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Bipart Not KeyZero chance for bipartisanship – fewer moderates and re-election worries. KNOLL 10. [Benjamin, Assistant Prof of Govt’ @ Centre College, researcher focused on public opinion and voting behavior of the American public, “Prospects for “bipartisanship” in the 112th Congress” Novemver 7 -- http://informationknoll.wordpress.com/2010/11/07/prospects-for-bipartisanship-in-the-112th-congress/] It would be nice if the results of last Tuesday’s election prompted our political leaders to seek common ground, put aside their differences, and do what’s best for the future of the country. But it’s not going to happen. Why? For several reasons, including these two: 1. There are fewer moderate members of Congress now. Most of the Democrats who were swept out of office last week were moderate Democrats from conservative districts. Ideologically speaking, the “average” Democrat in the House is now much more liberal than the “average” Democrat in the last Congress. And because of the election of a number of Tea Party Republicans, the “average” Republican is now going to be much more conservative. The two parties in Congress will now be even more ideologically polarized, if such a thing were possible. 2. It’s election season. Again. But not for 2010; for 2012. Yep, the 2012 presidential campaign began last Wednesday morning. Politically speaking, Republicans have very little incentive to provide President Obama with any sort of legislative victory, as it would only aid his reelection chances in 2012. Thus, they will be even less likely to want to “compromise” than they were before last week’s election, making the prospects for “bipartisan” accomplishments on any substantive piece of legislation very, very unlikely. Declining moderate numbers mean attempts at bipart fail. BARRON 11-4-10. [John, Inside American presenter on ABC NewsRadio, research associate @ US Studies Centre @ U of Sydney, “The Doughnut Election” ABC -- http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/11/04/3056619.htm?site=thedrum] Already president Obama is being urged to "shift to the political centre" - to do as Bill Clinton did after he suffered massive losses in the 1994 mid-terms and abandon more divisive agenda items like health care and gays serving openly in the military. But even some Clinton insiders, like former labor secretary Robert Reich, say the political centre just doesn't exist - shift to the centre and you'll find you are all alone. American politics is more like a doughnut. And this is clearly a problem for any attempts at bipartisanship. When the democrats enjoyed a 60-40 Senate majority, there was no need to compromise. Which was just as well because there were only one or two moderate Republicans who might have ever considered a compromise. Usually when a chamber like the Senate swings back to closer to 50-50 that means you'll get more moderates in swinging electorates prepared to cut a deal and cross the floor. But not this time. Tea Party-backed freshmen Republican senators like Rand Paul from Kentucky and Marco Rubio in Florida immediately become the least likely to join with the Democrats. And Democrats like Evan Bayh of Indiana who frequently voted with the Republicans saw the writing on the wall and quit politics this year in disgust, while liberals capable of bipartisandship like Russ Feingold of Wisconsin got creamed. Election resulted in more polarized parties – no bipart.
Second, we know from the past half-century of Congressional history that partisan polarization dampens legislative compromise. The greater the ideological polarization (and sheer partisanship) in Congress, the less gets done. It is hard to get to sixty Senate votes to overcome a filibuster if there are few moderates bridging the ideological gap between the parties. The shrunken Democratic majority has produced a more liberal Democratic Caucus in the Senate, meaning that compromise with Senate GOP is even further out of reach. Split houses means bipart fails.
Third, we often overlook the impact of bicameral disagreements on the prospects for major policy change. Put simply, legislative agreement requires House-Senate cooperation. Sometimes bicameral disagreement is hard to reach even when a single party controls Congress. (Think here of the months of machinations over health care reform over the past two years until a final accord was in hand.) Bicameral disagreement will be even less likely on controversial matters in the coming Congress given split party control of the House and Senate. ***AT: WTO Internal Link Turn***WTO Internal Link Turn Non-UniqueTheir turn is non-unique- 90% of WTO Members have bilateral trade agreements- means not a causal relationship Lee 2005, (Y.S. Hamline University School of Law, Bilateralism Under the World Trade Organization, http://law.bepress.com/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=3242&context=expresso&sei-redir=1#search=%22bilateral%20trade%20WTO%22, Accessed 7/26/11) The establishment of the World Trade Organization (WTO), which replaced the five decades of the GATT regime, has significantly reinforced the multilateral control over international trade on a global scale. As of February 2005, membership in the WTO has reached 148 nations, including the majority of former Soviet bloc and other communist countries,1 making the WTO the “United Nations of International Trade.” WTO disciplines have significant impact on world trade today and have been enforced by monitoring activities of various WTO bodies and by strengthened dispute resolution mechanisms. On the other hand, a significant number of bilateral / regional trade arrangements also co-exist alongside with the WTO: there are over 130 bilateral / regional trade arrangements (RTAs) in force. Around 90 per cent of WTO Members have signed at least one or more RTAs. Thus, bilateralism represented by these RTAs2 is as much a factor as the multilateralism by the WTO in shaping international trade relations today. Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 0.85 Mb. Share with your friends:
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