Russia 100325 Basic Political Developments



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National Economic Trends


  • Reuters: Russia rouble sets new peak vs euro, steady vs dlr

  • RenCap: Weekly inflation and money supply dynamics; more arguments for further monetary loosening

  • VTB Capital: Weekly CPI moderates at the end of March - we expect the CBR to cut 25bp, possibly this Friday - but we see monetary easing to be over soon

  • Prime-Tass: World Bank ups Russian 2010 GDP growth forecast to 5%–5.5%

  • Moscow Times: World Bank Warns of High Unemployment

  • Moscow Times: Moody's Sees Bad Loans Peak

  • Interfax: Russian Home Loans Agency to issue 36 bln rubles in bonds

  • AgriMarket: Ministry of Agriculture of Russia to support growing of wheat, sugar beet and maize

Business, Energy or Environmental regulations or discussions


  • SMR: Russian stock market daily morning report (March 25, 2010, Thursday) - Weak financial results of LUKOIL for 4Q 2009 are related to widening of trading operations.

  • Bloomberg: Evraz Group, Rosneft, Wimm-Bill-Dann: Russian Equity Preview

  • Bloomberg: Rio Tinto, Prokhorov May Form Russian Venture, Kommersant Says

  • Power-Gen Worldwide: Cogen plant for the next Winter Olympics in Russia - Siemens is to contribute to the 2014 Winter Olympics in the Russian city of Sochi by implementing several energy projects worth a total of more than €125 million (US$167 million).

  • Russia Today: Energy sector being pushed to modernize

  • VTB Capital: RusHydro to seek strategic investor in 2012-13 - likely to partner with foreign utility to expand abroad

  • VTB Capital: Evraz might sell two coal mines to ArcelorMittal

  • BNE: Rencap to enter Mongolia's invest market

  • Moscow Times: VTB Sues Chigirinsky for $118M

  • Bloomberg: Russian Drug Seller Protek Plans May IPO, Vedomosti Says

  • Moscow Times: Freight One Worth $5Bln

  • Alfa: Russian gold output down 10% in 1Q10

  • Dow Jones: Petropavlovsk 09 Net Profit Soars On Higher Gold Prices,Output

  • Bloomberg: Petropavlovsk Full-Year Profit Soars on Output, Price (Update1)

  • BarentsObserver: More gold on Kola Peninsula - The Moscow-based gold exploration and mine development company Ovoca Gold Plc calls the findings a major step in advancing a pre-feasibility study for Oleninskoye in the future.

  • VTB Capital: West Siberian court once again postpones hearing of Telenor's case over stake in Vimpelcom

  • Moscow Times: Ex-IKEA Boss Bares Russia's 'Chaotic Reality'

  • Moscow Times: Daimler Accused of Bribing Russians

  • Moscow Times: For the Record

    • Gunvor, a closely held energy trader, bought gas storage capacity and rights to import liquefied natural gas in northwest Europe as it expands gas, power and emissions trading, the company said Wednesday. (Bloomberg)

    • Sberbank plans to lend "several hundred million dollars" to "large" companies in Belarus in the next few months, chief executive German Gref said Wednesday, RIA-Novosti reported. (Bloomberg)

    • PIK Group may sell shares to raise about $500 million, Kommersant reported Wednesday, citing a source familiar with the plans. (Bloomberg)

    • Gazprom said Wednesday that Naftogaz Ukrainy had been buying less gas in the first quarter than stipulated in a supply contract. (Bloomberg)

    • RusHydro may seek a strategic investor in itself or projects to expand abroad in 2012 or 2013, deputy CEO George Rizhinashvili said Wednesday. (Bloomberg)

  • Bne: Russia bonds: lets get this party started - Bond markets across the globe are getting giddy and Russian issuers are rushing to join the party. How long will the dance last and will there be a hangover?

Activity in the Oil and Gas sector (including regulatory)


  • BNE: Rosneft threatens to abandon Europe for Asia following Yukos lawsuit

  • Moscow Times: LUKoil Looks Abroad as Investor Leaves

  • Moscow Times: Rosneft, Gazprom to Get Licenses - Rosneft and Gazprom will probably get licenses to offshore fields this year, Deputy Natural Resources and Environment Minister Sergei Donskoi said Wednesday. Rosneft may get five or six licenses, and Gazprom may get seven or eight, Donskoi told reporters. Some of the licenses the companies applied for lie off Sakhalin, he said.

  • Moscow Times: Glencore's $1Bln Oil Foray Tests Russian Arena

  • Houston Chronicle: Brief: Chevron unit says Russian law ‘may impede' exploration

  • Trend.az: Russian Stroytransgaz to close office in Turkmenistan

Gazprom


  • Balkans.com: Turkey eyes future Iraq oilfield tenders with Gazprom, U.S. firms - Yildiz said Turkey planned to bid, along with Russian partner Gazprom and some U.S. firms, in future tenders to develop Iraqi oilfields. Turkey was part of a Gazprom-led group that won rights last year to develop Iraq's Badrah oilfield.

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Full Text Articles

Basic Political Developments



Ukrainian News: Azarov Leaves For Russia To Discuss Correction Of Gas Contracts

http://un.ua/eng/article/255965.html

(09:52, Thursday, March 25, 2010)

Prime Minister Mykola Azarov has left for Moscow, Russia, on one-day visit to discuss the correction of gas relations.

The delegation is also formed of Fuel and Energy Minister Yurii Boiko, Foreign Affairs Minister Kostiantyn Hryschenko, and director general of the National Space Agency Yurii Alekseev.

Right after the arrival in Moscow, Azarov will meet with the leadership of Russia's gas monopoly, Gazprom.

Later, he will set out outside Moscow to the residence to meet with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.

Azarov intends to discuss contents of possible bilateral agreements.

On Thursday evening, Azarov will return to Kyiv.

As Ukrainian News earlier reported, Azarov considers current price of natural gas for Ukraine unfounded.

The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine based draft national budget for 2010 on the average annual import natural gas price of USD 334 per 1,000 cubic meters.

Ukraine pays USD 305.2 per 1,000 cubic meters of natural gas in the first quarter of 2010.

Vice Prime Minister Serhii Tihipko said the price of USD 334 per 1,000 cubic meters is unacceptable for the Ukrainian economy.

On March 22, President Viktor Yanukovych of Ukraine said it is necessary to prepare a new gas contract with Russia by the visit of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev to Ukraine on May 17-18.



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