reuters: Russia RUSAL repays creditors $2.143 bln

  • Bloomberg: Rusal Cuts Debt to $12.9 Billion After Payments From IPO Cash

  • Bloomberg: Renaissance to Buy Leadbank, Names Gruzglin Head of Fixed Income

  • FinancialMirror: Bank of Cyprus sells Russian Leadbank to Renaissance Capital

  • AP: MDA signs two contracts with Russian firm worth a total of more than $60M

  • The Moscow Times: Proposal to Integrate National Payment System With Cell Phones

  • The Moscow Times: Alfa, Telenor Asset Merger Approved

  • PR Web: RT Gains Popularity On YouTube

  • The Financial: Aeroflot's enlargement designed to boost air safety, but carries risk

  • Bloomberg: Billionaire Blavatnik Said to Join Bidding for MGM (Update3)

  • FT.com: The call of the Russian investor - Most financiers have little stomach for technology investing in Russia, which is surprising, given the Soviet legacy of high-tech successes. In spite of the potential of a large pool of maths and science talent, most consider it too much of a risk.

  • The Moscow Times: Crisis Taught Firms About Consumers - Executives at some of the country's top consumer goods companies said Wednesday that while the crisis took a toll on their business, it also provided a number of valuable lessons about Russian consumers.

Activity in the Oil and Gas sector (including regulatory)


  • RIA: Oil leaks from recently launched Pacific oil pipeline

  • The Moscow Times: State to Give Rosneft New Sakhalin Fields

  • BusinessWire: NOVATEK and TOTAL close transaction for establishment of joint venture

  • WSJ: Novatek, Total To Develop Field In Russia's Yamal Region

  • Oil and Gas Journal: Output up at Russia's Verkhnechonskoe field

  • WSJ: Russia OKs $400 Mln Budget For Kharyaga Oil Field - Prime-Tass

  • WSJ: Rosneft Exec: Profit-Based Oil Tax Unlikely Before 2012

Gazprom


  • WSJ: UPDATE: Gazprom Sees Europe Gas Demand Rising In Decade

  • Bloomberg; Gazprom Expects Gas Exports to Asia to Reach European Levels

  • Reuters: Gazprom sees Europe gas use up 70 bcm by 2020

  • Oilprice: Gazprom: Angel or Demon? - Gazprom faces regular opprobrium for its bullying ways of using energy as a pressure and political tool. Seen by some, mostly Russians, as the symbol of a successful and strong Russia, others see it as a dominating juggernaut, economic right arm of the Kremlin implementing, or should we say, imposing its policies by using energy as a weapon.

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Full Text Articles

Basic Political Developments

RIA: Poland hails Russian plans to commemorate WWII Katyn massacre


http://en.rian.ru/world/20100204/157769485.html
11:5104/02/2010

WARSAW, February 4 (RIA Novosti) - The Kremlin's invitation to Poland's premier to attend events to mark the massacre of thousands of Polish POWs by Soviets forces in WWII is an important step in the improvement of bilateral ties, the senate speaker said on Thursday.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin invited his Polish counterpart Donald Tusk on Wednesday to attend a memorial service in April to mark the 1940 massacre. Tusk confirmed his participation in the event later in the day.

Bogdan Borusewicz said it was "an important signal from the Kremlin," and complicated bilateral ties "are increasingly improving." Borusewicz will visit Moscow on February 9 at the invitation of his Russian counterpart, Sergei Mironov.

Over 20,000 Polish officers, police and civilians taken prisoner during the 1939 partitioning of Poland by the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany were killed in western Russia's Katyn forest, as well as in prisons and other locations, by the NKVD, the forerunner of the KGB.

The Soviet Union acknowledged the massacre in 1990. Modern Russia also recognized Soviet responsibility for the mass shooting, but has not classified it as a war crime, something Warsaw has demanded.

The two Slavic nations have recently been at odds over Soviet leader Joseph Stalin's 1939 deal with Nazi Germany, which Warsaw says triggered the invasion of Poland and the start of WWII.

Putin moved to heal the rift over the massacre and the 1939 deal when he visited Poland in September to mark the 70th anniversary of its invasion. He called the killings "a crime" but urged "forgiveness." He said all European countries bear their share of responsibility for the outbreak of the war.



Warsaw Business Journal: Putin to be first Russian leader to honor Katyń dead

http://www.wbj.pl/article-48336-putin-to-be-first-russian-leader-to-honor-katyn-dead.html?typ=wbj

4th February 2010

Donald Tusk will join Russian PM in an event to commemorate victims of Stalinist massacre

In an historic move, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has invited Polish counterpart Donald Tusk to a joint Polish-Russian commemoration of the Stalinist massacre of Polish prisoners at Katyń.

Mr Putin will be the first Russian leader to visit the cemetery at the site.

The crime has cast a shadow over Polish-Russian relations for decades. After years of Soviet denials, Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin admitted that the massacre was carried out by Stalin's forces.

Even so, some in Russia still insist that it was Germany that carried out the mass murder.

"The invitation has a symbolic dimension," said Mr Tusk. "For the first time the premiers of Poland and Russia will jointly commemorate the anniversary of the Katyń atrocity. the participation of Premier Putin in the ceremonies for the anniversary of the outbreak of World War II, and now this invitation generate hope that our discussion about the history of Poland and Russia will slowly but consequently continue. And also that Polish-Russian relations will improve."

Source: Gazeta Wyborcza



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